@simon33:
You are saying that if the Soviet Union is at war with Italy but not Germany and there is a German sub in SZ125? I would say you are correct (if it is even possible) but I can’t see that ever happening because Germany would join in an Italian war on USSR before the USSR’s next turn if it isn’t automatic.
That’s indeed what I’m saying. When either Germany or Italy declares war on the Soviet Union, that doesn’t automatically trigger war with the other one. Suppose Italy declares war I2 and takes Bessarabia with its tanks, of which it has two in the initial setup. Then on Germany’s turn, Germany may or may not declare war. While declaring war allows it to take Soviet territory for itself, not doing so gives Germany the 5 IPC NO for not being at war with the Soviet Union for one more round (because the Soviets will no doubt declare war if Germany doesn’t).
And in the man time, German forces can still move into Italian-occupied Bessarabia (doing so is not an attack on Russia in that scenario), creating a threat to the Ukraine that is probably very hard to stop for the Soviets. All of that may be part of a strategy aimed at a direct drive to Moscow as opposed to an advance over a broad front. Whether or not that’s a better option at that point in time than taking additional Soviet territory, also depends on what the Soviet Union did so far. Not declaring war would also imply refraining from a northern advance towards Novgorod, but some people like to keep the Fins where they are anyway to counter any US/UK attempts on Norway, which is a pain to lose.
Finally, an Italian-led advance into the Soviet Union may put some extra money from captured territories into Italy’s pockets for as long as their advance lasts, because if the Soviets put up a stack big enough to stop them, that stack may be killed by Germany.
I’m not saying this is optimal, but I do believe it is viable.