Botider (Axis) vs Jen (Allies) G40A2 +NO -Tech Gm4

i usually adjust down about 10%… but it still said it was a 98% win. i know i won, but lost a lot more than anticipated. i don’t think the odds were off that far. i suppose the variables with respect to two-hit units plays havoc with the odds, since the calculator really doesn’t know the overall strategic situation and cannot predict how a player will choose casualties, e.g., it doesn’t know if a player can afford to take hits to CVs, for example, or how far planes have to fly to get to the battle and thus whether they have movement left to land somewhere, etc. all those variables could throw off the calculator. i don’t it was wrong for this battle… it was almost a certain win for the japanese. i just took more damage than anticipated, and the dice rolls were clearly the explanation. interesting thoughts, though, doctor.  :wink:

you got a map? or did i miss it?

@Cmdr:

@Botider:

not much hope at this point… i really needed for most of my planes to survive. ah well,… easy come, easy go. nice move in the pacific,… but i really gotta pay attention to the sea zones a little better…

Die Flottenmörderin strikes again!

A well-deserved title!

ok, i reconstructed map from your move, but what i don’t have are british non-com moves…

here’s where i am… just need brit’s ncm’s…

BovJen_G40A2_Gm4_05Dallies.AAM

have not forgotten… i will get to this. very busy currently…

italy 5

purchase
9 inf, rtl, arm, tbmb… spend $48

combat
northwest persia
arm iraq blitzes through to central persia

central persia (inf)
inf iraq
arm iraq through nwp
ftr egypt

dice…
central persia
inf @ 1, arm/ftr @ 3
Rolls: 1@1 2@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)2@3: (1, 6)
vs
inf @ 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)

central persia taken w/out loss

noncombat
ftr central persia > iraq
2 arm egypt > iraq
4 inf, rtl egypt > trans-jordan
inf egypt > sudan
ss sz76 > sz71
dd sz76 > sz75
dd sz76 > sz98
tbmb sz95 > iraq
inf, rtl malta > gibraltar via trn sz96 > sz92
inf, rtl morocco > gibraltar via trn sz98 > sz92
2 inf, rtl, arm northern italy > egypt via 2 trn sz95 > sz98
2 trn sz98 > sz95
bb, ca sz95 > sz92
ss, dd sz95 > sz92

deployment
3 inf > southern france
3 inf > egypt
3 inf, rtl, arm > northern italy
tbmb > sz95

collect
$52

germany 6

purchase
10 inf, rtl, sbmb, ss… spend $54

combat
baltic states (3 inf)
3 inf, ftr, tbmb, sbmb poland

east poland (inf)
2 inf hungary
ftr, tbmb romania

dice…
baltic states
3 inf @ 1, ftr @ 3, tbmb/sbmb @ 4
Rolls: 3@1 1@3 2@4; Total Hits: 43@1: (2, 1, 1)1@3: (2)2@4: (2, 5)
vs
3 inf @ 2
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 5, 5)

baltic states obliterated… wish i could save some of that.

east poland
2 inf @ 1, ftr @ 3, tbmb @ 4
Rolls: 2@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 32@1: (2, 1)1@3: (2)1@4: (2)
vs
inf @ 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)

mercy,… all my good dice in two little battles. wonder what happens in a really important battle later…  8-)

noncombat
ftr, tbmb, sbmb baltic states > west germany
ftr, tbmb east poland > west germany
5 inf, 2 rtl, 2 arm hungary > romania
5 inf, 3 arm germany > poland
3 inf hungary > poland
inf bessarabia > romania
inf karelia > finland
2 inf, rtl southern france > gibraltar via 2 trn sz93 > sz92
trn sz93 > sz95
2 ss sz112 > sz109
dd sz105 > sz92
ca, bb, 2 dd, cv, ftr, tbmb sz91 > sz92
3 ss sz91 > sz112

deployment
ss > sz112
7 inf, rtl > germany
3 inf > france
sbmb > west germany

collect
$54

BovJen_G40A2_Gm4_06Agermany.AAM

japan 6

purchase

• repair 2 bbs sz6
• 5 inf, rtl, arm, dd, 2 ss… spend $45

combat
kansu (inf)
inf, rtl shensi

tsinghai ( )
inf shensi

szechwan (inf)
inf, rtl, ftr shensi

kweichow (inf)
mech, tbmb shensi
inf anhwe

jehol (inf)
2 inf, 2 arm japan via 2 trn sz6 > sz19

manchuria (inf)
inf, rtl japan
2 bb sz6 > sz19

sz7 (dd)
ss sz20
ftr japan

sz16 (dd)
ss sz20
ftr japan

sz17 (dd)
ss sz21
ftr japan

kansu
inf/rtl @ 2
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 22@2: (1, 1)
vs
inf @ 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

:lol: … triple 1’s … everybody up early and ready to fight today!

kansu taken w/ loss of inf
tsinghai taken w/out opposition

szechwan
inf/rtl @ 2, ftr @ 3
Rolls: 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 12@2: (5, 1)1@3: (5)
vs
inf @ 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

wow… getting started with vigor on this saturday morning… you’re at 100% on defense (so far)…

szechwan taken w/ loss of inf

kweichow
mech @ 1, tbmb @ 3
Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (5)1@3: (5)
vs
inf @ 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

okay,… finally found the guys who slept in.

kweichow
mech @ 1, tbmb @ 3
Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 21@1: (1)1@3: (1)
vs
inf @ 2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)