L23 OOB Martin (X) vs. Farmboy (L+39)

@martin all good

@martin no intercept

@martin also, if you ever have an equal number of interceptors to the escorts I have, feel free to assume no intercept. I can imagine there might be the rare circumstance where I would still choose to intercept, but we can safely do it after without affecting the bombing run.

@farmboy also, the german turn posted is from a different game. Its fine for the decision as I could see from the map you posted.

@martin Sov7.tsvg

Game History

Round: 7

    Purchase Units - Russians
        Russians repair damage of 7x factory_major; Remaining resources: 32 PUs; 
        Russians buy 10 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Russians
        2 infantry moved from Belarus to Archangel
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Belarus to Bryansk
        2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Archangel
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Bryansk

    Combat - Russians
        Battle in Bryansk
            Russians attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Bryansk, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Bryansk, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Bryansk
            Russians win, taking Bryansk from Germans with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Archangel
            Russians attack with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Germans defend with 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
                Russians roll dice for 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Archangel, round 2 : 0/5 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Archangel, round 3 : 4/5 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Archangel, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 infantry owned by the Germans and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Archangel
            Russians win, taking Archangel from Germans with 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry

    Non Combat Move - Russians
        2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Archangel to Russia
        1 fighter moved from Bryansk to Russia
        1 aaGun moved from Belarus to Bryansk
        1 aaGun moved from Russia to Tambov
        2 infantry moved from Russia to Tambov
        1 aaGun, 8 artilleries and 39 infantry moved from Russia to Samara
        1 armour and 5 mech_infantrys moved from Vologda to Russia
        2 aaGuns and 11 infantry moved from Sakha to Amur
        1 infantry moved from Siberia to Amur
        1 submarine moved from 99 Sea Zone to 94 Sea Zone
        1 armour and 5 mech_infantrys moved from Russia to Samara
        1 armour moved from Anglo Egyptian Sudan to Trans-Jordan
        1 mech_infantry moved from Libya to Alexandria

    Place Units - Russians
        10 infantry placed in Russia

    Turn Complete - Russians
        Russians collect 23 PUs; end with 25 PUs
        Objective Russians 2 Spread Of Communism: Russians met a national objective for an additional 12 PUs; end with 37 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans regular : -0.67
Russians regular : 0.83

@martin UK7.tsvg

Game History

Round: 7

    Purchase Units - Americans
        Americans buy 1 airfield, 2 destroyers, 1 factory_minor, 1 fighter, 1 harbour and 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Americans
        1 fighter moved from Midway to 17 Sea Zone
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Wake Island to 17 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 22 Sea Zone to 18 Sea Zone
              Americans take 22 Sea Zone from Japanese
        2 fighters moved from 22 Sea Zone to 18 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 22 Sea Zone to 17 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 22 Sea Zone to 18 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Greece to Albania
              Americans take Albania from Italians
        1 infantry moved from Greece to Bulgaria
              Americans take Bulgaria from Germans
        3 fighters moved from 22 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Gibraltar to 104 Sea Zone
        1 bomber moved from Syria to Ukraine
        1 submarine moved from 23 Sea Zone to 17 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 22 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 91 Sea Zone to 104 Sea Zone

    Combat - Americans
        Strategic bombing raid in Ukraine
                Germans roll AA dice in Ukraine : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
            Bombing raid in Ukraine rolls: 5 and causes: 5 damage to unit: factory_minor
            Bombing raid in Ukraine causes 5 damage total. 
        Battle in 17 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 2 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber
            Japanese defend with 1 destroyer
                Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 17 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 17 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 17 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 17 Sea Zone
            Americans win, taking 17 Sea Zone from Japanese with 2 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer
        Battle in 18 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 1 destroyer and 3 fighters
            Japanese defend with 1 destroyer
                Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer and 3 fighters in 18 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.83 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 18 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 18 Sea Zone
            Americans win with 1 destroyer and 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer
        Battle in 104 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 1 fighter, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber
            Germans defend with 1 destroyer
                Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 104 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in 104 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 104 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 submarine owned by the Americans lost in 104 Sea Zone
                Americans roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in 104 Sea Zone, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 104 Sea Zone, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the Germans lost in 104 Sea Zone
            Americans win with 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 2
            Casualties for Americans: 1 submarine
            Casualties for Germans: 1 destroyer
        Battle in 21 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 1 destroyer and 3 fighters
            Japanese defend with 1 destroyer
                Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer and 3 fighters in 21 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.83 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 21 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the Americans and 1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 21 Sea Zone
            Americans win with 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Americans: 1 destroyer
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer

    Non Combat Move - Americans
        5 carriers and 3 fighters moved from 22 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Marianas to 22 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 3 infantry and 2 transports moved from 22 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from 33 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
        3 fighters moved from 21 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        3 fighters moved from 18 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 17 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        2 fighters moved from 33 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
        1 destroyer moved from 26 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 10 Sea Zone to 25 Sea Zone
        2 submarines moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
        1 carrier moved from 10 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone
        2 fighters moved from Western United States to Hawaiian Islands
        1 aaGun moved from Hawaiian Islands to 26 Sea Zone
        2 mech_infantrys moved from Hawaiian Islands to 26 Sea Zone
        3 infantry moved from Hawaiian Islands to 26 Sea Zone
        1 aaGun, 3 infantry, 2 mech_infantrys and 3 transports moved from 26 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 carrier and 1 fighter moved from 26 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 aaGun, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from 54 Sea Zone to Queensland
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Cyprus to 99 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 99 Sea Zone to Russia
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 97 Sea Zone to Albania
        1 transport moved from 99 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone
        1 armour moved from Malta to 96 Sea Zone
        1 armour and 1 transport moved from 96 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 armour moved from 97 Sea Zone to Albania
        1 infantry moved from Gibraltar to 92 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Tunisia to Libya
        1 infantry moved from Algeria to Tunisia
        1 cruiser and 2 destroyers moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 transport moved from 91 Sea Zone to 101 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from Eastern United States to Gibraltar
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 104 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
        1 fighter moved from Syria to Greece
        1 bomber moved from Ukraine to Russia
        1 mech_infantry moved from French Equatorial Africa to Egypt
        1 fighter moved from Gibraltar to Greece
        1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone
        1 mech_infantry moved from Libya to 96 Sea Zone
        1 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 transport moved from 96 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from 97 Sea Zone to Albania

    Place Units - Americans
        2 infantry placed in Central United States
        1 fighter placed in Western United States
        2 destroyers placed in 10 Sea Zone
        1 airfield, 1 factory_minor and 1 harbour placed in Greece

    Turn Complete - Americans
        Americans collect 57 PUs; end with 57 PUs
        Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 67 PUs
        Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 72 PUs
        Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 77 PUs

    Purchase Units - Chinese
        Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
        Chinese buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Chinese
        1 infantry moved from Shensi to Szechwan
              Chinese take Szechwan from Japanese
        1 infantry moved from Shensi to Kweichow
              Chinese take Kweichow from Japanese
        1 infantry moved from Chahar to Jehol
              Chinese take Jehol from Japanese
        1 infantry moved from Suiyuyan to Hopei
              Chinese take Hopei from Japanese

    Combat - Chinese

    Non Combat Move - Chinese

    Place Units - Chinese
        2 infantry placed in Kansu

    Turn Complete - Chinese
        Chinese collect 9 PUs; end with 9 PUs

    Purchase Units - British
        British buy 2 artilleries, 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - British
        1 bomber moved from Trans-Jordan to India
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Burma to India
        1 mech_infantry moved from Eastern Persia to India
        3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Eastern Persia to India

    Combat - British
        Battle in India
            British attack with 1 artillery, 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Japanese defend with 1 airfield, 4 artilleries, 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 4 infantry
                British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in India, round 2 : 4/9 hits, 3.83 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 4 artilleries and 4 infantry in India, round 2 : 2/8 hits, 2.67 expected hits
                4 infantry owned by the Japanese and 2 infantry owned by the British lost in India
                British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in India, round 3 : 5/7 hits, 3.50 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 4 artilleries in India, round 3 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                4 artilleries owned by the Japanese and 1 artillery owned by the British lost in India
            British win, taking India from Japanese with 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 18
            Casualties for British: 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Casualties for Japanese: 4 artilleries and 4 infantry

    Non Combat Move - British
        1 aaGun moved from Burma to India
        1 tactical_bomber moved from India to West India
        2 fighters moved from India to West India
        1 bomber moved from India to West India
        1 fighter moved from India to Eastern Persia
        1 tactical_bomber moved from West India to Eastern Persia
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Persia to Eastern Persia
        3 infantry moved from Iraq to Persia
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Egypt to Trans-Jordan
        1 armour moved from Egypt to Iraq
        3 transports moved from 99 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone
        3 fighters moved from 99 Sea Zone to Russia
        2 carriers moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        2 fighters moved from Gibraltar to 97 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to 97 Sea Zone
        3 fighters moved from Greece to Russia
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to 97 Sea Zone
        1 cruiser moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 battleship moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Libya to 96 Sea Zone
        1 armour, 3 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Tobruk to 96 Sea Zone
        1 armour, 4 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 3 transports moved from 96 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 armour and 4 infantry moved from 97 Sea Zone to Albania
        1 mech_infantry moved from 97 Sea Zone to Albania
        1 infantry moved from Alexandria to Tobruk
        1 artillery moved from Tunisia to Libya
        3 mech_infantrys moved from Union of South Africa to Belgian Congo
        1 infantry moved from French Equatorial Africa to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
        2 artilleries moved from Greece to Albania
        1 fighter moved from 97 Sea Zone to Greece
        1 destroyer moved from 81 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from Greece to Albania
        2 submarines moved from 97 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 97 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone
        2 submarines moved from 97 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone

    Place Units - British
        1 fighter and 2 infantry placed in United Kingdom
        2 artilleries and 1 infantry placed in Egypt
        3 mech_infantrys placed in Union of South Africa

    Turn Complete - British
        British collect 34 PUs; end with 34 PUs
        Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 39 PUs

    Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 0
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 39 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,4
        UK_Pacific collect 6 PUs; end with 6 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Americans regular : -2.33
Japanese regular : -1.00
Germans AA : -0.17
Germans regular : 0.33
British regular : 1.67

@martin with your permission adjusted both US and UK ncms in Europe. Keeping all the units in Greece rather than Albania

@farmboy UK7.tsvg

@martin The naval base was so that the US units (and UK but for them I could have waited a turn to build) have the option of moving 3 spaces. I may end up not doing that next turn depending on what you do, but it was important to me to have the option.

I attacked Burma because it made your attack on India a touch weaker if you tried to split your forces and hit both. And if you didn’t, than I would have the option of retaking it. One of my goals with the allies is to get as many Japanese land units off the mainland and attacking Burma was a slightly better way to do that than holding up in India. And I also had Java. If you went for that too, than you are stretched thin enough that you might fail elsewhere.

I had hoped you would pay a bit more for your attack on India and so was lucky my counter went as well as it did.

I don’t think the Italian attack was worth it. If you are in a desperate situation than it might be because you can open up a German attack on Moscow. But that attack has less than 50% odds and an average tuv outcome of -40+. One thing here to note is that Moscow is out of reach from the German mechs in Ukraine because they are not joined by tanks and can’t blitz. An attack like that can pay off, but the trade off is most, if not all, of the German air. Ands I get Moscow back and can likely hold it after (although I haven’t calculated that), and the Western allies have an easier time landing units in Europe without the German air.

@martin Fre7.tsvg Game History

Round: 7

    Purchase Units - ANZAC
        ANZAC buy 2 submarines and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 

    Combat Move - ANZAC
        3 fighters moved from 33 Sea Zone to 34 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from Queensland to 34 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 22 Sea Zone to 34 Sea Zone

    Combat - ANZAC
        Battle in 34 Sea Zone
            ANZAC attack with 4 fighters and 1 submarine
            Japanese defend with 1 destroyer
                ANZAC roll dice for 1 submarine in 34 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                ANZAC roll dice for 4 fighters in 34 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 34 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 34 Sea Zone
            ANZAC win with 4 fighters and 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer

    Non Combat Move - ANZAC
        1 cruiser moved from 22 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 34 Sea Zone to Queensland
        3 fighters moved from 34 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 33 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
        2 infantry moved from Northwest Persia to Iraq

    Place Units - ANZAC
        2 submarines and 1 transport placed in 62 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - ANZAC
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 42 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2
        ANZAC collect 12 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 13 PUs
        Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 18 PUs

    Combat Move - French

    Non Combat Move - French
        1 infantry moved from Northwest Persia to Iraq
        1 infantry moved from Egypt to Trans-Jordan
        3 infantry moved from Libya to Tobruk
        1 destroyer moved from 81 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - French

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Japanese regular : -0.33
ANZAC regular : -1.33