L22 OOB FINAL LL Myygames (X) VS ABH (L+50)

@Arthur-Bomber-Harris l22-oob-final-ll-myygames-x-vs-abh_GER8_CM.tsvg

I admit there are some risks in my play, but I feel I need to take them. Lets see if my pilots keep being expert bomber pilots here…

Please confirm intercept with 5 planes in Moscow.

@Arthur-Bomber-Harris l22-oob-final-ll-myygames-x-vs-abh_GER8.tsvg

Actually my calculation yields an average positive IPC swing of 1.8 for the bombing raid in Moscow. Amazing.

Game History

Round: 8

    Research Technology - Germans

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 3 armour, 2 bombers, 9 infantry and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        1 infantry moved from Archangel to Nenetsia
              Germans take Nenetsia from Russians
        1 infantry moved from Archangel to Vologda
        2 infantry moved from Volgograd to Samara
        1 armour moved from Volgograd to Tambov
              Germans take Tambov from Russians
        1 armour moved from Tambov to Volgograd
        1 fighter moved from Volgograd to Russia
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Volgograd to Vologda
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Rostov to Samara
        2 bombers moved from Novgorod to Russia
        1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 113 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone

    Combat - Germans
        Air Battle in Russia
            Germans attacks with 3 units heading to Russia
            Russians launches 5 interceptors out of Russia
            Air Battle is over, the remaining bombers go on to their targets
        Strategic bombing raid in Russia
            Bombing raid in Russia rolls: 6,6 and causes: 12 damage to unit: factory_major
            Bombing raid in Russia causes 12 damage total. 
        Battle in 125 Sea Zone
            Germans attack with 1 destroyer and 1 submarine
            Americans defend with 1 submarine
            Germans win, taking 125 Sea Zone from Americans with 1 destroyer and 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
            Casualties for Americans: 1 submarine
        Battle in Samara
            Germans attack with 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
            Germans win, taking Samara from Russians with 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Vologda
            Germans attack with 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
            Germans win, taking Vologda from Russians with 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
        Cleaning up after air battles

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        1 mech_infantry moved from Novgorod to Bryansk
        1 aaGun, 3 artilleries and 7 infantry moved from Belarus to Bryansk
        1 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        1 infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Vologda to Volgograd
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Samara to Volgograd
        2 bombers moved from Russia to Novgorod
        4 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Poland to Bryansk
        3 artilleries, 2 infantry and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
        1 aaGun, 7 artilleries and 19 infantry moved from Rostov to Bryansk
        1 aaGun moved from Caucasus to Volgograd
        4 mech_infantrys moved from Caucasus to Volgograd
        6 armour and 23 mech_infantrys moved from Caucasus to Bryansk
        1 mech_infantry moved from Caucasus to Bryansk
        1 armour moved from Caucasus to Ukraine
        2 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Yugoslavia
        5 mech_infantrys moved from Western Germany to Yugoslavia
        1 infantry moved from Western Germany to Greater Southern Germany
        1 infantry moved from Holland Belgium to France
        1 fighter moved from Norway to Southern Italy
        1 artillery and 6 infantry moved from Norway to Finland
        1 battleship, 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 submarine and 1 transport moved from 113 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
        1 fighter and 1 mech_infantry moved from Western Germany to Southern Italy
        1 fighter moved from Western Germany to Ukraine
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Southern Italy to Ukraine

    Place Units - Germans
        1 armour and 2 infantry placed in Volgograd
        2 armour and 1 infantry placed in Ukraine
        2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry placed in Novgorod
        3 infantry placed in France
        2 bombers and 1 infantry placed in Western Germany
        Germans undo move 3.
        Germans undo move 3.
        3 infantry placed in Novgorod
        1 mech_infantry placed in Western Germany
        2 infantry placed in France

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,2,5,1,1,1,2,5
        Germans collect 52 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 52 PUs
        Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 57 PUs
        Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 62 PUs
        Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 72 PUs

@Arthur-Bomber-Harris l22-oob-final-ll-myygames-x-vs-abh_GER8_.tsvg
small NCM edit

@Arthur-Bomber-Harris l22-oob-final-ll-myygames-x-vs-abh_JAP8.tsvg

Game History

Round: 8

    Purchase Units - Japanese
        Japanese buy 3 artilleries, 12 infantry and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens; 

    Combat Move - Japanese
        1 infantry moved from Manchuria to Amur
        1 fighter moved from Japan to Amur
        1 bomber moved from Kwangsi to Amur
        1 infantry moved from Hopei to Shensi
        1 armour moved from Kweichow to Shensi
        1 infantry moved from Szechwan to Sikang
              Japanese take Sikang from Chinese
        7 artilleries and 13 infantry moved from Burma to India
        1 infantry moved from Kwangsi to 36 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from French Indo China to 36 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 36 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 36 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from 43 Sea Zone to Borneo
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 44 Sea Zone to Celebes
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 42 Sea Zone to Celebes
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 42 Sea Zone to Borneo
        1 transport moved from 42 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
        1 artillery moved from Sumatra to 41 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 transport moved from 41 Sea Zone to 39 Sea Zone
        1 battleship and 1 destroyer moved from 42 Sea Zone to 39 Sea Zone
        1 artillery moved from 39 Sea Zone to Ceylon
        1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone

    Combat - Japanese
        Battle in 39 Sea Zone
            Japanese attack with 1 battleship, 1 destroyer and 1 transport
            British defend with 1 submarine
                Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 1 destroyer and 1 transport in 39 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/0 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 submarine in 39 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,17 expected hits
                1 submarine owned by the British lost in 39 Sea Zone
            Japanese win, taking 39 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 battleship, 1 destroyer and 1 transport remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
            Casualties for British: 1 submarine
        Battle in Borneo
            Japanese attack with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Americans defend with 1 infantry
                Japanese roll dice for 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Borneo, round 2 : 2/1 hits, 1,50 expected hits
                UK_Pacific roll dice for 1 infantry in Borneo, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Borneo
            Japanese win, taking Borneo from UK_Pacific with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Amur
            Japanese attack with 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Japanese roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Amur, round 2 : 2/1 hits, 1,33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Amur, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Amur
            Japanese win with 1 bomber and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Ceylon
        Battle in Celebes
            Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            ANZAC defend with 1 infantry
                Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Celebes, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 1,83 expected hits
                ANZAC roll dice for 1 infantry in Celebes, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the ANZAC lost in Celebes
            Japanese win, taking Ceylon from UK_Pacific, taking Celebes from ANZAC with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Casualties for ANZAC: 1 infantry
        Battle in Shensi
            Japanese attack with 1 armour and 1 infantry
            Chinese defend with 1 infantry
                Japanese roll dice for 1 armour and 1 infantry in Shensi, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry in Shensi, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Shensi
            Japanese win, taking Shensi from Chinese with 1 armour remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry
        Battle in India
            Japanese attack with 7 artilleries and 13 infantry
            British defend with 1 infantry; UK_Pacific defend with 1 airfield, 1 factory_major and 1 harbour
                Japanese roll dice for 7 artilleries and 13 infantry in India, round 2 : 5/1 hits, 5,67 expected hits
                UK_Pacific roll dice for 1 infantry in India, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the British lost in India
            Japanese captures 9PUs while taking UK_Pacific capital
            Japanese converts factory_major into different units
            Japanese win, taking India from UK_Pacific with 7 artilleries and 13 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for British: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Japanese
        1 aaGun moved from Burma to India
        1 armour moved from Burma to India
        1 mech_infantry moved from Kweichow to Shensi
        1 infantry moved from Yunnan to Kweichow
        1 armour moved from Shan State to Kweichow
        2 mech_infantrys moved from Shan State to Hunan
        1 aaGun moved from Shan State to French Indo China
        2 tactical_bombers moved from Burma to Shantung
        1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from Anhwe to Shantung
        1 bomber and 1 fighter moved from Amur to Manchuria
        2 fighters moved from Japan to Shantung
        1 destroyer moved from 36 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Celebes to 44 Sea Zone
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Borneo to 44 Sea Zone
        1 battleship, 5 carriers, 2 cruisers, 2 destroyers, 4 fighters, 4 submarines and 2 tactical_bombers moved from 42 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
        2 bombers moved from Shan State to French Indo China

    Place Units - Japanese
        10 infantry placed in Japan
        3 artilleries placed in Shantung
        2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry placed in French Indo China

    Turn Complete - Japanese
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 0
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 6 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,5
        Japanese collect 61 PUs; end with 71 PUs
        Objective Japanese 4 Control Dutch East Indies: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 76 PUs
        Objective Japanese 3 Control Honolulu Or Sydney Or Calcutta Or Western United States: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 81 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Chinese regular : 0,67
Japanese regular : -0,00
ANZAC regular : 0,67
UK_Pacific regular : -0,67
Russians regular : 0,67
British regular : -0,17

@Arthur-Bomber-Harris l22-oob-final-ll-myygames-x-vs-abh_ITA8.tsvg

Well, I think I need to take the odds you are giving me. Its 50-50, which is actually better than my chances if I play along for a long game. At least that was my estimation of the situation, will be interesting to hear your thought on that later.

Without any sportsmnanship I say now: Good luck to me ;-)

Game History

Round: 8

    Purchase Units - Italians
        Italians buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Italians
        1 armour moved from Bryansk to Russia
        2 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Volgograd to Russia
              Italians take Tambov from Russians
        1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Russia

    Combat - Italians
        Battle in Russia
            Italians attack with 3 armour, 1 bomber and 1 mech_infantry
            British defend with 3 fighters; Russians defend with 3 aaGuns, 1 airfield, 2 armour, 20 artilleries, 1 factory_major, 4 fighters, 61 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Russians roll AA dice in Russia : 0/1 hits, 0,17 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 3 armour, 1 bomber and 1 mech_infantry in Russia, round 2 : 2/1 hits, 2,33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 3 aaGuns, 2 armour, 20 artilleries, 7 fighters, 61 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Russia, round 2 : 33/1 hits, 33,50 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 mech_infantry owned by the Italians, 1 bomber owned by the Italians and 3 armour owned by the Italians lost in Russia
            Russians win with 3 aaGuns, 2 armour, 20 artilleries, 7 fighters, 59 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is -28
            Casualties for Italians: 3 armour, 1 bomber and 1 mech_infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Italians
        1 armour and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Yugoslavia to Eastern Poland
        1 mech_infantry moved from Yugoslavia to Southern Italy
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Yugoslavia to Southern Italy
        2 aaGuns, 1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Yugoslavia to Northern Italy
        3 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from France to Northern Italy

    Place Units - Italians
        3 infantry placed in Southern Italy
        1 infantry placed in Northern Italy

    Turn Complete - Italians
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 9
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 93 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,6
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2,4,4,1,3,1,3,6,6,1
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 105 Sea Zone. Rolls: 1,6
        Italians collect 12 PUs (9 lost to blockades); end with 12 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Italians regular : -0,33
Russians regular : -0,50
Russians AA : -0,17

@Arthur-Bomber-Harris l22-oob-final-ll-myygames-x-vs-abh_GER9_surrender.tsvg

This game is over at that point, I surrender to the overwhelming allied forces!

Congratulations for a very solid game, @Arthur-Bomber-Harris ! You played nearly flawless I would say. The fact that you gave me some odds in the end might actually be no tactical mistake at all; After some contemplation about the situation I realized I would probably also have lost if I had won Moscow. I think attacking Moscow was not a good decision. Anyways I think that in the back of my head I wanted to force a decision in that game and the earlier the better.

The game was a pain in the arse, right from my mistake in J2 I felt I was suffering more and more each turn. You made use of this with masterfull skill and your play was very, very solid. You deserve to be OOB Champion 2023, congratulations!

I will write up a summary of what I think were mistakes of mine in that game, and I would like to encourage Arthur and the lurkers here to do the same. I think I have drawn some insights in this loss that will probably help me in the future and I will share here with the community. This though, will not come before sunday this week.