@Hobbes:
@Sean.C:
See I’m not going to DEFEND Borneo. I’m going to leave my newly built subs in SZ60 and my starting navy of 1BB, 2DD, 1AC, 2FTR, 1CA, and 1SS (assuming SZ37 is mutually destroyed by UK SZ35/39 units) in SZ35 off the coast of India. Then i wait until US decides where to attack. Lets say you take Borneo, now i attack with my starting navy, plus 5 subs. US loses and i still have my entire fleet minus 3-4 subs.
The wonderful thing about this strategy is Japan doesn’t have to defend anything. I just sit and wait for US to decide where it wants to attack, then i counter and destroy it.
Sean, the US can always block those 5 subs on SZ60 from attacking SZ47 by moving 1 destroyer to SZ48. There’s simply no way for Japan to deal with those destroyer blockers unless Germany brings a fighter/bomber to the Pacific. The US can also skip Borneo and focus on East Indies and then the subs on SZ60 can’t reach the US fleet off East Indies.
Or the US can simply send a single transport with fighter support to take Borneo and then Japan has to react. Lots of ways to skin this cat…
You’re talking about a 25% probability for Allies on round 3. So i make 5 more subs on J3, you take Borneo on US2, and reinforce on UK3, and we annihilate each other on J3. I now have 4-5 subs in SZ48 and 4 more in SZ60. You have maybe 1BB. US3 you build an IC on Borneo. J4 buy some ground units and TRN’s and start shucking them to the mainland, and i destroy any leftover US/UK naval vessles and you can keep your worthless Borneo. All you can do with it at this point is build FTR’s and use them to fortify India/Russia. You’re US/UK naval presence in the Pacific is now over.
Only way to take Borneo with FTR support is to move an AC into SZ49 which then gets eaten by some subs, or if your entire fleet goes there then we annihilate each other with you having a 40% chance of winning.
Any way you look at it, Germany takes Moscow and Axis wins.