MrRoboto (Allies+22) vs Simon33 (Axis) BM

Okay so 9 hits overall, 5 from the subs and 4 from the rest.

you have:

1 destroyer
1 healthy carrier
3 damaged carriers
1 cruiser
4 tac bombers
1 damaged battleship
6 fighters

Ok you defend with:

3 damaged carriers
1 healthy carrier
1 destroyer
1 cruiser
4 tacs
1 damaged battleship
6 fighters

[dice 5d6<=2]
[dice 5d6<=3]
[dice 7d6<=4]

5d6<=2: 5, 6, 4, 5, 3; Hits: 0
5d6<=3: 1, 5, 6, 1, 5; Hits: 2
7d6<=4: 5, 4, 4, 3, 4, 1, 3; Hits: 6

8 hits, one less than average, while I had 9 hits (which was one more than average). Another round that went slightly my way - but in navy battles even slight deviations from the average have a big impact!

My plan was to soften you up enough for anzac to finish the rest, especially because you might not choose max def from the beginning (and this is exactly what happened). Now I might have a shot to even win outright with US!

Now before I choose my casualties: You said you wanted my 9 hits to go to ALL ships + 2 tacs. Did you forget about your damaged battleship?
3 damaged carriers + 1 healthy carrier + 1 destroyer + 1 cruiser + 1 damaged battleship = 8 hits.

Sorry for dragging this out, but if you leave the battleship, I might have to leave 1 or 2 subs instead of destroyers…

That makes my choice easy - all 8 hits on my subs!

Round 3.

I attack with

7 destroyers
2 cruisers
1 fighter
1 tac
1 damaged battleship
1 boosted tac

Power: 34
Average hits: 5,66

[dice 7d6<=2]
[dice 4d6<=3]
[dice 2d6<=4]

7d6<=2: 4, 4, 3, 6, 4, 5, 1; Hits: 1
4d6<=3: 3, 1, 5, 4; Hits: 2
2d6<=4: 4, 4; Hits: 2

5 hits

You defend with:

3 tacs
6 fighters

I assume you will take 3 tacs + 2 fighters

Power: 33
Average hits: 5,5

[dice 3d6<=3]
[dice 6d6<=4]

3d6<=3: 5, 5, 1; Hits: 1
6d6<=4: 1, 1, 6, 3, 2, 5; Hits: 4

Round 4:

I attack with

2 destroyers
2 cruisers
1 fighter
1 tac
1 damaged battleship
1 boosted tac

Power: 24
Average hits: 4,00

[dice 2d6<=2]
[dice 4d6<=3]
[dice 2d6<=4]

2d6<=2: 6, 1; Hits: 1
4d6<=3: 1, 1, 5, 6; Hits: 2
2d6<=4: 1, 1; Hits: 2

All your remaining 4 fighters die!

Power: 16
Average hits: 2,66

[dice 4d6<=4]

4d6<=4: 1, 2, 6, 6; Hits: 2

Just wanted to Bombard Germany with my British bomber, because I thought you need an airfield to intercept. You don’t, so I won’t bombard. Will edit accordingly.

I will Bombard Ukraine then. I will use the dice result from the Germany bombardment.

UK12.tsvg

Game History

Round: 12

    Purchase Units - Americans
        Americans buy 2 artilleries, 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters, 9 infantry, 1 submarine and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Americans
        3 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from Normandy Bordeaux to 110 Sea Zone
        6 artilleries and 11 infantry moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Southern France
        3 artilleries, 3 infantry and 3 transports moved from 110 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
        3 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from 125 Sea Zone to Norway
        5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to Bulgaria
        1 battleship, 3 carriers, 2 cruisers, 8 destroyers, 1 fighter, 8 submarines and 2 tactical_bombers moved from 54 Sea Zone to 45 Sea Zone

    Combat - Americans
        Battle in Norway
        Battle in 45 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 2 cruisers, 8 destroyers, 1 fighter, 8 submarines and 2 tactical_bombers
            Japanese defend with 1 battleship, 5 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 6 fighters, 4 submarines and 4 tactical_bombers
                Americans roll dice for 8 submarines in 45 Sea Zone, round 2 : 3/8 hits, 2,67 expected hits
            Units damaged: 2 carriers owned by the Japanese and 1 battleship owned by the Japanese
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 2 cruisers, 8 destroyers, 1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers in 45 Sea Zone, round 2 : 7/14 hits, 6,00 expected hits
            Units damaged: 2 carriers owned by the Japanese
                Japanese roll dice for 4 submarines in 45 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 5 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 6 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers in 45 Sea Zone, round 2 : 8/18 hits, 9,17 expected hits
            Units damaged: 1 battleship owned by the Americans
                1 destroyer owned by the Americans and 3 carriers owned by the Americans lost in 45 Sea Zone
                1 carrier owned by the Japanese and 4 submarines owned by the Japanese lost in 45 Sea Zone
                Americans roll dice for 8 submarines in 45 Sea Zone, round 3 : 5/8 hits, 2,67 expected hits
            Units damaged: 1 carrier owned by the Japanese
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 7 destroyers, 1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers in 45 Sea Zone, round 3 : 7/13 hits, 5,67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 4 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 6 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers in 45 Sea Zone, round 3 : 7/17 hits, 8,83 expected hits
                7 submarines owned by the Americans lost in 45 Sea Zone
                4 tactical_bombers owned by the Japanese, 4 carriers owned by the Japanese, 1 destroyer owned by the Japanese, 1 battleship owned by the Japanese and 1 cruiser owned by the Japanese lost in 45 Sea Zone
            1 submarine owned by the Americans submerged
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 7 destroyers, 1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers in 45 Sea Zone, round 4 : 6/13 hits, 5,67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 6 fighters in 45 Sea Zone, round 4 : 4/6 hits, 4,00 expected hits
                4 destroyers owned by the Americans lost in 45 Sea Zone
                6 fighters owned by the Japanese lost in 45 Sea Zone
            Americans win, taking Norway from Germans with 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 3 destroyers, 1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 118
            Casualties for Americans: 3 carriers, 5 destroyers and 7 submarines
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 battleship, 5 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 6 fighters, 4 submarines and 4 tactical_bombers
        Battle in Bulgaria
            Americans attack with 5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Germans defend with 1 mech_infantry
                Americans roll dice for 5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Bulgaria, round 2 : 2/8 hits, 3,50 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Bulgaria, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Bulgaria
            Americans win, taking Bulgaria from Germans with 5 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Germans: 1 mech_infantry
        Battle in Southern France
            Americans attack with 6 artilleries and 11 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 1 mech_infantry
                Americans roll dice for 6 artilleries and 11 infantry in Southern France, round 2 : 6/17 hits, 4,83 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Southern France, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Southern France
            Americans win, taking Southern France from Germans with 6 artilleries and 11 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Germans: 1 mech_infantry

    Non Combat Move - Americans
        1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from Eastern United States to 101 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 5 infantry and 3 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
        3 transports moved from 107 Sea Zone to 101 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 93 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 submarine moved from 93 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 110 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
        5 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Bulgaria to Greece
        1 infantry moved from Greece to Albania
        1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco
        1 submarine moved from 110 Sea Zone to 105 Sea Zone
        1 carrier and 1 destroyer moved from 110 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
        2 carriers and 3 destroyers moved from 110 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia
        1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from 45 Sea Zone to New Guinea
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Hawaiian Islands to 26 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 destroyer, 1 infantry, 3 submarines and 1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 54 Sea Zone to Queensland
        3 fighters moved from Western United States to Hawaiian Islands
        1 destroyer moved from 10 Sea Zone to 25 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 10 Sea Zone to 27 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 27 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone

    Place Units - Americans
        Turning on Edit Mode
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 45 Sea Zone: 1 destroyer and 1 submarine
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from New Guinea: 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber
        EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
        1 artillery and 5 infantry placed in Eastern United States
        1 artillery and 4 infantry placed in Western United States
        1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 1 submarine and 1 transport placed in 10 Sea Zone
        1 fighter placed in Western United States
        1 fighter placed in Eastern United States
        Americans undo move 2.
        Americans undo move 4.
        1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry placed in Western United States
        3 infantry placed in Greece

    Turn Complete - Americans
        Americans collect 63 PUs; end with 63 PUs
        Trigger Americans 7 North Africa Beach Head: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 68 PUs
        Trigger Americans 6 Western Europe Beach Head: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 73 PUs
        Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 83 PUs
        Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 88 PUs
        Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 93 PUs

    Purchase Units - Chinese
        Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
        Chinese buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Chinese

    Place Units - Chinese
        1 infantry placed in Yunnan
        1 infantry placed in Sikang
        1 infantry placed in Tsinghai
        1 infantry placed in Suiyuyan

    Turn Complete - Chinese
        Chinese collect 5 PUs; end with 6 PUs

    Purchase Units - British
        British buy 1 destroyer and 14 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Purchase Units - UK_Pacific
        UK_Pacific buy 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - British
        1 infantry moved from Burma to Shan State
        1 infantry moved from Burma to Shan State
        2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Shan State
        1 bomber moved from Greece to Germany

    Combat - British
        Air Battle in Germany
            British attacks with 1 units heading to Germany
            Air Battle is over, the remaining bombers go on to their targets
        Strategic bombing raid in Germany
                Germans roll AA dice in Germany : 1/1 hits, 0,17 expected hits
            1 bomber owned by the British killed by AA in Germany
            Bombing raid in Germany causes 0 damage total. 
        Battle in Shan State
            British attack with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                British roll dice for 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Shan State, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 2,00 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Shan State, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Shan State
            British win, taking Shan State from Japanese with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - British
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Burma to India
        2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Shan State to India
        2 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Persia to Persia
        2 artilleries, 1 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Persia to Northwest Persia
        3 infantry moved from Egypt to Trans-Jordan
        1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from Trans-Jordan to Iraq
        3 infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia
        3 fighters moved from Greece to Northwest Persia
        1 aaGun and 6 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
        2 aaGuns and 1 infantry moved from Normandy Bordeaux to 110 Sea Zone
        3 aaGuns, 1 battleship, 1 carrier, 2 cruisers, 5 destroyers, 7 infantry and 5 transports moved from 110 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
        3 aaGuns and 7 infantry moved from 125 Sea Zone to Norway
        2 aaGuns, 2 artilleries and 12 infantry moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Southern France
        1 fighter moved from Greece to Northwest Persia
        5 fighters moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Greece
        2 fighters moved from Greece to Northwest Persia
        1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to Gibraltar

    Place Units - British
        1 destroyer placed in 71 Sea Zone
        3 infantry placed in Persia
        3 infantry placed in Egypt
        8 infantry placed in United Kingdom

    Turn Complete - British
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 80 Sea Zone. Rolls: 5,2
        British collect 31 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 31 PUs
        Trigger British 3 No Enemy Submarines: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 34 PUs
        Objective British 4 Control Convoy Lanes: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 37 PUs
        Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 40 PUs
        Objective British 2 Southern Europe Beach Head: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 43 PUs

    Place Units - UK_Pacific
        1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry placed in India

    Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 0
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 39 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,4
        UK_Pacific collect 7 PUs; end with 7 PUs
        Some Units in India change ownership: 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Americans regular : 5,00
Japanese regular : -4,00
Germans AA : 0,83
Germans regular : -0,67
British regular : 0,00

Welp, you shot down the bomber anyways…