[quote author=Zhukov44 link=topic=27485.msg968458#msg968458 date=1338680429]
But even in Alpha 3.9, if Germany is in position to Sea Lion, Taranto could be a mistake. Especially if the G1 naval battles went well for Axis. It would definitely be a shame if Sea Lion has been weakened to the point where United Kingdom should always attack Tarranto. But I’m skeptical whether that’s actually the case. It seems to me that Tarranto is only advisable in cases where the Sea Lion threat is weak or non-existent.
[/quote]
imho sealion is already weak enough to a point where uk should awlays attack taranto. if uk skips taranto than denying ita getting egy/middle east is almost impossible, which combined with an optimal barbarossa means gg.
so I do taranto in uk1 regardless of g1. pays back on the long run even if ger captures london in g3
[quote author=soulfein link=topic=27513.msg970119#msg970119 date=1339000786]
usually a g3 london is kinda good-ish for axis, while a g4 london is almost a gg.
the biggest factor why sealion is a bad move for axis is that after a proper usa response (bmbrs), japs cant dow till london s captured, which most of the time (-if not always) means no pac victory for axis. so japs play gets really restricted. might be the only occasion where going heavy into siberia with japs is a more optimal move than going for india.
the general outcome also depends on a number of minor factors:
-can ita grab egy before (or at the same round) usa gets a stack in sz91? with london gone it s almost impossible for uk to send reinforcements to egy + relatively later involvement of ussr means it will take a longer time for ussr to get involved in africa.
-how long can ussr stack romania? romania is the usual optimal base for ussr stack, trading slovakia/yugoslavia plus dispatching some guys to bulg for greece and albania means, after a successful sealion, ger will find itself outproduced by ussr.
-how lucky was ger in london? having a lucky attacks with many land units left means ger can remove ussr from eastern europe. many air left further means ger can probably delay usa fleet london for 1 or 2 more rounds.
-is iraq italian or russian soil? a 9 ipc territory plus enables pressure on cau or egy. no further need to emphasize its importance imho.
with all those things said, I really think sealion is a very “specialized” option for axis, which must be only used with in depth analysis of the board, even it s possible for ger to take london in g3.
so in return, uk doesnt have to solely turn london into a fortress to deny a selion. depending on overall situation, with careful management, making ger grab london can be a game-winner move for allies on the long run.
[/quote]
ps: copy-pasting your own post is kinda lame, anyone know if I can get a link to a single post (instead of the whole topic)?
ps2: based on my fail quote + empireman s fail quote above, I assume there is something wrong with “quote”?