Huckabee has an Achilles heel…
He is just about out of cash.
Once South Carolina rolls around, he is spent. He will be 90% reliant on “free” media (from news coverage) to carry him through the drop-dead nomination date of 5 FEB.
He DID get lucky with the accelerated primaries this year. Had he had to do the more drawn out 2 months with “locking up” the nomination sometime in March, he would have never had the cash to make it.
But, this is a SHORT season… 34 days from Iowa to Super Duper Tuesday (what is it, 30 primaries on 5 FEB?).
Huckabee is starting to get some cash infusion from Fair Tax supporters (now that Tancredo is out of it, since Thompson retreated from his pre-candidacy support of it, and since Ron Paul is just not getting any traction). He also has Fundamentalist cash pouring in… He is the Evangelical/Fundamentalist candidate now… someone that does not have Guilianni’s moderate/liberal social values, and also is not a Mormon (sorry, but in places like SC… the next primary after NH… Mormon is only SLIGHTLY ahead of Islam in terms of how people feel about it… I think the Southern Baptist Convention still sends Missionaries to Utah :-P )
Guiliani’s only chance is on Super Duper Tuesday… if he can last that long. If he does not, then Romney is the only one that can break Huckabee’s thunder.
Truth be told though… Huckabee is a very weak candidate, and would be hard pressed to beat any of the 3 leading Democrats…
Oh, and the first vote is in just under 3 hours…