Thanks for the update. Enjoy your travels :)
S03 Gamerman01 (allies +12) v JWW
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ukr attackRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)v armRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (6)
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0.hit 19,38 %
1.hit 34,89 %
2.hit 27,91 %
3.hit 13,02 %
4.hit 3,91 %
5.hit 0,78 %
6.hit 0,10 %
7.hit 0,01 %
8.hit 0,00 %
9.hit 0,00 %
100,00 %Just tought i should end the discussion. This is for 9 planes running against an AA. The probability is for that exact outcome. So for hitting 3 or less you have to add up 0.hit trough 3.hit etc.
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ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
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BS, I don’t believe your math. doesn’t account for the randomness of dice. I prefer to hang in the quantum mechanics world where there is just too much chaos for lack of a better world to make such bold presumptions.
NWE attackRolls: 3@3 2@2 3@1; Total Hits: 33@3: (1, 4, 5)2@2: (1, 1)3@1: (3, 3, 4)v 3infRolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 5, 4)
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@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 % -
nwe twlo fgt
pol attackRolls: 4@3 2@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 6, 6)2@1: (3, 3)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
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really
Rolls: 4@3 1@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 4, 4)1@1: (6)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
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@JWW:
this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
57.9%
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Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JW -
@Pin:
@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 %so basically, according to your chart you got lucky seeing as I had a 55% chance of not getting hit?
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last post ill make about statistics, sorry but i love statistics :p
1st round 0,72 %
2nd round 0,87 %
total 0,01 %This is the Poland battle odds for what happened, thats one sick sick outlier. You probably wont see such a skewed fight in most games you roll on this site :p
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Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JWyeah those odds are like stupid huh?
3rd waveRolls: 3@3 1@1; Total Hits: 43@3: (1, 3, 2)1@1: (1)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)
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pol twlo fgt, inf
cze attackRolls: 10@3 5@1; Total Hits: 410@3: (4, 4, 1, 1, 6, 6, 6, 1, 6, 3)5@1: (5, 5, 3, 3, 2)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)
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@JWW:
so basically, according to your chart you got lucky seeing as I had a 55% chance of not getting hit?
JWW, again you seem clueless. Pin has jumped in and made all these statistics posts. Not me.
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Calculating the odds of a certain number of AA missing is easy. Take 5/6 to the Nth power.
5/6 to the 3rd (NWE) = 57.9%
5/6 to the 9th (USA’s) = 19.4%Excel can do that.
And Pin, believe me, man, I have seen MANY dice results just as strange as Poland, there. Many. How about 5 of 6 aircraft shot down by AA on one turn? How about 13 tanks all missing, and the 3 defending tanks all hitting? I could go on.
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cze twol
ncm:
all fgt’s fra
bul arm > ger
bul aa > cze
ger 8inf & 4 arm > fraG collects 32
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Pin, if you are going to jump into a hot game and start posting, you need to clearly identify yourself.
JWW understandably thought you were me.
That could cause some serious misunderstandings if you’re not careful. Thanks. -
Think I’ll grab some McDonald’s first before making Russian move…
Shouldn’t move on an empty stomach. -
Calculating the odds of a certain number of AA missing is easy. Take 5/6 to the Nth power.
5/6 to the 3rd (NWE) = 57.9%
5/6 to the 9th (USA’s) = 19.4%Excel can do that.
And Pin, believe me, man, I have seen MANY dice results just as strange as Poland, there. Many. How about 5 of 6 aircraft shot down by AA on one turn? How about 13 tanks all missing, and the 3 defending tanks all hitting? I could go on.
If you regularly see 0.01% battles then i feel sorry for you or you got to be the luckiest man alive. By nature of the odds you have to roll 10 000 battles to see that happen. Ofcourse you will have seen it before, but far from in every game you play.
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who the hell is pin?
get the grilled chix club w/no mayo, hold the fries. You can thank me in ther a.m.