VF (Germany) vs. DoMan (Allies) | Original Europe, Game 4 - Balance 2.0


  • @DoManMacgee

    OOL is infantry, tanks, fighters and bomber.


  • @VictoryFirst Game History

    Round: 4
    
        Purchase Units - British
            British buy 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - British
            1 armour moved from France to Eastern France
                  British take Eastern France from Germans
            1 armour moved from Eastern France to Germany
            2 infantry moved from Netherlands-Belgium to Germany
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Germany
            1 armour moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            1 armour and 1 transport moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            1 armour moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Germany
            1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to Leningrad
            1 destroyer and 1 transport moved from Azores Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Netherlands-Belgium
            1 armour, 1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Algeria to Morocco
    
        Combat - British
            Battle in Morocco
                British attack with 1 armour, 1 artillery and 3 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
                    British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 3 infantry in Morocco, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Morocco, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the British lost in Morocco
                    2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Morocco
                    British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Morocco, round 3 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour and 1 artillery in Morocco, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the British lost in Morocco
                    1 artillery owned by the Germans lost in Morocco
                    British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Morocco, round 4 : 1/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour in Morocco, round 4 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 armour owned by the Germans lost in Morocco
                British win, taking Morocco from Germans with 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 9
                Casualties for British: 2 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Battle in Germany
                British attack with 2 armour, 1 artillery and 3 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 aaGun, 7 armour, 1 bomber, 1 factory, 6 fighters and 1 infantry
                    British roll dice for 2 armour, 1 artillery and 3 infantry in Germany, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 7 armour, 1 bomber, 6 fighters and 1 infantry in Germany, round 2 : 7/15 hits, 6.83 expected hits
                    1 artillery owned by the British, 3 infantry owned by the British and 2 armour owned by the British lost in Germany
                    1 infantry owned by the Germans and 1 armour owned by the Germans lost in Germany
                Germans win with 6 armour, 1 bomber and 6 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is -15
                Casualties for British: 2 armour, 1 artillery and 3 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 1 armour and 1 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - British
    
        Place Units - British
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by British from English Channel Sea Zone: 1 carrier
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from English Channel Sea Zone: 2 fighters
            EDIT: Adding units owned by British to Danish Sea Sea Zone: 1 carrier
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to Danish Sea Sea Zone: 2 fighters
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Turning off Edit Mode
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            7 infantry placed in United Kingdom
    
        Turn Complete - British
            British collect 36 PUs; end with 38 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Germans regular : -0.17
    British regular : 0.00
    

    Game History

    Round: 4
    
        Purchase Units - Americans
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Danish Sea Sea Zone: 1 carrier
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from Danish Sea Sea Zone: 2 fighters
            EDIT: Adding units owned by British to English Channel Sea Zone: 1 carrier
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to English Channel Sea Zone: 2 fighters
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Americans buy 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 4 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Americans
            2 infantry moved from United States to U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from United States to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Leningrad
            1 fighter moved from Karelia to Leningrad
            1 bomber moved from France to Northern Italy
            1 infantry moved from Netherlands-Belgium to English Channel Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Baltic Sea Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Baltic Sea Sea Zone to Baltic States
                  Russians take Baltic States from Germans
            1 infantry moved from Netherlands-Belgium to English Channel Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Baltic Sea Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Baltic Sea Sea Zone to Poland
                  Americans take Poland from Germans
            1 destroyer moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from British Convoy 3 Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Norway
                  Americans take Norway from Germans
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Denmark
                  Americans take Denmark from Germans
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone to Celtic Sea Sea Zone
    
        Combat - Americans
            Strategic bombing raid in Northern Italy
                Bombing raid in Northern Italy rolls: 3 and costs: 3 PUs.
                Bombing raid costs 3 PUs
    
        Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 bomber moved from Northern Italy to United Kingdom
    
        Place Units - Americans
            2 fighters and 2 infantry placed in United States
            1 transport placed in U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from Celtic Sea Sea Zone: 2 infantry and 1 transport
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to Celtic Sea Sea Zone: 1 transport
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to United Kingdom: 2 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
    
        Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 45 PUs; end with 49 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    AAE-modified-game1-A4.tsvg


  • TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 5

    TripleA Turn Summary for game: Europe Improved

    Game History

    Round: 5
    
        Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 11 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Germans
            1 bomber and 6 fighters moved from Germany to Leningrad
            1 infantry moved from East Poland to Poland
            1 armour moved from Germany to Poland
            6 infantry moved from Finland to Norway
            1 infantry moved from East Poland to Poland
            21 armour, 9 artilleries and 53 infantry moved from East Poland to Belorussia
            1 infantry moved from Vichy France to Eastern France
                  Germans take Eastern France from British
    
        Combat - Germans
            Battle in Belorussia
                Germans attack with 21 armour, 9 artilleries and 53 infantry
                Russians defend with 1 aaGun and 1 artillery
                    Germans roll dice for 21 armour, 9 artilleries and 53 infantry in Belorussia, round 2 : 21/83 hits, 23,83 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Belorussia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 artillery owned by the Russians lost in Belorussia
                Germans win, taking Belorussia from Russians with 21 armour, 9 artilleries and 53 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Russians: 1 artillery
            Battle in Norway
                Germans attack with 6 infantry
                Americans defend with 2 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 6 infantry in Norway, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 2 infantry in Norway, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Norway
                    Germans roll dice for 6 infantry in Norway, round 3 : 2/6 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 infantry in Norway, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Norway
                Germans win, taking Norway from Americans with 6 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Americans: 2 infantry
            Battle in Leningrad
                Germans attack with 1 bomber and 6 fighters
                British defend with 1 fighter; Americans defend with 3 fighters; Russians defend with 1 factory
                    Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 6 fighters in Leningrad, round 2 : 4/7 hits, 3,67 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 4 fighters in Leningrad, round 2 : 3/4 hits, 2,67 expected hits
                    3 fighters owned by the Germans lost in Leningrad
                    3 fighters owned by the Americans and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Leningrad
                Germans win with 1 bomber and 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 12
                Casualties for Germans: 3 fighters
                Casualties for British: 1 fighter
                Casualties for Americans: 3 fighters
            Battle in Poland
                Germans attack with 1 armour and 2 infantry
                Americans defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour and 2 infantry in Poland, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 0,83 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 infantry in Poland, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Poland
                Germans win, taking Poland from Americans with 1 armour and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - Germans
            5 armour moved from Germany to East Poland
            3 fighters moved from Leningrad to East Poland
            1 bomber moved from Leningrad to Germany
            2 infantry moved from Austria to Germany
    
        Place Units - Germans
            11 infantry placed in Germany
    
        Turn Complete - Germans
            Germans collect 34 PUs; end with 36 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Americans regular : -1,33
    Russians regular : 0,00
    Germans regular : -0,33
    

    Savegame


  • This is what I get

    Allies attack Berlin on G5.
    Berlin: ~93.7%
    Moscow: ~90%
    Final Odds: ~85%

    Allies defend Moscow against G6 attack and attack Berlin on turn 7
    Moscow (odds for German win)
    Moscow: 69.93%
    Berlin 100%
    Final Odds: ~70%

    I also looked at the possibility of the Russians vacating Moscow and then counter-attacking but those odds were basically 0%.

    Gonna calculate the relevant statistics now.


  • Net Pieces / TUV Differential / Net TUV - Round 1

    G1
    Atlantic/WA: +0.06 / +9.28 / +68
    EF: -1.37 / -3.11 / +2
    Total: -1.31 / +6.17 / +70

    Allied1
    Atlantic/WA: +0.95 / +19.73 / +67
    EF: -1.37 / -3.11 / +2
    Total: -0.42 / +16.62 / +69


  • Net Pieces / TUV Differential / Net TUV - Round 2

    G2
    Atlantic/WA: +1.07 / +20.66 / +75
    EF: -1.37 / -0.61 / +8
    Total: -0.3 / +20.05 / +83

    Allied2
    Atlantic/WA: +1.85 / +24.88 / +75
    EF: -1.04 / +0.39 / +5
    Total: +0.81 / +25.27 / +80


  • Net Pieces / TUV Differential / Net TUV - Round 3

    Allied3
    Atlantic/WA: +1.85 / +26.38 / +73
    EF: -0.71 / +1.39 / +8
    Total: +1.14 / +27.77 / +81

    Net Pieces / TUV Differential / Net TUV - Round 4

    Allied4
    Atlantic/WA: +2.05 / +37.84 / +85
    EF: -0.18 / +2.98 / +11
    Total: +1.87 / +40.82 / +96

    Net Pieces / TUV Differential / Net TUV - Round 5

    G5
    Atlantic/WA: +3.99 / +46.30 / +106
    EF: +0.19 / +2.98 / +15
    Total: +4.18 / +49.28 / +121


  • @DoManMacgee @The_Good_Captain

    The dice favored Germany throughout the entire game and the odds for a win are 70%. I’m not sure if that’s too low or if that’s actually OK. My first impression is that the game would now be slightly in the Allies’ favor.


  • @VictoryFirst The entire UK airforce (3 FTR/1 BOMB) exchanged for 1 BB/1 TT on turn 1. That was a 1% outcome and had it gone normally (1 bomber dies, the 3 fighters live) Moscow would be ~40%. Will post turns later to play the game out.


  • @DoManMacgee Game History
    Round: 5

        [AAE-modified-game1-A5.tsvg](/forums/assets/uploads/files/1734016083178-aae-modified-game1-a5.tsvg) Purchase Units
          Russians buy 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 
        Combat Move
        40 infantry moved from Russia to Belorussia
        7 infantry moved from Moscow to Belorussia
        5 armour, 4 artilleries and 25 infantry moved from Turkestan to Belorussia
        Russians undo move 3.
        Russians undo move 2.
        Russians undo move 1.
        5 armour, 4 artilleries and 25 infantry moved from Turkestan to Moscow
        40 infantry moved from Russia to Moscow
        Combat
        Recording Battle Statistics
        Non Combat Move
        1 aaGun moved from Russia to Moscow
        Cleaning up during movement phase
        Place Units
        7 infantry placed in Moscow
        Turn Complete
        Russians collect 20 PUs; end with 21 PUs
        
         Purchase Units - British
            British buy 4 artilleries, 2 infantry and 2 transports; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - British
            2 transports moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            6 infantry moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            6 infantry and 3 transports moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            6 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Denmark
            1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            1 armour moved from Morocco to Tunisia
    
        Non Combat Move - British
    
        Place Units - British
            4 artilleries and 2 infantry placed in United Kingdom
            2 transports placed in Atlantic Sea Zone
    
        Turn Complete - British
            British collect 34 PUs; end with 34 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :
    AAE-modified-game1-A5.tsvg


  • @VictoryFirst Sorry, forgot US Turn summary.

    Game History

    Round: 5
    
        Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 artillery, 7 infantry and 3 transports; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Americans
            1 infantry moved from Baltic States to Poland
            2 infantry moved from Denmark to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Baltic Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Baltic Sea Sea Zone to Poland
            2 transports moved from Baltic Sea Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Denmark
            2 destroyers moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Moscow
            2 destroyers moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Baltic Sea Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from United Kingdom to Poland
            2 fighters moved from United States to United Kingdom
            1 transport moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from United States to U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone to Celtic Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to United Kingdom
    
        Combat - Americans
            Battle in Poland
                Americans attack with 1 bomber and 3 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 armour and 2 infantry
                    Americans roll dice for 2 destroyers in Poland, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Poland, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour and 2 infantry in Poland, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                    2 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Poland
                    2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Poland
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber and 1 infantry in Poland, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour in Poland, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 armour owned by the Germans lost in Poland
                Americans win, taking Poland from Germans with 1 bomber and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 5
                Casualties for Americans: 2 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 1 armour and 2 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 bomber moved from Poland to Denmark
    
        Place Units - Americans
            1 artillery and 7 infantry placed in United States
            3 transports placed in U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
    
        Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 43 PUs; end with 43 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Americans regular : 0.33
    Germans regular : 0.67
    

    AAE-modified-game1-A5.tsvg


  • Beyond my complaining about the dice, I also feel that I made a number of overly risky moves throughout the game that did not pay off (I got the Soviet Bomber/Fighter killed as well by trying strafes that did not work out). I also don’t think I played very efficiently with the US/UK navies in terms of getting troops into Europe.

    Basically, I think Allies are too strong with this setup. I had miserable luck and played badly and Germany still only had ~70-73% on Berlin. In a more equal game I think Allies should be winning most of the time. I think Germany should be allowed to get their Romanian Infantry or the Bay of Biscay Sub back. However, I do agree that Germany should not have their 12 IPC bid at game start. I said as much in the other thread we were all posting in yesterday.


  • @DoManMacgee

    Thank you for your comments, they were very valuable. I also start to think now the Romania thing has shifted the balance back into Allied favor. However I do strongly think that just the bay of biscay sub and 12 IPCs removed is NOT enough for game balance. I have had a couple of games were the dice were basically even and the odds for a German win were still 70%.

    So thereby my suggestion is to remove 1-3 infantry from a territory that is NOT Romania, so for example Berlin. The Romanian infantry has a massive impact as it makes G1 attack on Ukraine impossible, therefore a lot of Russian units survive the first turn.

    Would you like to test that idea out, instead one inf removed from Romania, one inf from Germany removed? Just to see how that play out. I greatly appreciate these games by the way, especially this one provided a lot of insights.


  • @VictoryFirst Yeah that’s fine. Let’s at least play the last turn of this game first for the sake of completion.


  • I wonder why you didn’t fly the US bomber to Moscow because now the Moscow odds are a little bit higher for me (74.28% vs 69.96%).


  • 9462c6d9-3355-4813-b1a2-87d37129beab-image.png


  • TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 6

    TripleA Turn Summary for game: Europe Improved

    Game History

    Round: 6
    
        Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 12 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Germans
            21 armour, 9 artilleries and 53 infantry moved from Belorussia to Moscow
            5 armour and 3 fighters moved from East Poland to Moscow
            1 bomber moved from Germany to Moscow
    
        Combat - Germans
            Battle in Moscow
                Germans attack with 26 armour, 9 artilleries, 1 bomber, 3 fighters and 53 infantry
                Americans defend with 2 fighters; Russians defend with 1 aaGun, 5 armour, 4 artilleries, 1 factory and 79 infantry
                    Russians roll AA dice in Moscow : 0/4 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 26 armour, 9 artilleries, 1 bomber, 3 fighters and 53 infantry in Moscow, round 2 : 32/92 hits, 28,50 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 5 armour, 4 artilleries, 2 fighters and 79 infantry in Moscow, round 2 : 29/90 hits, 30,67 expected hits
                    29 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Moscow
                    32 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Moscow
                    Germans roll dice for 26 armour, 9 artilleries, 1 bomber, 3 fighters and 24 infantry in Moscow, round 3 : 20/63 hits, 23,67 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 5 armour, 4 artilleries, 2 fighters and 47 infantry in Moscow, round 3 : 21/58 hits, 20,00 expected hits
                    21 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Moscow
                    20 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Moscow
                    Germans roll dice for 26 armour, 9 artilleries, 1 bomber, 3 fighters and 3 infantry in Moscow, round 4 : 20/42 hits, 19,17 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 5 armour, 4 artilleries, 2 fighters and 27 infantry in Moscow, round 4 : 19/38 hits, 13,33 expected hits
                    9 artilleries owned by the Germans, 3 infantry owned by the Germans and 7 armour owned by the Germans lost in Moscow
                    20 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Moscow
                    Germans roll dice for 19 armour, 1 bomber and 3 fighters in Moscow, round 5 : 12/23 hits, 11,67 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 5 armour, 4 artilleries, 2 fighters and 7 infantry in Moscow, round 5 : 6/18 hits, 6,67 expected hits
                    6 armour owned by the Germans lost in Moscow
                    7 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 armour owned by the Russians and 4 artilleries owned by the Russians lost in Moscow
                    Germans roll dice for 13 armour, 1 bomber and 3 fighters in Moscow, round 6 : 6/17 hits, 8,67 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 4 armour and 2 fighters in Moscow, round 6 : 2/6 hits, 2,67 expected hits
                    2 armour owned by the Germans lost in Moscow
                    4 armour owned by the Russians and 2 fighters owned by the Americans lost in Moscow
                Germans captures 21PUs while taking Russians capital
                Germans win, taking Moscow from Russians with 11 armour, 1 bomber and 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 32
                Casualties for Germans: 15 armour, 9 artilleries and 53 infantry
                Casualties for Russians: 5 armour, 4 artilleries and 79 infantry
                Casualties for Americans: 2 fighters
    
        Non Combat Move - Germans
            Trigger GermanVictoryConditionsMet: Setting switch to true for conditionAttachmentGermanVictorySwitch attached to Germans
            1 bomber moved from Moscow to Belorussia
            3 fighters moved from Moscow to Belorussia
            1 infantry moved from Eastern France to Germany
            6 infantry moved from Norway to Finland
    
        Place Units - Germans
            12 infantry placed in Germany
    
        Turn Complete - Germans
            Germans collect 34 PUs; end with 55 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Russians regular : 3,67
    Germans regular : -1,67
    Russians AA : -0,67
    

    Savegame


  • @VictoryFirst said in VF (Germany) vs. DoMan (Allies) | Original Europe, Game 4 - Balance 2.0:

    I wonder why you didn’t fly the US bomber to Moscow because now the Moscow odds are a little bit higher for me (74.28% vs 69.96%).

    Never mind, that creates better odds for the attack on Berlin, resulting in better odds for the Allies overall.


  • @VictoryFirst Game History

    Round: 6
    
        Turn Complete - Russians
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Game History

    Round: 6
    
        Purchase Units - British
            British buy 4 artilleries and 6 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - British
            6 infantry moved from Denmark to Germany
            2 infantry moved from Netherlands-Belgium to Germany
            3 transports moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            3 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from United Kingdom to Atlantic Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 3 infantry and 2 transports moved from Atlantic Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            3 artilleries, 3 infantry and 3 transports moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            4 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Germany
            1 armour moved from Tunisia to Egypt
    
        Combat - British
            Battle in Germany
                British attack with 4 artilleries and 14 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 aaGun, 1 factory and 26 infantry
                    British roll dice for 1 destroyer in Germany, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 4 artilleries and 14 infantry in Germany, round 2 : 5/18 hits, 4.33 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 26 infantry in Germany, round 2 : 9/26 hits, 8.67 expected hits
                    9 infantry owned by the British lost in Germany
                    5 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Germany
                    British roll dice for 4 artilleries and 5 infantry in Germany, round 3 : 4/9 hits, 2.83 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 21 infantry in Germany, round 3 : 5/21 hits, 7.00 expected hits
                    5 infantry owned by the British lost in Germany
                    4 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Germany
                    British roll dice for 4 artilleries in Germany, round 4 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 17 infantry in Germany, round 4 : 8/17 hits, 5.67 expected hits
                    4 artilleries owned by the British lost in Germany
                    1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Germany
                Germans win with 16 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -28
                Casualties for British: 4 artilleries and 14 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 10 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - British
    
        Place Units - British
            4 artilleries and 6 infantry placed in United Kingdom
    
        Turn Complete - British
            British collect 34 PUs; end with 34 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Germans regular : 0.67
    British regular : 1.17
    

    Game History

    Round: 6
    
        Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 3 artilleries, 5 infantry and 2 transports; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Americans
            1 artillery and 7 infantry moved from United States to U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 7 infantry and 4 transports moved from U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone to Mid-Atlantic Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 7 infantry and 4 transports moved from Mid-Atlantic Sea Zone to Celtic Sea Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from United Kingdom to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 transports moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Celtic Sea Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 7 infantry moved from Celtic Sea Sea Zone to United Kingdom
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from English Channel Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Denmark to Germany
            2 infantry moved from Danish Sea Sea Zone to Germany
            2 fighters moved from United Kingdom to Germany
            1 transport moved from Baltic Sea Sea Zone to English Channel Sea Zone
            2 destroyers moved from Baltic Sea Sea Zone to Danish Sea Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Poland to Germany
            1 bomber moved from Denmark to Germany
    
        Combat - Americans
            Battle in Germany
                Americans attack with 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 5 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 aaGun, 1 factory and 16 infantry
                    Germans roll AA dice in Germany : 1/3 hits, 0.50 expected hits
                    1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in Germany
                    Americans roll dice for 2 destroyers in Germany, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 5 infantry in Germany, round 2 : 2/7 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 16 infantry in Germany, round 2 : 4/16 hits, 5.33 expected hits
                    4 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Germany
                    3 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Germany
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Germany, round 3 : 2/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 13 infantry in Germany, round 3 : 5/13 hits, 4.33 expected hits
                    1 fighter owned by the Americans, 1 infantry owned by the Americans and 1 bomber owned by the Americans lost in Germany
                    2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Germany
                Germans win with 11 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -39
                Casualties for Americans: 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 5 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 5 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - Americans
    
        Place Units - Americans
            3 artilleries and 5 infantry placed in United States
            2 transports placed in U.S. Eastern Coast Sea Zone
    
        Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 43 PUs; end with 43 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Americans regular : 1.00
    Germans AA : 0.50
    Germans regular : -0.67
    

    That’s the game. If you start the next one I will make my move later tonight. Need to do some things at work.

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