Germany should have attacked Karelia with
2 Infantry, Armor from E. Europe
Armor from Ukraine
Armor from Balkans
2 Infantry, 2 Armor from Germany
and
3 infantry from Norway
That would leave: 7 Infantry, 5 Armor in Karelia at the end of Germany 1.
Since Russia is almost always in Ukraine/W. Russia you can add 3 infantry from Belorussia to that stack for 10 infantry, 5 armor if you don’t want to liberate W. Russia (and I would personally for go making that atack.)
England is NOT swapping that. And if they DID make an attempt, Karelia would be a safe LZ allowing the German fighters to sink any ships the British have in SZ 4.
Squirecam, I know you really want this to work out for you, but there is no way that Russia is getting Norway. They can get Ukraine, on any given Sunday they might even get Balkans or E. Europe for a round, but they are not getting Norway and should not expect E. Europe or Balkans.
BTW, I assumed Ukraine fell and had 1 tank left and that W. Russia fell with 2 infantry, artillery, armor there. This would leave the russians iwth exactly 2 Infantry, Artillery to attack Karelia with. And Germany with fighters + 2 infantry in Balkans + armor in S. Europe to attack Ukraine with to liberate it.
I think those are all safe assumptions.
So England is looking at the following map on their turn.
(Assumes 1 Infantry bid into Libya, 3 IPC which almost everyone seems to agree is too low for the axis.)
(Assumes 8 Infantry purchase on Russia 1; 4 Infantry in Caucasus, 4 Infantry in Russia)
Basically, 7 or 10 infantry and 4-5 armor in Karelia (depending on if Ukraine was attacked or if Belorussia was attacked by Russia on round 1)