Thanks for the update. Enjoy your travels :)
S03 Gamerman01 (allies +12) v JWW
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Really poor? You’re revealing either your bias or your ignorance.
Chance of missing everything (that sure would have been nice) = 19.38%
Chance of hitting zero or one = 54.27%
Chance of hitting 2 or less = 82.17%So it was a typical roll. Certainly not “really poor”.
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@JWW:
I am a glass half full guy. I’m above avg. At least that is what my beautiful wife says. :wink:
:-)
Except it seems you are a glass half empty guy to me. You complain about average results! If you were glass half full, you would be glad you hit one!! -
If you want to talk dice, it was unfortunate for me to lose a fighter in the Pacific, and to fail to take France, as I got sub-par rolls after the completely average (1/6) AA. Balanced out by tremendous damage rolls, so all in all, I would consider that an average US turn. I think the numbers back me up.
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Do you have time for the German move? If you do it, I can move Russia within an hour or two this evening.
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Hm - 16 rounds completed in 2 1/2 months. That’s almost a move per day on average - pretty good
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You’re revealing either your bias or your ignorance.
or BOTH!
Really? going 0-9 for a one is 20% likely? and 1-9 over 54%?? I am NOT a math guy and I have NO IDEA how you come to those calculations but they seem like really big numbers.
So I guess all those lone super subs that keep getting one’s on D is like a math miracle? Not that we believe in miracles……
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@JWW:
Really? going 0-9 for a one is 20% likely? and 1-9 over 54%?? I am NOT a math guy and I have NO IDEA how you come to those calculations but they seem like really big numbers.
Yes.
I have an accurate A&A calculator.
I put in 9 bombers against 9 bombers for 1 round only, and looked at the % distribution.
Yes, there is a 20% chance that 9 1’s will miss completely. -
G17 rpr 8 purch 3 inf & art spend 21 (save 1)
combat
#1a ukr (arm) v inf, art (bul)
#1 nwe (3inf, aa) v 4inf, art, arm & 3 fgt (ger)
#2 pol (inf) v 2inf (bul) & 4 fgt (ger)
#3 cze (inf) v 5inf & 10 arm (bul)this is not looking good……
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ukr attackRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)v armRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (6)
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0.hit 19,38 %
1.hit 34,89 %
2.hit 27,91 %
3.hit 13,02 %
4.hit 3,91 %
5.hit 0,78 %
6.hit 0,10 %
7.hit 0,01 %
8.hit 0,00 %
9.hit 0,00 %
100,00 %Just tought i should end the discussion. This is for 9 planes running against an AA. The probability is for that exact outcome. So for hitting 3 or less you have to add up 0.hit trough 3.hit etc.
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ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
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BS, I don’t believe your math. doesn’t account for the randomness of dice. I prefer to hang in the quantum mechanics world where there is just too much chaos for lack of a better world to make such bold presumptions.
NWE attackRolls: 3@3 2@2 3@1; Total Hits: 33@3: (1, 4, 5)2@2: (1, 1)3@1: (3, 3, 4)v 3infRolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 5, 4)
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@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 % -
nwe twlo fgt
pol attackRolls: 4@3 2@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 6, 6)2@1: (3, 3)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
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really
Rolls: 4@3 1@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 4, 4)1@1: (6)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
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@JWW:
this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
57.9%
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Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JW -
@Pin:
@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 %so basically, according to your chart you got lucky seeing as I had a 55% chance of not getting hit?
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last post ill make about statistics, sorry but i love statistics :p
1st round 0,72 %
2nd round 0,87 %
total 0,01 %This is the Poland battle odds for what happened, thats one sick sick outlier. You probably wont see such a skewed fight in most games you roll on this site :p
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Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JWyeah those odds are like stupid huh?
3rd waveRolls: 3@3 1@1; Total Hits: 43@3: (1, 3, 2)1@1: (1)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)