Um, you do realize both Turkey and Swedish units are 5+ turns from reaching Moscow? I’d only be worried about those Inf in Turkey marching on Egypt if / when Moscow falls.
Suppose you take Portugal on US4.
That means assuming Germany is even in position, it is a G5 activation, so:
G5 Activate Turkey, G6 Caucasus, G7 Rostov, G8 Bryansk, G9 Moscow. And that assumes Germany has a single unit next to Turkey ending G4. Chances of that happening are pretty slim from everything I’ve seen Germany use as a strategy.
Sweden is a possibility on G4 of having the Fins sitting next to it, but isn’t Sweden part of the German NO that Sweden remains neutral? I’m not sure I’d trade the NO for the Inf as assuming the same scenario above, a Allied R4 neutral move means:
G5 Activate Sweden, G6 Finland, G7 Karelia, G8 Novgorod, G9 Belarus, G10 Smolensk, G11 Moscow
In short, I could care less about giving Germany slow moving infantry so far from just about everything but maybe reinforcing Norway (once) and potentially bolstering a post fall of Moscow advance on Egypt.
Switzerland is irrelevant with simply 2 Inf and no IPC value.
I think you all make a bigger deal out of handing the Germans Sweden and Turkey than needs to be made. My only concern would be Spain’s 6 Inf with a full contingent of aircraft strafing the Allied stacks in Portugal. Which, is why I made sure to be clear your stack could absorb the hit and still pose a threat to land on WGr or march on Gib itself.
Assuming you can muster a sea defense, I probably wouldn’t put anything less than 25-30 units there to deter the Germans from strafing it at all. There’s a distinct possibility you could cut heavily into their aircraft with a good roll as statistically speaking the average roll should net you 10 units, 6 being Inf, 4 being aircraft. A good defensive roll and you could cripple the air force making the Axis scuttle Gib and hide behind it in the Med and all in all ruining their plans as they run back to Rome and then Berlin.