@taamvan:
A fascinating discussion!
The ships were almost a decade apart, but as the crew has pointed out, the loss of the treaty restrictions and the move past the 10,000T=cruiser concept probably opened many design doors that couldn’t be exploited by the German shipbuilders who had to stick closer to that political but not helpful weight limit at a time when so many facilities were being added to ships (radar, sonar, AAA, ASW gear, seaplanes, wartime crew sizes)
Its difficult to see how these kinds of things would work out in practice, as only a single battle (kommandorski isles) was ever fought under the proposed hypothetical circumstances of “all-guns no air support”.
In my study I have found that (in regards to WW2 surface/submarine naval action not counting carrier aviation) while the Americans often had some technical or material advantage in most qualitative regards, that their performance was generally lower than would be expected because of inexperience, poor communication or tactics, unreliable equipment, or surprise. The Germans often performed better than expected at sea, despite having a deficiency of numbers and equipment, and tactics, and the Italians much worse than would be expected given the size and expenditure on their navy.
As with tanks, the Americans did not have spectacular ships, guns, crews, torpedoes, but rather the benefit of having well-designed, average and reliable equipment in adequate quantity and available in abundance at critical times and places. The opposite is true of the Axis; while their systems were stronger in design and performance, (and their preparations for night fighting and innovations of oxygen powered torpedoes, guided missiles/torpedoes etc.) they suffered from over complexity, poor general strategy (fleet submarines, solo raiding by unsupported warships even after PoW/Repulse were easily sunk), weak logistical support and coordination, and substituting novel design and variety for numbers.
So, its a great question as posed, without a date or any help, it may have been a closer match than stated above; the American ship is clearly a more robust, general design, a bigger, newer ship (and probably with a much better radar), even with those advantages, many US/UK ships with similar advantages were utterly mauled, and not just by submarines, mines, guided bombs, human torpedoes, air attacks, but also in face-to-face battles against similar ships. This has a lot to do with the specific situations (savo island, the bismark chase) but not really luck, more Axis moxy.
Couple of lucky hits, and the “better ship” can have an ammo explosion or lose its steam. And under the scenario of no-air no-helpers, 1v1, some luck or moxy might win the day, given the disparity in the attributes of each ship.
Have a great weekend!
Outstanding post.
I’d like to expand on what you’ve written. The Axis logistics were greatly inferior to those of the Allies; but that was largely by necessity. Germany had almost no natural resources except for coal. Coal was useful for powering trains, but a train could not get supplies all the way to soldiers at the front. That was especially true in a dynamic campaign, when the front would tend to shift far more rapidly than new rail could be built. Good logistics required large quantities of military trucks; and these in turn required large amounts of petroleum. (Without which they would be useless.) Had Germany been able to secure the Caucasus oilfields, and had Japan been able to better exploit the oil in the Dutch East Indies (without interference from American subs), the Axis would have had the oil required for good logistics.
As for tanks: during the Versailles Treaty Germany was not allowed to build tanks. Upon ridding itself of that treaty, it began designing tanks. But its future enemies had had an enormous head start. The Soviet Union had done an outstanding job with tank design. Its tanks were mobile–far more mobile than France’s, for example. Soviet tanks were less complex and easier to manufacture than Germany’s. They had sloping armor. And in 1941 or 1942, a Soviet T-34 or KV-1 could outperform any German tank in a one-on-one battle. During the 1940s the Soviets had far and away the world’s best tank designs.
For Germany, catching up to that represented a two part process. The first step was to redress the individual inferiority of German tanks. This was accomplished with the Panther and Tiger tank designs. In particular, the King Tiger was an absolute monster, and was individually far superior to almost any Allied tank it might encounter. But Tiger tanks were expensive: several times as expensive as Panzer IVs. Even Panthers were more complex and difficult to manufacture than T-34s. The proposed solution was the E-Series of tanks. “Compared to these earlier designs however, the amount of drilling and machining involved in producing these Standardpanzer was reduced drastically, which would have made them quicker, easier and cheaper to produce, as would the proposed conical spring system, replacing their predecessors’ torsion bar system which required a special steel alloy.” Not only would the E-Series have made German tanks much less expensive to produce, it would also have resulted in a modest improvement to individual performance. The heart of Germany’s tank strength would have consisted of E-50s and E-75s; both of which would have had the same gun as the King Tiger. (As well as optical rangefinders to improve long range accuracy, and infrared sighting equipment to improve night vision.) However, the war ended before development work on the E-Series had been finalized. Had the Germans and Soviets reached a temporary peace in late 1941, and resumed the conflict in 1946, Germany would by then have surpassed the Soviet Union to become the world leader in tank designs.