Presidential Election (as a current event- watch the tone or it's gone)

As far as I am concerned if it ends up with Obama vs McCain, it will be the first election ever in which I will be happy with whoever wins. Romney is out, good. Now if only Hillary bombs out, I will be celebrating a victory. It won’t matter to me who is elected between O and M. They are both good enough for me despite where I agree and disagree on their stances of various issues.

al-qaeda is there now.  and leaving gives them victory.  even though they have already conceeded defeat and are shifting focus to afghanistan.

the iraqi’s HATE al-qaeda.  without al-qaeda killing people for music, for art, cutting kids’ heads off in front of parents for eating american candy etc etc etc.

why would you even want to give them success.  thats just wrong.

@stuka:

As far as I am concerned if it ends up with Obama vs McCain, it will be the first election ever in which I will be happy with whoever wins. Romney is out, good. Now if only Hillary bombs out, I will be celebrating a victory. It won’t matter to me who is elected between O and M. They are both good enough for me despite where I agree and disagree on their stances of various issues.

I don’t like any of them but I doubt the republicans have a serious chance of winning. I mean maybe McCain can beat Hillary but i doubt that, and thats only if Paul doesn’t run as a libertarian. I think the real presidential race is between Hillary and Obama.

Now that Huckabee no longer serves the needs of his master, McCain, he will be thrown under the bus at the first opportunity it seems to benefit McCain.  He will NOT be his running mate.  Guilliani might be his running mate though.

Secondly, I think McCain is HOPING for Hillary to win.  If she wins, he might be able to terrorize Americans into voting for him out of fear of Hillary, not because McCain will make a good president.

If Obama wins, I think McCain may lose by a landslide.  Obama is touting a very conservative platform for a liberal democrat.  He’s pro-tax cuts, he’s anti-gay marriage, he’s for border security, he’s for a draw down in troops, not full out surrender; etc.  It’s a great platform to use in persuading conservatives to ditch McCain and go Democrat, especially now that the media is smearing McCain. ( no one is running against him, they don’t have to pretend to like him anymore to give him an edge.)

More on that point, no less then 3 television programs and one radio show in the past 24 hours that I normally watch/listen too has already started smearing McCain trying to drive Republicans away just as hard as they tried to drive Republicans towards him during the primary.  This is just the soft blows, they have to start to build up the repetition to drill it into our heads, but they can’t go too fast for fear Huckabee may win, or Romney may come back. (He’s just not campaigning, but his name is still on the ballots and he could, technically, still win - though the odds are almost nil.)

Evidentially, Rush is also hoping Hillary wins as CBS News says he is running a campaign fund drive for her.  Maybe she’ll raise enough from the ditto-heads to pay off her loan of $5,000,000.00 to herself?  I don’t know.  I thought McCain-Feingold took all the soft money out of politics.  :roll:  Oh yea, only CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICANS can’t have soft money, laws don’t apply to the Clintons, or evidentially, John McCain.

I, personally, won’t vote for Hillary.  However, I also won’t vote for McCain.  If I have an option for Obama, as a quasi-conservative as he is, I will vote for him against McCain.  If Obama is not an option, I’ll vote third party.  If no third party is on the ballot (a real possibility in Illinois, they don’t even want to put Republicans on the ticket here, guess that happens when you have 0 (yea, ZERO) elected Republicans at the state government level) then I will just not vote for President.  After all, the only REAL difference between John McCain and Hillary Clinton is that Hillary freely admits to being a communist.  John is pretending to be a capitalist and using his Vietnam record like a flag draped over his shoulder in a fake attempt at instilling patriotism.  Yes, he was a war hero.  Yes that was OVER 50 YEARS AGO.  Maybe if he was a war hero in 1991 or in 2003.  But Vietnam has been over for a VERY long time, can we PLEASE put it behind us and look at the real issues?

I want the next president to stop gay marriage.  I want the next president to appoint justices who hold sacred the value of life, liberty and property (or happiness.)  I want the next president to be for small government, strong state governments.  I want the next president to feel secure enough to speak softly and wield a large nuclear warhead, but use that warhead only when necessary.  I want the next president to be a man who has never supported amnesty for major portions of the population who have committed felonies, but rather to permit people to legally immigrate.

Basically, I want a Republican Obama, but I’ll take a Democrat Obama if it means not having a Republican Clinton like we’ll have if John McCain gets the nomination.  He’s basically a fanatic Bush Jr or a warmongering Clinton.

Guiliani as McCain’s VP makes no strategic sense.  McCain is already strong in New England, as strong or stronger than Guiliani.  And he would only gain Guiliani’s negatives.

McCain has been week in the south for the most part.  I hate to say it, but he NEEDS a Southerner on the ticket in order to help try to resurrect the Reagan Democrats and get victories in states like North Carolina (which is one of the larger electoral prizes now).

Huckabee is a natural… a Conservative, a Southerner, a proven winner in the Southern States, and a natural point of gravitation for disaffected Conservatives to salvage their egos and back McCain.

And I have to be honest, Rush and Hannity and Ingram are pretty much screwing themselves if they fail to start to back peddle from their current position over the next several months (which they are certain to do).  McCain will put a Conservative in the VP slot, and will probably make some pledges about taxes and border security, and you will end up in the last 90 days or so before the election having Rush et.al. “grudgingly” back McCain/Huckabee as a superior answer to Obama and/or Clinton.
The lynch pin for the Conservatives will be when a couple of SCOTUS judges announce their intent to retire over the summer…  They will have no choice but to go McCain in order to try to preserve their fight against Roe v. Wade (which is the cornerstone issue of the Religious Right, and is the majority of Rush’s listeners)

And Abortion is the A1 Prime issue for the HARD CORE right (those most put off by McCain on other issues).  And those Pro-Life folks are NOT going to risk Hillary or Obama replacing aging liberals with young liberals on SCOTUS (or heaven forbid an aging Conservative with a young liberal).

If they Republicans (with a Pro-Life candidate like McCain) LOSE in 2008, it will set back the Pro-Life movement 20+ years as aging liberal SCOTUS justices (like Stevens) are replaced with younger liberal justices who will be in place until around 2030.  And if even ONE Conservative is replaced, it could lock Roe v. Wade in for even longer.

THAT is the issue of the Religious Right.  And the will NOT allow the ground they have gained on SCOTUS over the past 30 years to be lost by avoiding voting for McCain.

Rudy will carry new york for McCain if Celery is the dems candidate. McCain will not win in the north east which makes me worry to no end because i keep seeing that loser Lieberman hanging around looking for a job in the background of McCain speeches and McCain may be stupid enough to pick him because he is one of few pro-war guys on the left.

Your thinking is flawed Switch. I am a member of the “HARD CORE” right yet I could give a flying fuck about abortion at the moment, because there are so many other important matters facing the nation.

Killing the defenseless is certainly a wrong that must be stopped, but frankly I’m more worried about my brothers getting killed here in Iraq than about babies getting killed in the states.

I think McCain will carry the New England, Country-Club, Blue-Blood Republicans in the Northeast, however, he will NOT win the states.  The states will go for Obama or Hillary.

Furthermore, I don’t think McCain wants a competitor, so I doubt Huckabee will be near the ticket, let alone on it.  He might end up being Secretary of State or Chief of Staff, but I very much doubt (I could be wrong) that he will be listed as Vice President.

I also don’t think McCain is likely to appoint very conservative Justices to the court.  They might not be as liberal as the mainstream democrats want, and they’ll almost certainly not be big government which is what Hillary wants (McCain has this nagging problem of republicans being conservative, I don’t think he’ll be able to over come that and be allowed to get away with keeping the mainstream democrat line).  But I doubt they’ll be overly conservative.  In other words, the justices will probably support gun laws and Roe v Wade, but be against Gay Marriage.  They may or may not be pro-protection for the American Flag.

In other words, moderates.  Which is okay.  But Romney would have put in real conservatives as names, thus, the two democrats on the bench would have to hang on until death or the next president to retire.

There would be no benefit to picking Huckabee. Huckabee’s appeal is limited to the Bible Belt. Republicans have had a lock on that for years. Huckabees ultra-religious message will also not sit well with moderates and independents.

The only way Mccain can win this is if the Democrats implode and kill themselves at a brokered convention, ala 1968.

@Smacktard:

There would be no benefit to picking Huckabee. Huckabee’s appeal is limited to the Bible Belt. Republicans have had a lock on that for years. Huckabees ultra-religious message will also not sit well with moderates and independents.

The only way Mccain can win this is if the Democrats implode and kill themselves at a brokered convention, ala 1968.

Well, it’s looking more like 1968 every day that goes by.  I don’t see Hillary quietly fading into the night if Obama continues his current momentum.  She still has hooks in a substantial number of superdelegates, and she has a BUNCH of delegates potentially available from Florida and Michigan that are not currently being counted that collectively might be enough to put her over the top.  I can easily see a scenario where neither Obama nor Clinton has won a majority of delegates going into the convention, which sets the stage for a fight to count the Florida and Michigan votes.  And, a la Gore in 2000, Hillary will cast herself as on the side of the “people” trying to make sure every vote is counted, when all she really wants is every vote FOR HER counted.

But that said, I’m not sure I agree the general election is a slam dunk for either Obama or Clinton.  McCain is a formidable general election candidate, make no mistake.  The hard part for him has always been getting by the red-meat right wingers in the party in order to secure the Republican nomination.  Barring a major catastrophe, that appears to be all but a foregone conclusion, as Huckabee is running out of “Bible Belt” states to win, Texas being the notable exception.

McCain will carry some states, no doubt about it.  However, his base of power is in the North East, not a very Republican sector of the United States.

McCain will carry more states if Hillary Clinton is running against him then if it is Barrack Obama.  Obama has some VERY conservative ideas and he is very eloquent when he speaks.  McCain is the Baby-Boomer Generation, the same Generation that Gen-Xers want to get away from.  He is also very polarizing, just as Hillary is.  McCain also has his past to haunt him in the election, Obama only has 2 years in the Senate and some time in the State government that his opponents can get him on, everything else would be character assassination and McCain’s campaign has said they will NOT use that tactic on Obama. (They didn’t say they wouldn’t against Hillary though.)

Not to mention, McCain’s current staff is made up of the same team that put Bush 43 in power.  (Surprise surprise, the two are not that different, can’t imagine why the same campaign staff is working for both….hmm…8 more years of a Bush 43 like President?)

Here’s my prediction if the general election was held today:

Hillary >> 55%
John >> 45%

vs

Barrack >> 75%
John >> 25%

This assumes no third party.

Obama’s stance on the 2nd Amendment will not get him very far in the south.

Maybe, maybe not.  McCain has really been no friend to gun owners either.  However, Obama is anti-Gay Marriage and that WILL win him friends in the south, especially since McCain is PRO allowing gays to marry with the title of married.  (Obama is not against civil unions, he’s against giving them the title of married.)

Obama’s position is a bit more federalist

"He said he would support civil unions between gay and lesbian couples, as well as letting individual states determine if marriage between gay and lesbian couples should be legalized.

Barack Obama did vote against a Federal Marriage Amendment and opposed the Defense of Marriage Act in 1996.

http://lesbianlife.about.com/od/lesbianactivism/p/BarackObama.htm

Also, Mccain predates Baby Boomers. Baby Boomers were born between 1946 and 1964. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baby_boomer

McCain was born in 1936, which is well before the baby boom generation.

@Gamer:

@Smacktard:

There would be no benefit to picking Huckabee. Huckabee’s appeal is limited to the Bible Belt. Republicans have had a lock on that for years. Huckabees ultra-religious message will also not sit well with moderates and independents.

The only way Mccain can win this is if the Democrats implode and kill themselves at a brokered convention, ala 1968.

Well, it’s looking more like 1968 every day that goes by.  I don’t see Hillary quietly fading into the night if Obama continues his current momentum.  She still has hooks in a substantial number of superdelegates, and she has a BUNCH of delegates potentially available from Florida and Michigan that are not currently being counted that collectively might be enough to put her over the top.  I can easily see a scenario where neither Obama nor Clinton has won a majority of delegates going into the convention, which sets the stage for a fight to count the Florida and Michigan votes.  And, a la Gore in 2000, Hillary will cast herself as on the side of the “people” trying to make sure every vote is counted, when all she really wants is every vote FOR HER counted.

But that said, I’m not sure I agree the general election is a slam dunk for either Obama or Clinton.  McCain is a formidable general election candidate, make no mistake.  The hard part for him has always been getting by the red-meat right wingers in the party in order to secure the Republican nomination.  Barring a major catastrophe, that appears to be all but a foregone conclusion, as Huckabee is running out of “Bible Belt” states to win, Texas being the notable exception.

The superdelegates are politicians as well. If it looks like the winds of change are blowing, and Obama is the best to run against McCain, they’ll give him the nod.

@a44bigdog:

Obama’s stance on the 2nd Amendment will not get him very far in the south.

Dems don’t even need the South to win anymore. The population centers in this country are all on the E. and W coasts.

Look here: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/electoral.college/

See that sea of red? All Kerry needed to win was Ohio.

Winning New York, Califonria, Pennslyania and New Jersey gets you 122 delegates. just those four states. and you only need 269 to win.

As I said, he’s anti-Gay Marriage.  And, like a good son of America, he realizes it is really the states who should be determining this, not the Federal government.

I never said he was for legislating marriage, I get the impression you THINK I said that from your post.  He voted against the legislation because he did not feel it was an area the Federal Government had a right to be in, not because he supported legislation to allow gays to get married.

You have to listen to him and read why he votes as he votes guys.  Otherwise, Hillary could say she voted for the war because she was sexually attracted to the President 20 years after the vote and you’d just take her word for it, instead of reading why she did it when she did it.

As for McCain, being born BEFORE the Baby Boomers is even WORSE then being a Baby Boomer!

Hucklebarry believes that:

Dinosaurs and humans co-existed on earth at the same time.

Chuck Norris should be secretary of Defense.

enough said!  He should be committed and guaranteed a hospital room until he gets over those views. Thats baggage to great for anybodies ticket.

Reminds me of that “General Stockdale” who was ross perots VP. MY god what a crackpot.

It was Vice Admiral Stockdale.