A new G40 online TripleA tournament is getting setup.
S03 Gamerman01 (allies +12) v JWW
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@JWW:
Really? going 0-9 for a one is 20% likely? and 1-9 over 54%?? I am NOT a math guy and I have NO IDEA how you come to those calculations but they seem like really big numbers.
Yes.
I have an accurate A&A calculator.
I put in 9 bombers against 9 bombers for 1 round only, and looked at the % distribution.
Yes, there is a 20% chance that 9 1’s will miss completely. -
G17 rpr 8 purch 3 inf & art spend 21 (save 1)
combat
#1a ukr (arm) v inf, art (bul)
#1 nwe (3inf, aa) v 4inf, art, arm & 3 fgt (ger)
#2 pol (inf) v 2inf (bul) & 4 fgt (ger)
#3 cze (inf) v 5inf & 10 arm (bul)this is not looking good……
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ukr attackRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)v armRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (6)
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0.hit 19,38 %
1.hit 34,89 %
2.hit 27,91 %
3.hit 13,02 %
4.hit 3,91 %
5.hit 0,78 %
6.hit 0,10 %
7.hit 0,01 %
8.hit 0,00 %
9.hit 0,00 %
100,00 %Just tought i should end the discussion. This is for 9 planes running against an AA. The probability is for that exact outcome. So for hitting 3 or less you have to add up 0.hit trough 3.hit etc.
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ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
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BS, I don’t believe your math. doesn’t account for the randomness of dice. I prefer to hang in the quantum mechanics world where there is just too much chaos for lack of a better world to make such bold presumptions.
NWE attackRolls: 3@3 2@2 3@1; Total Hits: 33@3: (1, 4, 5)2@2: (1, 1)3@1: (3, 3, 4)v 3infRolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 5, 4)
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@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 % -
nwe twlo fgt
pol attackRolls: 4@3 2@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 6, 6)2@1: (3, 3)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
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really
Rolls: 4@3 1@1; Total Hits: 04@3: (6, 6, 4, 4)1@1: (6)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
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@JWW:
this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
57.9%
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Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JW -
@Pin:
@JWW:
ukr twol
NWE aa fireRolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 13@1: (1, 6, 3)this must be like 70% there isn’t a one?
0.hit 57,87 %
1.hit 34,72 %
2.hit 6,94 %
3.hit 0,46 %so basically, according to your chart you got lucky seeing as I had a 55% chance of not getting hit?
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last post ill make about statistics, sorry but i love statistics :p
1st round 0,72 %
2nd round 0,87 %
total 0,01 %This is the Poland battle odds for what happened, thats one sick sick outlier. You probably wont see such a skewed fight in most games you roll on this site :p
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Evil omens -
Looks like your sign to quit, JWyeah those odds are like stupid huh?
3rd waveRolls: 3@3 1@1; Total Hits: 43@3: (1, 3, 2)1@1: (1)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)
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pol twlo fgt, inf
cze attackRolls: 10@3 5@1; Total Hits: 410@3: (4, 4, 1, 1, 6, 6, 6, 1, 6, 3)5@1: (5, 5, 3, 3, 2)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)
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@JWW:
so basically, according to your chart you got lucky seeing as I had a 55% chance of not getting hit?
JWW, again you seem clueless. Pin has jumped in and made all these statistics posts. Not me.
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Calculating the odds of a certain number of AA missing is easy. Take 5/6 to the Nth power.
5/6 to the 3rd (NWE) = 57.9%
5/6 to the 9th (USA’s) = 19.4%Excel can do that.
And Pin, believe me, man, I have seen MANY dice results just as strange as Poland, there. Many. How about 5 of 6 aircraft shot down by AA on one turn? How about 13 tanks all missing, and the 3 defending tanks all hitting? I could go on.
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cze twol
ncm:
all fgt’s fra
bul arm > ger
bul aa > cze
ger 8inf & 4 arm > fraG collects 32
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Pin, if you are going to jump into a hot game and start posting, you need to clearly identify yourself.
JWW understandably thought you were me.
That could cause some serious misunderstandings if you’re not careful. Thanks. -
Think I’ll grab some McDonald’s first before making Russian move…
Shouldn’t move on an empty stomach.