18L Adam v Zhukov (+3) BM3

Tried and failed to play my turn……PBF seems buggy.

When I try to test post I keep getting status code 301, Failed to Login to Forum.

Test summary from TripleA, engine version: 1.9, time: 4:20:42 PM

Installed new version, hopefully it works now.

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 18

Research Technology - Germans

Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans repair damage of 3x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 57 PUs;
            Germans buy 3 artilleries, 3 infantry and 9 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Germans
            2 infantry moved from Germany to Poland
            2 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Germany to Western Germany
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Poland
            1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Greece to Poland
            2 bombers moved from Greece to Northwest Persia
            2 infantry moved from Caucasus to Northwest Persia
            3 armour and 3 mech_infantrys moved from Volgograd to Bryansk
            3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Belarus
            3 infantry moved from Russia to Bryansk
            2 infantry moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            7 armour and 16 mech_infantrys moved from Rostov to Belarus
            6 armour and 13 mech_infantrys moved from Caucasus to Bryansk
            3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to Western Germany
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to Western Germany

Combat - Germans
            Battle in Northwest Persia
                Germans attack with 2 bombers and 2 infantry
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 2 bombers and 2 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Northwest Persia
                Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from Russians with 2 bombers and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Battle in Poland
                Germans attack with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 3 tactical_bombers
                Americans defend with 1 mech_infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 3 tactical_bombers in Poland, round 2 : 4/7 hits, 3.17 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Poland, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 mech_infantry owned by the Americans lost in Poland
                Germans win, taking Poland from Americans with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 3 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Americans: 1 mech_infantry

Non Combat Move - Germans
            2 fighters and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Poland to Germany
            2 bombers moved from Northwest Persia to Bryansk
            2 bombers moved from Bryansk to Belarus
            1 aaGun moved from Bryansk to Belarus

Place Units - Germans
            9 mech_infantrys placed in Germany
            3 artilleries placed in Western Germany
            3 infantry placed in Russia

Turn Complete - Germans
            Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 105 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,5
            Germans collect 45 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 45 PUs
            Objective Germans 7 Control of Balkans: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 47 PUs
            Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 49 PUs
            Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 54 PUs
            Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 59 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : 0.17
    Americans : -0.33
    Russians : -0.33

triplea_41719_Ger18.tsvg

TripleA Manual Gamesave Post for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 18

Research Technology - Germans

Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans repair damage of 3x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 57 PUs;
            Germans buy 3 artilleries, 3 infantry and 9 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Germans
            2 infantry moved from Germany to Poland
            2 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Germany to Western Germany
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Poland
            1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Greece to Poland
            2 bombers moved from Greece to Northwest Persia
            2 infantry moved from Caucasus to Northwest Persia
            3 armour and 3 mech_infantrys moved from Volgograd to Bryansk
            3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Belarus
            3 infantry moved from Russia to Bryansk
            2 infantry moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            7 armour and 16 mech_infantrys moved from Rostov to Belarus
            6 armour and 13 mech_infantrys moved from Caucasus to Bryansk
            3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to Western Germany
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to Western Germany

Combat - Germans
            Battle in Northwest Persia
                Germans attack with 2 bombers and 2 infantry
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 2 bombers and 2 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Northwest Persia
                Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from Russians with 2 bombers and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Battle in Poland
                Germans attack with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 3 tactical_bombers
                Americans defend with 1 mech_infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 3 tactical_bombers in Poland, round 2 : 4/7 hits, 3.17 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Poland, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 mech_infantry owned by the Americans lost in Poland
                Germans win, taking Poland from Americans with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 3 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Americans: 1 mech_infantry

Non Combat Move - Germans
            2 fighters and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Poland to Germany
            2 bombers moved from Northwest Persia to Bryansk
            2 bombers moved from Bryansk to Belarus
            1 aaGun moved from Bryansk to Belarus

Place Units - Germans
            9 mech_infantrys placed in Germany
            3 artilleries placed in Western Germany
            3 infantry placed in Russia

Turn Complete - Germans
            Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 105 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,5
            Germans collect 45 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 45 PUs
            Objective Germans 7 Control of Balkans: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 47 PUs
            Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 49 PUs
            Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 54 PUs
            Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 59 PUs
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from French Indo China: 1 bomber
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to Caucasus: 1 bomber
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : 0.17
    Americans : -0.33
    Russians : -0.33

triplea_41719_Ger18.tsvg

Test summary from TripleA, engine version: 1.9, time: 5:38:12 AM

Test summary from TripleA, engine version: 1.9, time: 12:17:48 AM

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 18

Purchase Units - Japanese
            Japanese buy 2 artilleries, 1 destroyer and 6 infantry; Remaining resources: 5 SuicideAttackTokens; 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Japanese
            1 infantry moved from Rhodesia to Union of South Africa
            1 infantry moved from Kenya to 72 Sea Zone
            2 artilleries and 1 infantry moved from Kenya to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
            1 armour moved from French Central Africa to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
            1 battleship, 8 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 infantry, 3 submarines and 2 transports moved from 72 Sea Zone to 71 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 71 Sea Zone to 70 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 80 Sea Zone to 39 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from India to 39 Sea Zone
            1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Shan State
            1 fighter moved from India to 39 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from India to 39 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from India to 39 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from India to Shan State
            1 fighter moved from French Indo China to Shan State
            2 infantry moved from French Indo China to Shan State
            2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from French Indo China to Jehol
            2 infantry moved from Anhwe to Jehol
            1 bomber moved from Anhwe to Jehol
            1 fighter moved from French Indo China to Jehol
            1 fighter moved from French Indo China to Shan State
            1 fighter moved from India to Shan State
            1 fighter moved from India to Shan State
            1 infantry moved from Yunnan to French Indo China
            1 mech_infantry moved from Kweichow to Yunnan
            1 infantry moved from Hopei to Anhwe
            1 bomber moved from Japan to Korea

Combat - Japanese
            Strategic bombing raid in Korea
                    AA fire in Korea : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
                Bombing raid in Korea rolls: 5 and causes: 5 damage to unit: factory_minor
                Bombing raid in Korea causes 5 damage total.
            Battle in Shan State
                Japanese attack with 5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Americans defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                    Japanese roll dice for 5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Shan State, round 2 : 1/8 hits, 3.50 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Shan State, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Shan State
                    Japanese roll dice for 5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Shan State, round 3 : 3/8 hits, 3.50 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 artillery in Shan State, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 artillery owned by the Americans lost in Shan State
                Japanese win, taking Shan State from Americans with 5 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Americans: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Battle in Jehol
                Japanese attack with 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Americans defend with 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Jehol, round 2 : 3/7 hits, 3.17 expected hits
                    Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Jehol, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese, 1 infantry owned by the Americans and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Americans lost in Jehol
                Japanese win, taking Jehol from Chinese with 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
            Battle in 39 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 4 fighters and 1 submarine
                Americans defend with 1 destroyer
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 submarine in 39 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 39 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 destroyer owned by the Americans and 1 submarine owned by the Japanese lost in 39 Sea Zone
                Japanese win with 4 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 2
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 submarine
                Casualties for Americans: 1 destroyer

Non Combat Move - Japanese
            4 fighters moved from 39 Sea Zone to India
            1 infantry moved from 71 Sea Zone to Union of South Africa
            1 bomber moved from Korea to French Indo China
            3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Jehol to Anhwe
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Shan State to India
            1 fighter moved from Shan State to French Indo China
            1 fighter moved from Shan State to India
            1 fighter moved from Shan State to India
            1 fighter moved from Shan State to India
            1 infantry moved from Anhwe to Hunan
            1 fighter moved from Shan State to French Indo China
            1 mech_infantry moved from Hunan to French Indo China
            1 bomber moved from Jehol to India

Place Units - Japanese
            2 artilleries placed in Union of South Africa
            1 destroyer placed in 71 Sea Zone
            3 infantry placed in India
            3 infantry placed in French Indo China

Turn Complete - Japanese
            Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 22
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 37 Sea Zone. Rolls: 6,5
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 36 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,2
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 20 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,1,1,2,2,1
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 19 Sea Zone. Rolls: 1,5,3,3,6,6,6,6
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 6 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2,5,2,6,4,3,5,4
            Japanese collect 26 PUs (22 lost to blockades); end with 26 PUs
            Objective Japanese 3 Control Honolulu Or Sydney Or Calcutta Or Western United States: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 31 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

AA fire in Korea : : -0.17
    Americans : 0.67
    Chinese : 0.33
    Japanese : -2.50

triplea_41719_Jap18.tsvg

GG WP!  The board is still very interesting, but I don’t see a realistic path to Axis victory.  Axis might be able to force a favorable exchange here or there but can’t reverse the trend towards Allies gaining a decisive TUV advantage.

@JDOW:

I agree, gg both. Zhuk, it was impressive to see how you kept Japan alive after that disaster at Burma. Certainly, in case you lose 4-5 air less in this battle the entire dynamic could have gone different in the Pacific.
well done to Adam for the patience to grind the Axis down despite losing Moscow.

My preliminary conclusion is that a Eurasian land strategy for Axis (where Japan basically gives up on the Pacific to win in East Asia) is less effective in BM, due to the extra Allied NO money in the Pacific and the Atlantic.  So I’m thinking that prematurely giving up on the Pacific war should only be an option if there is a relatively sure-thing path to a Europe VC win.  Otherwise, Japan should try to hold out for as long as possible.

I remain skeptical about the viability of Western Axis fleet so I’m not optimistic about stopping the Allies from getting the extra NOs on the Atlantic side.  The path to Axis victory seems to be well-timed coordinated pushes, rather than the tried-and-true 2nd edition strat of winning the long game by dominating Eurasia.