There’s a few different scenarios here. Lost all attackers but Italians kept the BB? Lost BB but just kept the TT? Was the CV used as most people do?
If not on the latter, I’d be inclined to use it as a blocker if you have one in SZ96.
If you assume we are talking about a where there is no chance of a blocker protecting Egypt and at least 2TTs are left for Italy but the starting UK TT has carried two units away and the Mec has driven away, Egypt is unlikely to be able to be held. Only 4 inf+tank+art are available and you need to use one inf as a blocker to stop Tobruk mobile units. If you assume 2inf 1art 1tank + Cruiser bombardment + Bomber = 68% chance of taking the territory. BB bombardment increases it to 79%. The tank, it can be argued should be evacuated - depends heaps on how many troops are left in Ethiopia. It probably still wouldn’t allow the Italians to divert an amphibious assault to TransJordan.
All you can do is pray that you get lucky and if not that you can bring back the Mec and then also get lucky.
If you have bought an IC you might have to place it Scotland, unless you feel you have a good possibility of taking Egypt back.
One thing I would attempt UK2 if Egypt has fallen and I have no possibility of taking it back is hitting Iraq so at least the can’t mobilise those units for their army. If you aren’t playing BM or Vichy hasn’t been activated you can use the Syrian French troop to slow down Iraq’s activation by a turn. It could be worth amphibiously landing a troop in Transjordan otherwise, although you are losing 10IPC doing it - the TT will be sunkt by planes unless Italy has lost a bunch. Even if Italy can’t activate Iraq I2, you have to make sure they can’t do it I3 and the troop from West India can’t reach. Assuming you amphibiously hit Ethiopia but there aren’t enough troops to hit Egypt, you can use that TT to position in South Africa and then hit Iraq UK3.
You have to worry that an IC in Persia could not be held.
I’m assuming that the TT in the Med moved on Combat Movement. If not, you have a lot of other possibilities, particularly reinforcing Egypt with troops from Malta.
I think I’ve given a few thoughts there. Effectively, without Egypt the Med and then Africa are in serious trouble and you have to think about whether you can even hold South Africa which can be hit amphibiously. With the UK income there it is worth trying to find a way to contain it. No question in my mind that you shouldn’t just give up an IC there though.
@Marshmallow:
Bad dice happen.
Since you committed to your build before the combat round per the rules, if the build includes an MIC placing that in Egypt would be bad since you really have little hope of holding Egypt without a fleet. I would say that you should not place the factory at all this round – hold it for placement in a later round (hopefully you activate Persia in non-combat on UK1 and then on UK2 you can place the factory there).
That is not legal. You can only hold units which were inadvertently bought and can’t be placed. Kreighund has clarified this.