That’s conveluted, just a thought, next time, split it up so it looks prettier.
Anyway, there are good odds the transport in SZ 106 is toast, so you have the one in SZ 109 only.
Yes, you can have +18 units in England, but I don’t think that’s enough to stop Sea Lion.
1) 6-8 Units go to Scotland Round 2.
2) 6-8 Units + 6-8 Units in Scotland Attack England + 5 Fighters, 5 Tactical Bombers and 1 Strategic Bomber.
That’s 16 Ground Units + 11 Air Units, but assume two of those are lost to AA Guns.
If you put a ship in SZ 110, then you’ll have less to defend England with, so I’ll assume I have the Cruiser and Battleship bombardment as well. (Of course, Italy could sink the ship anyway and thus you would have less units to defend England AND I would get my shore bombardments.)
England has 23 Ground Units, AA Gun and 5 or 6 Fighters.
Let’s say:
23 Infantry, 6 Fighters, AA Gun Defending
12 Infantry, 4 Artillery, 6 Armor, 5 Fighters, 5 Tactical Bombers, Strategic Bomber, Cruiser and Battleship Attacking
Opening Fire: 1 Fighter, 1 Tactical Bomber lost to AA Gun fire.
Germany has a 92.4% Chance to win with 4 Fighters, 5 Bombers and 1 Armor remaining.