wrong map

Ok, last post :p

Im a major in financial math. Im prolly are sad person, but gf got to get up early tomorrow so im playing some Agricola while spectating you guys playing. Quit playing AA a year or so back myself, but still enjoy a good game, and i have followed youre game since the start :)

@Gamerman01:

Pin, if you are going to jump into a hot game and start posting, you need to clearly identify yourself.
JWW understandably thought you were me. 
That could cause some serious misunderstandings if you’re not careful.  Thanks.

Duely noted, i will not post anymore. Just tought it was obviouse as it says Pin on the left hand side of the post. And i just wanted to post some hard facts about statistics not commenting game. But just as i wrote that first post that sick outlier happened and i couldnt keep myself. Sorry for that, just ignore my post and go back to the game. A very interesting game you guys have going :)

@Gamerman01:

Calculating the odds of a certain number of AA missing is easy.  Take 5/6 to the Nth power.
5/6 to the 3rd (NWE) = 57.9%
5/6 to the 9th (USA’s) = 19.4%

Excel can do that.

And Pin, believe me, man, I have seen MANY dice results just as strange as Poland, there.  Many.  How about 5 of 6 aircraft shot down by AA on one turn?  How about 13 tanks all missing, and the 3 defending tanks all hitting?  I could go on.

If you regularly see 0.01% battles then i feel sorry for you or you got to be the luckiest man alive. By nature of the odds you have to roll 10 000 battles to see that happen. Ofcourse you will have seen it before, but far from in every game you play.

last post ill make about statistics, sorry but i love statistics :p

1st round 0,72 %
2nd round 0,87 %
total 0,01 %

This is the Poland battle odds for what happened, thats one sick sick outlier. You probably wont see such a skewed fight in most games you roll on this site :p

@JWW:

ukr twol

NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?

0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 %

0.hit 19,38 %
1.hit 34,89 %
2.hit 27,91 %
3.hit 13,02 %
4.hit 3,91 %
5.hit 0,78 %
6.hit 0,10 %
7.hit 0,01 %
8.hit 0,00 %
9.hit 0,00 %
100,00 %

Just tought i should end the discussion. This is for 9 planes running against an AA. The probability is for that exact outcome. So for hitting 3 or less you have to add up 0.hit trough 3.hit etc.

On the map the IC in france should be downgraded to a minor IC when the Germans took it. Cant be upgraded again unless its France territory again.

Just a tip soul, when you do 2d6 the dices is sorted from smallest to largest, so if last AA hit you will allways loose highest dmg dice ;)

Question about kamikaze.

When does it become available?
Thing is, US moves in with entire fleet and transport and land 1 inf on Iwo, all this happens at the same time, and the kamikaze option becomes available. Can the Jap declare an kamikaze attack on those warships that entered the zone along with the transport that first took Iwo, or do you have to wait til the next time an allied ship enteres a kamikaze zone?

My interpretation is that as everything happens simultaniously the Jap would be allowed to declare a kamikaze strike on that fleet, but after hearing both sides in a F2F game im not sure ;)