Germany spent a lot of money on synthetic oil-it wouldn’t have cost as much to expoilt naturally occurring oil fields, and those resources could have gone to producing more equipment (which the new massive oil fields, in conjunction with Romania’s could fuel). Germany might even have been able to the give the Italian navy more oil, which would help operations in the Mediterranean. Japan would be able to not attack the Western Allies, which would allow them to destroy China more easily, with all of Japan’s resources aimed at it, with a fully fuelled army and navy. Perhaps Japan, without a massive naval war, could even invest more in tanks and mechanized infantry which would be fully fueled, and would make a possible invasion of the Soviet Union much easier. Supply problems in China and the Soviet Union would have been not as bad. Perhaps several hundred more tanks and mechanized infantry at the Battle Of Moscow, completely fuelled, might have been decisive-and if that wasn’t enough, there would have been more casualties, which would set the stage for a renewed German offensive against Moscow without the need to take Soviet oil. Bombing the oil fieleds might have been sufficent enough to allow Germany to take Moscow in 1942. This would have been coupled with Japanese pressure on the Soviet Union. It would still be close, but the Axis may have won on the Eastern Front. After that, Germany can dedicate all their resources for submarine warfare and fighters to protect the oil fields, and the fighter force would still have performed well, as there would not be a loss of oil, which resulted in training cuts. All of this, with Vichy France and Spain joining the Axis, would have created a crisis in the Mediterranean, especially now that Germany could possibly send an entire panzer army to North Africa, and will have enormous amounts to men on the Atlantic Wall. If China falls, then altogether, the Axis would have won.
What if the Axis won the War?
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I have read several memoirs of German officers from WW2 and I firmly believe that had the Germans “won” the war, then it would only have been a matter of time before the German officer class and the Wehrmacht overthrew the Nazi’s a slowly turned Germany in to a quasi-conservative democracy. When Hans Von Skeet was forming his 100,000 man army the treaty of Versailles limited Germany to, he stressed they be non-political. The reason many German officers and soldiers did resist the Nazis was because they were trained to stay out of politics. However, after a victorious war I think many would have started to look around at what was going on in Germany and the occupied areas and start questioning the government. The only thing that would have prevented them from acting would have been if Adolf Hitler was still alive. If the Germany pull of a victory in say 1945 (hypothetically; negotiating a peace with the west after a disastrous D-day lets say and then concentrating in the east to bleed the Russians white by 45/46) then really you would only have had to deal with Hitler for about another 3 years before his Parkinson’s claimed him, which many now believe he had. An earlier victory would have to involve an assassination on Hitler of the sort attempted in operation Valkyrie. I think in a non war setting there would have been a greater involvement of German officers and the plot would have been more likely to succeed. In that event there would have been some infighting, some-what like a civil war, between the SS (who I believe would have been framed as though they had killed Hitler) and the rest of the Wehrmacht. Though bloody, the deaths caused by this fighting would pale in comparison to a world where the Nazis where left to their own devices.
Good post. :)
There’s a significant chance the scenario you’ve outlined would have come to pass. Even if CWO Marc is right and it hadn’t, you’ve still touched on a larger issue. Hitler would not have lived for very long after the war, and his death would have left a gaping hole in German leadership. Hitler wasn’t sold on anyone in particular as his successor. For a while that successor had been Goering by default. But Goering’s incompetence had cost him significant credibility in the eyes of almost everyone. Even Hitler himself had referred to Goering with derision. (And rightly so.)
Back in the early '20s, the Nazi Party was small, and consisted largely of dedicated revolutionaries. As it became larger and more mainstream, the people who joined it were often less radical, less completely committed to its ideology. After Hitler came to power in '33, a number of people claimed to have a greater adherence to Nazism than they really felt. There were social and economic rewards for being pro-Nazi, and penalties associated with being anti-Nazi. The earlier someone had joined the Nazi Party, the more fully committed he or she was likely to be to its ideology.
This meant that Hitler and the other core members of the Nazi Party had a problem. As they died of old age, their replacements would be milder, more moderate men–men less fully committed to the Nazi ideology. The Soviet communists had the same problem. Stalin had been a communist revolutionary back when the czar was still in power. But after Stalin’s death, his successors were milder and less revolutionary than Lenin, Trotsky, or Stalin had been.
Traditionally, Germany had been a more humane nation than Russia. During WWI, the world’s Jewish community had supported the Axis, on the theory that, while European nations in general tended to be deplorably anti-Semitic, Russia was significantly worse than the others. (And was associated with pogroms.) Working conditions in czarist Russia were appalling, and peasants were clearly considered expendable. That brutality was considerably intensified during Lenin’s and Stalin’s regimes. Given these cultural differences, post-Hitler Nazi Germany would likely have been more civilized and humane than the post-Stalin Soviet Union.
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I agree with you Kurt, 100%. Its often forgotten that WW1 ear Germany was a relatively open country when compared to Hitlers Germany. Many Jewish intellectuals did support the central powers during WW1 against Czarist Russia for just those reasons. The Jews in Russia at that time had to live in isolated settlement outside regular Russian cities, not unlike the ghettos of WW2. Also, despite many anti-semitic attitudes in Europe at the time, the Jewish people of Germany were full integrated in to German society. During WW1 nearly 150,000 Jewish Germans fought in the German army and of those 30,000 were awarded the Iron Cross for bravery in battle.
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To follow up on my post from yesterday: It should be noted that Hitler did in fact carry out a Stalin-like purge of his own in 1934, when he eliminated the leadership of the SA. There had been rising tensions between the Army and the SA since Hitler had come to power in 1933 because the chief of the SA, Ernst Rohm, had been pushing to have his Stormtroopers take over the role of the regular Army.
Hitler found it easy to choose between the SA and the Army at this point because: a) the SA had already accomplished its main job, which was to help bring Hitler to power, and b) Hitler needed the professional Army – not an unruly bunch of streetfighting thugs – to carry out the next part of his program, which was to reverse the results of the First World War. So he had Rohm and his senior colleagues liquidated.
The Army was pleased to have had their SA competitors brought under control in this manner, but it turned out to be a bad bargain because the group which carried out the assassinations was the SS. Up to that point, the SS had been a relatively small specialized force within the SA. After the Rohm purge, the SS rapidly gained importance, and it played a major role in turning Germany into a police state.
If we fast-forward to a hypothetical scenario in which Germany had won the Second World War, it could be argued that the Wehrmacht at that point would have been much in the same position as the SA in 1934. It would have served its main purpose (winning the war), and its senior leadership – never liked and often mistrusted by Hitler – would have been dispensable. The SS terror apparatus would have had ten years since 1934 to grow in size and power, and would have had the resources to carry out a Stalinesque purge of the German officer corps.
Moreover, by the end of the actual war (which would also have been the case in the hypothetical one), Hitler had at his disposal a supplement to – and potential replacement for – the regular Army: the Waffen SS. The Wehrmacht and the Waffen SS got into a lot of competition for military resources in 1944 and 1945, with the Waffen SS often getting some of the prize equipment like the Tiger tanks. So it’s not inconceivable that, in this hypothetical scenario, the Army might have ended up being sidelined in favour of an expanded Waffen SS – in other words by a private army belonging to the Nazi Party. Ironically, this pretty much what Ernst Rohm had been advocating in the first place back in 1934.
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@CWO:
To follow up on my post from yesterday: It should be noted that Hitler did in fact carry out a Stalin-like purge of his own in 1934, when he eliminated the leadership of the SA. There had been rising tensions between the Army and the SA since Hitler had come to power in 1933 because the chief of the SA, Ernst Rohm, had been pushing to have his Stormtroopers take over the role of the regular Army.
Hitler found it easy to choose between the SA and the Army at this point because: a) the SA had already accomplished its main job, which was to help bring Hitler to power, and b) Hitler needed the professional Army – not an unruly bunch of streetfighting thugs – to carry out the next part of his program, which was to reverse the results of the First World War. So he had Rohm and his senior colleagues liquidated.
The Army was pleased to have had their SA competitors brought under control in this manner, but it turned out to be a bad bargain because the group which carried out the assassinations was the SS. Up to that point, the SS had been a relatively small specialized force within the SA. After the Rohm purge, the SS rapidly gained importance, and it played a major role in turning Germany into a police state.
If we fast-forward to a hypothetical scenario in which Germany had won the Second World War, it could be argued that the Wehrmacht at that point would have been much in the same position as the SA in 1934. It would have served its main purpose (winning the war), and its senior leadership – never liked and often mistrusted by Hitler – would have been dispensable. The SS terror apparatus would have had ten years since 1934 to grow in size and power, and would have had the resources to carry out a Stalinesque purge of the German officer corps.
Moreover, by the end of the actual war (which would also have been the case in the hypothetical one), Hitler had at his disposal a supplement to – and potential replacement for – the regular Army: the Waffen SS. The Wehrmacht and the Waffen SS got into a lot of competition for military resources in 1944 and 1945, with the Waffen SS often getting some of the prize equipment like the Tiger tanks. So it’s not inconceivable that, in this hypothetical scenario, the Army might have ended up being sidelined in favour of an expanded Waffen SS – in other words by a private army belonging to the Nazi Party. Ironically, this pretty much what Ernst Rohm had been advocating in the first place back in 1934.
Both you and Clyde have made very solid contributions to this discussion, which I appreciate. You’ve raised a very interesting possibility.
The Versailles Treaty had limited the German Army to a token size of 100,000 men. In 1934, the SA had 3,000,000 men–men who had varying degrees of armament. Roehm had become increasingly disaffected with Hitler. Members of the SA had expected to have been lavished with lucrative positions and other financial rewards. Instead, the Nazi government assigned technical and other positions on the basis of merit. Another bone of contention was that many members of the SA wanted the Nazi government to assume ownership of Germany’s large corporations. Instead, Hitler chose to leave those corporations in the hands of their owners.
Hitler feared that Roehm might use the 3,000,000 men he controlled to overthrow his own government. Roehm had increased the armed element within the SA, a point which augmented Hitler’s concerns. Hindenberg had threatened to declare martial law unless Hitler did something to check the power of the SA.
Some of Roehm’s rivals had warned Hitler of an imminent coup. Hitler responded to those warnings by flying to the SA headquarters, and personally ordering the SA men present to turn their weapons over to the SS troops Hitler had brought with him. Hitler was apparently confident that not even one armed, disaffected SA man would choose to shoot him! Had Hitler been absent, the SS officers who’d arrived at the SA headquarters would have demanded that the SA turn over their weapons. Had those demands been contradicted by the SA officers present, the result could have been a shooting confrontation. A confrontation which might have turned into a full-blown civil war, with the SA on one side and the German Army and the SS on the other. The absolute obedience of the SA men to Hitler–and Hitler’s physical presence at the SA headquarters–prevented that outcome.
A number of SA leaders were subsequently purged, as were some others who had been critical of Hitler. This purge may have been similar in kind to Stalin’s purges of his own army. But the two purges were not comparable in scale. Hitler’s purge had 85 - 200 victims. Stalin’s Great Purge claimed 680,000 - 2.1 million lives.
It’s possible that the Nazis would have expanded the Waffen SS until it had taken over the role of the army. Himmler may have wanted to do exactly that. The problem with this–at least from Hitler’s perspective–is that if this had happened, Himmler would then have had the power with which to overthrow Hitler.
Hitler may have preferred to keep the Army and the Waffen SS as separate entities. If the Army became troublesome, Hitler could always threaten to grow the Waffen SS at the Army’s expense. If the Waffen SS became uppity, Hitler could count on the Army’s support to keep it in check. By playing the two groups off against each other, Hitler would work to prevent either one from overthrowing him. Hitler’s successor would have been weaker than Hitler. Keeping power divided in this way would have been even more essential for the successor than it had been for Hitler.
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I take serious exception to two statements made earlier. The first regarding Hitler being insane. The second regarding Hitler’s would-be assassins justifying the assassination of Hitler after the fact.
Hitler was no more insane than any of the other major world leaders. The fact is, the Allies won the war, so Allied propaganda is what ended up spreading around the world. Take Stalin’s position. You know how messed up Stalin’s reign and his personal life was, but he ended up with huge popularity and power. Hitler had MANY more redeeming qualities than Stalin. If the Axis had won the war, it is certain that people would have incredible admiration and respect for Hitler.
If you doubt it, then think about this. Why would you think Hitler was evil or insane? Because you were told he was evil and insane. Because others think he was evil and insane. And why would they think that? Because they heard it from others, and so on and so forth. If the Axis had won, they would have controlled the media, and you can be damn well sure that the Jew-loving Roosevelt, the megalomaniacal Churchill, and the drunkard Stalin would have been put in their proper place, while the beloved father of the Fatherland would have been put at the right hand of God.
As far as justifying the assassination of Hitler after the fact had the Nazis won the war - that’s entirely missing the point. If the Nazis were looking like they were going to win the war, and Hitler was a popular figure, of course Hitler’s assassins would not take credit for the assassination! They would blame subversives, Allied commandos, or rival power factions within the Reich. It would be like the Vice President of the United States murdering the President on national television, stepping over the body, and claiming the Presidency of the United States. Just not going to happen! The only reason the assassins considered moving openly against Hitler and taking credit later in the war was because everyone in the Reich was sure the war was LOST!
Now back to the poop discussion -
. . . Hitler and the other core members of the Nazi Party had a problem. As they died of old age, their replacements would be milder, more moderate men–men less fully committed to the Nazi ideology. The Soviet communists had the same problem. Stalin had been a communist revolutionary back when the czar was still in power. But after Stalin’s death, his successors were milder and less revolutionary than Lenin, Trotsky, or Stalin had been.
On the death of Mao, China’s economy shifted from a centrally planned economy towards privatization. That is to say, even in a centrally controlled state with a cult of personality, in the end, individual self-interest naturally won out. (I do not mean to say by this, nor do I believe, that it is natural that “capitalism” or “representative democracy” are the natural economic or political end products of evolution. But I will leave this for now.)
That is, although individuals can and do make vast differences to the particulars of everyday life, after the death of those particular individuals, things tend to follow certain general tendencies.
Imagine ice sculptures of two very different people, set out in the sun. At first, there seem to be vast differences between the two. But over time, the sun melts the ice, until there is little to be seen but generic pits for the eyes or a lump for the nose. That is the normalization effect over time. My view of things is that as social, economic, political, and technological advances are made, that the basic ice sculptures that can be created can become more complex, or are able to last longer under the sun’s rays.
Sculptors normally want to believe that the changes they have made to the ice sculpture are lasting, or superior to changes that other sculptors have made. Or people have a favorite sculptor that they want to believe in. But in my experience, there are few sculptors that can make real and lasting changes; the supposed differences that most sculptors tout as triumphs fade into the ice sculpture as it is heated by the sun. This is how I view the failure of the Axis to win World War II. It’s my opinion that it made some difference, even drastic, but that the current state of the world is not terribly significantly different now than it would have been had the Axis had won - and that another hundred years from now, even less difference would be seen, as the ice sculpture continues to melt in the sun, but is also continually worked on by other sculptors.
Part of the problem with creating lasting change is that superficial change is easier to create than real and lasting change, so superficial change is often not only acceptable but preferable. Suppose you wanted a chip in the ice so you would have a place to put your beer. It is a fast and easy solution to knock a chip out yourself quickly, or to hire someone to knock that chip out for you. It is another entirely different solution to get an engineer to mess with the entire statue to get a chip to naturally form. With one solution, the chip melts into the contours of the ice in time, so you need to chip again in a few days. With the other solution, you chip once and never need to chip again. But how many people, myself included, would probably end up knocking out that chip themselves?
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@Bunnies:
I take serious exception to two statements made earlier. The first regarding Hitler being insane. The second regarding Hitler’s would-be assassins justifying the assassination of Hitler after the fact.
Hitler was no more insane than any of the other major world leaders. The fact is, the Allies won the war, so Allied propaganda is what ended up spreading around the world. Take Stalin’s position. You know how messed up Stalin’s reign and his personal life was, but he ended up with huge popularity and power. Hitler had MANY more redeeming qualities than Stalin. If the Axis had won the war, it is certain that people would have incredible admiration and respect for Hitler.
If you doubt it, then think about this. Why would you think Hitler was evil or insane? Because you were told he was evil and insane. Because others think he was evil and insane. And why would they think that? Because they heard it from others, and so on and so forth. If the Axis had won, they would have controlled the media, and you can be damn well sure that the Jew-loving Roosevelt, the megalomaniacal Churchill, and the drunkard Stalin would have been put in their proper place, while the beloved father of the Fatherland would have been put at the right hand of God.
As far as justifying the assassination of Hitler after the fact had the Nazis won the war - that’s entirely missing the point. If the Nazis were looking like they were going to win the war, and Hitler was a popular figure, of course Hitler’s assassins would not take credit for the assassination! They would blame subversives, Allied commandos, or rival power factions within the Reich. It would be like the Vice President of the United States murdering the President on national television, stepping over the body, and claiming the Presidency of the United States. Just not going to happen! The only reason the assassins considered moving openly against Hitler and taking credit later in the war was because everyone in the Reich was sure the war was LOST!
Now back to the poop discussion -
. . . Hitler and the other core members of the Nazi Party had a problem. As they died of old age, their replacements would be milder, more moderate men–men less fully committed to the Nazi ideology. The Soviet communists had the same problem. Stalin had been a communist revolutionary back when the czar was still in power. But after Stalin’s death, his successors were milder and less revolutionary than Lenin, Trotsky, or Stalin had been.
On the death of Mao, China’s economy shifted from a centrally planned economy towards privatization. That is to say, even in a centrally controlled state with a cult of personality, in the end, individual self-interest naturally won out. (I do not mean to say by this, nor do I believe, that it is natural that “capitalism” or “representative democracy” are the natural economic or political end products of evolution. But I will leave this for now.)
That is, although individuals can and do make vast differences to the particulars of everyday life, after the death of those particular individuals, things tend to follow certain general tendencies.
Imagine ice sculptures of two very different people, set out in the sun. At first, there seem to be vast differences between the two. But over time, the sun melts the ice, until there is little to be seen but generic pits for the eyes or a lump for the nose. That is the normalization effect over time. My view of things is that as social, economic, political, and technological advances are made, that the basic ice sculptures that can be created can become more complex, or are able to last longer under the sun’s rays.
Sculptors normally want to believe that the changes they have made to the ice sculpture are lasting, or superior to changes that other sculptors have made. Or people have a favorite sculptor that they want to believe in. But in my experience, there are few sculptors that can make real and lasting changes; the supposed differences that most sculptors tout as triumphs fade into the ice sculpture as it is heated by the sun. This is how I view the failure of the Axis to win World War II. It’s my opinion that it made some difference, even drastic, but that the current state of the world is not terribly significantly different now than it would have been had the Axis had won - and that another hundred years from now, even less difference would be seen, as the ice sculpture continues to melt in the sun, but is also continually worked on by other sculptors.
Part of the problem with creating lasting change is that superficial change is easier to create than real and lasting change, so superficial change is often not only acceptable but preferable. Suppose you wanted a chip in the ice so you would have a place to put your beer. It is a fast and easy solution to knock a chip out yourself quickly, or to hire someone to knock that chip out for you. It is another entirely different solution to get an engineer to mess with the entire statue to get a chip to naturally form. With one solution, the chip melts into the contours of the ice in time, so you need to chip again in a few days. With the other solution, you chip once and never need to chip again. But how many people, myself included, would probably end up knocking out that chip themselves?
Excellent post, Bunnies! Your metaphor of a melting ice sculpture is a good one, and is applicable to a great many situations.
Just as China is becoming more like the West (in terms of its economy) many Western nations are becoming more like China. In most Western nations–with the United States being a notable exception–it’s illegal to voice opinions which differ too radically from the government’s ideology. The way that European governments or Canada treat neo-Nazis (or, in Mark Steyn’s case, those who insult Islam) has parallels with the way communist China treats its own dissidents. The melting ice creates a free market economy, but with some government interference. And some freedom of expression, except when the government disagrees too strongly with the ideas being expressed.
If institutions tend to reach the same end points, regardless of the ideologies of those who created them, the same is not always true of civilizations. A few million years ago, small and subtle genetic differences began appearing between two groups of apes. Those small differences became larger over time, with one group ultimately evolving into humans, the other into chimps.
However, human fertility rates are inversely correlated with genetic intelligence. This means that the human race is becoming progressively dumber. The ice of the sculpture that is humanity is melting, if only just a little.
Had the Axis won the war, its leaders would have attempted to address this problem. I recall seeing a Nazi propaganda poster which lamented the fact that intelligent, law-abiding people were having fewer children than their less intelligent law-abiding counterparts, who in turn had fewer children than unintelligent criminals. Whether the Nazis would have been successful in reversing dysgenic fertility patterns is of course another question, but at least the attempt would have been made. One of the results of the Allied victory is that people have been imbued with anti-eugenics scare stories and propaganda, to the point where calm, rational, emotion-free consideration of the issues at hand is no longer an option.
One would think that anyone who accepts Darwin’s theories would also readily grasp (or at least not be offended by) their logical implications. One of those implications is that species evolve in the direction of genetic pressure. If fast, alert deer are more likely to survive and pass their genes onto the next generation, deer will tend to become faster and more alert. If unintelligent people have more children than their more intelligent counterparts, human intelligence will decline. But in a jaw-dropping feat of propaganda and intellectual sleight of hand, communists and other Allied propagandists have managed to convince people to accept Darwinism while rejecting the single most basic and fundamental implication of Darwinism. Which is sort of like accepting Galileo’s theories of astronomy, while rejecting the thought that the Earth revolves around the Sun.
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“History is written by the victors.” Enough said. By the way excellent post bunnies, and Kurt.
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I agree with Bunnies completely except on one point. The reason I said Hitler wasn’t completely sane, although I did not say he was Insane( there is a fine line) was because he initiated a massive genocide. Say what you will about Churchill or Roosevelt, they never came close to that. In my opinion (stress on the opinion!!!) the desire to rid the world of “inferior” races is not the product of a healthy mind.
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However, human fertility rates are inversely correlated with genetic intelligence. This means that the human race is becoming progressively dumber.
Care to cite some papers that support this premise Kurt?
One of the results of the Allied victory is that people have been imbued with anti-eugenics scare stories and propaganda, to the point where calm, rational, emotion-free consideration of the issues at hand is no longer an option.
It almost seems you lament this? Nazi concentration camps and the slaughter of millions of people imbued people with anti-eugenics feelings. The fact you classify history as scare stories and propaganda concerns me.
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I’ve read some Eugenics studies Kurt refer’s to, it began mostly as an an American science. They used to sterilize Alchoholics, and other undesirables in the US, it even had some links to the Prohibition movement. Circa 1890-1930
In Canada, they tried to adopt similar policies in the 20’s to sterilize natives, and the mentally handicapped. These almost reached fruition. I want you to think about that for a moment…
Even though I’ve read the studies however, I disagree, the problem with the “The educated elite have less kids” theorum, and the addage that we are all getting dumber, is that just because my grandfather LITERALLY lived in a barn with animals, eating what they ate, has no bearing on the fact, that I work in the CEO class of a multi million dollar company today.
The most common reality in my opinion, is that each parent tries to make sure their child does better than they do. And more often than not they succeed.
As for the rest of the comments and whats being implied about Kurt in general…. I think the biggest problem here is that everyone points at the Nazi’s as “Mass Murderers”, whilst there are plently of other examples, of even LARGER mass murder, that goes unspoken of. If you want to talk about history, then you need to speak of all history. Whilst realizing that all the “Facts” might just be part of “his-story”.
You don’t see Hudson’s Bay getting sued because they gave blankets to the natives that were infected with Small Pox in the 1800’s.
So the REAL question is, is Nazism and Mass Murder the same thing? If you believe they are, then isn’t Communism and Mass Murder the same thing? What about Corporate Expansionism at the pains of indigenous peoples?
Or in all cases are each of the items seperate entities? despite one being a product of the other.
These are decisions you need to make for yourself. And we probably shouldn’t be debating them here!
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So the REAL question is, is Nazism and Mass Murder the same thing? If you believe they are, then isn’t Communism and Mass Murder the same thing? What about Corporate Expansionism at the pains of indigenous peoples?
The question that holds my attention the most is: what the viewpoint that is being promoted by the arguments we’ve heard? Is it the viewpoint that Dictator X has gotten a bad rap from historians, and that he should be looked upon more kindly because he killed fewer millions of people than Dictator Y? The viewpoint that Doctrine Z should not be criticized for the crimes that were commited by its proponents, given that the proponents of other doctrines over the centuries have done nasty things too?
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However, human fertility rates are inversely correlated with genetic intelligence. This means that the human race is becoming progressively dumber.
Care to cite some papers that support this premise Kurt?
One of the results of the Allied victory is that people have been imbued with anti-eugenics scare stories and propaganda, to the point where calm, rational, emotion-free consideration of the issues at hand is no longer an option.
It almost seems you lament this? Nazi concentration camps and the slaughter of millions of people imbued people with anti-eugenics feelings. The fact you classify history as scare stories and propaganda concerns me.
You’ve made a very reasonable request that I support my statements about dysgenic fertility rates. If you’re in the mood for an in-depth paper, you could try the following:
Intelligence, Volume 32, Issue 2, March-April 2004, Pages 193-201
Richard Lynn, Marian Van CourtOr, if you just want to click on a link, there is this.
In a 1988 study, Retherford and Sewell examined the association between the measured intelligence and fertility of over 9,000 high school graduates in Wisconsin in 1957, and confirmed the inverse relationship between IQ and fertility for both sexes, but much more so for females. If children had, on average, the same IQ as their parents, IQ would decline by .81 points per generation. Taking .71 for the additive heritability of IQ as given by Jinks & Fulker,[14] they calculated a dysgenic decline of .57 IQ points per generation.[15]
Another way of checking the negative relationship between IQ and fertility is to consider the relationship which educational attainment has to fertility, since education is known to be a reasonable proxy for IQ, correlating with IQ at .55;[16] . . . One study investigating fertility and education carried out in 1991 found that high school dropouts in America had the most children (2.5 on average), with high school graduates having fewer children, and college graduates having the fewest children (1.56 on average).[18]
If you want to dig further, you can also read this paper.
Innovation rates became sufficient for runaway growth in wealth at the end of the 19th century. Subsequent declines in Western genotypic IQ have however diminished innovation rates.
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I had a sandbox as a little boy. I remember how happy I was when my father added sifted sand to the sandbox. It was exactly what I’d wanted all along! :) Back when I’d had unsifted sand, I’d had to use a screen to sift it! :)
Mainstream historians write from the Allied perspective. This means that they seek to present a story of Allied good triumphing over Axis evil. Facts which do not fit into the story they wish to tell are carefully sifted out. It’s possible to read thousands of pages of mainstream history books without encountering anything other than this sifted sand.
But some mainstream/Allied historians are more intense about sifting than others. While some historians make 100% sure that nothing makes it through without being sifted, others allow the occasional pebble to make it through. It’s very rare for these pebbles to escape the sifting process, which is why close attention should be paid to them when they do make it through. Our objective should be to see facts as they actually were, without anyone sifting out data they found inconvenient.
As a result of this sifting process, many have come to believe that Churchill and FDR did not commit genocide, and were heroes for standing up to someone who did (Hitler). Churchill and FDR were guilty of five separate acts of European genocide.
1. The Anglo-American food blockade imposed on Germany during WWII.
2. The Anglo-American bombing effort against German cities.
3. The effort to impose starvation on postwar Germany.
4. The treatment of German POWs, most of whom were turned over to the Soviet Union.
5. The turning over of millions of Soviet refugees and Soviet POWs to the Soviet government.1. The food blockade.
As 1940 drew to a close, the situation for many of Europe’s 525 million people was dire. With the food supply reduced by 15% by the blockade and another 15% by poor harvests, starvation [was] a threat. . . . Former president Herbert Hoover, who had done much to alleviate the hunger of European children during WW1, wrote
| The food situation in the present war is already more desperate than at the
| same stage in the [First] World War. … If this war is long continued, there is
| but one implacable end… the greatest famine in history.
Also,
In January Herbert Hoover’s National Committee on Food for the Small Democracies presented the exiled Belgian Government in London with a plan he had agreed with the German authorities to set up soup kitchens in Belgium to feed several million destitute people.[60] . . . However, Britain refused to allow this aid through their blockade. . . .
Hoover said that his information indicated that the Belgian ration was already down to 960 calories–less than half the amount necessary to sustain life–and that many children were already so weak they could no longer attend school. . . .
The American Red Cross chartered [mercy ships to carry] relief supplies into unoccupied France. . . . A number of prominent liberals denounced the release of food to France in a letter to United States Secretary of State Cordell Hull.
2. The Anglo-American bombing effort
One of the objectives of this bombing effort was to reduce Germany’s cities and its people to ash, on the theory that both were contributing to the German war effort. The goal of the late-war Anglo-American bombing raids was to create firestorms. There were times–such as at Hamburg and Dresden–when they succeeded. The bombing of Dresden is especially notable because it had little military value, was a cultural center, and was filled with large numbers of refugees who had fled west to escape the terror and mass murder of the Red Army. In the aftermath of the Dresden raid–and the international outcry against it–Churchill sent the following telegram to the British Chiefs of Staff:
It seems to me that the moment has come when the question of bombing of German cities simply for the sake of increasing the terror, though under other pretexts, should be reviewed. Otherwise we shall come into control of an utterly ruined land.
The Dresden raid, alone, killed about eight times as many civilians as did the September 11th terrorist attacks. Also, the Dresden raid was specifically targeted against German firefighters and other rescue workers.
It had been decided that the raid would be a double strike, in which a second wave of bombers would attack three hours after the first, just as the rescue teams were trying to put out the fires.[36]
3. The effort to impose starvation on postwar Germany.
On March 20, 1945 President Roosevelt was warned that the JCS 1067 was not workable: it would let the Germans “stew in their own juice”. Roosevelt’s response was “Let them have soup kitchens! Let their economy sink!” Asked if he wanted the German people to starve, he replied, “Why not?”[47]
By February 28, 1947 it was estimated that 4,160,000 German former prisoners of war, by General Dwight D. Eisenhower relabeled as Disarmed Enemy Forces in order to negate the Geneva Convention, were used as forced labor by the various Allied countries to work in camps outside Germany: 3,000,000 in Russia, 750,000 in France, 400,000 in Britain and 10,000 in Belgium.[70] Meanwhile in Germany large parts of the population were starving[70] at a time when according to a study done by former U.S. President Herbert Hoover the nutritional condition in countries that in Western Europe was nearly pre-war normal".[70]
4. The treatment of German POWs
The highest-scoring fighter ace in human history was Erich Hartmann. As WWII in Europe drew to a close, Hartmann surrendered to the Americans. But then
After his capture, the U.S. Army handed Hartmann, his pilots, and ground crew over to the Soviet Union on 24 May, where he was imprisoned in accordance with the Yalta Agreements, which stated that airmen and soldiers fighting Soviet forces had to surrender directly to them.
Most of Hartmann’s fellow servicemen were less famous and less lucky than he had been. Instead of merely being tortured and starved by the Soviets–as Hartmann had been–many were allowed to die outright.
Finally we arrived near Kirov and disembarked in a swamp. This was our home for a while. Of the 1,500 POWs who were dropped at this place about 200 lived through the first winter. This I know from some who survived. They were not fed, just worked to death.
Millions of other captured German servicemen endured the same fate at Soviet hands. FDR, Truman, and Churchill knew that Stalin was a mass murderer when they decided to turn millions of captured German servicemen over to him.
5. Turning over refugees and POWs from the Soviet Union to the Soviet government
Outlining the plan to forcibly return the refugees to the Soviet Union, this codicil was kept secret from the US and British people for over fifty years.[2] The name of the operation comes from the naval practice of corporal punishment, keelhauling. . . .
The refugee columns fleeing the Soviet-occupied eastern Europe numbered millions of people. . . .
Often prisoners were summarily executed by receiving Communist authorities, sometimes within earshot of the British. . . .
Tolstoy described the scene of Americans returning to the internment camp after having delivered a shipment of people to the Russians. “The Americans returned to Plattling visibly shamefaced. Before their departure from the rendezvous in the forest, many had seen rows of bodies already hanging from the branches of nearby trees.”[10]
To his credit, Winston Churchill was less enthusiastic about items 3 and 5 on the above list than FDR or Truman had been. Conditions in British-occupied postwar Germany were slightly less bad than the American section. Churchill did not turn over all the refugees he’d agreed to, but allowed some to remain safe from Soviet mass murder. However, FDR, Truman, and Churchill had directly participated in all five of the above-described acts of mass murder in Europe. America’s bombing of Japanese cities–and its use of nuclear weapons against Japan’s civilian population–is of course a separate subject.
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Imagine the sand I could sift, if many moons from now I gave IL’s Eulogy :P.
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These things are all true Kurt but unfortunately you present them in a stand-alone fashion which can be misleading as everything happens in a cause and effect manor. Yes, the allies did all those things, but they didn’t do them on a whim, or because they were in a bad mood or it happened to be Thursday, all these things were done as a direct result of German aggression. You talk about the Anglo-American bombing of German cities but neglect to mention the German bombing of London, and most other major English cities. You talk about the starving Belgians but seem to forget that the reason so many were homeless and destitute was because of the German invasion and occupation of their country. Had Germany not done these things in the first place, or put themselves in those positions, none of the above things would have happened. Germany was in the wrong and reaped what it had sown and I’m sorry but they got back what they had dished out and it doesn’t make sense to me feeling sorry for them because they lost. Even with regards to the Soviet Union, yes Stalin was a mass murderer, but, he was largely killing his own people(I know that statement come with a big pulsing asterisk) where as Hitler was going into other countries and killing their people. Not surprisingly other countries get alittle upset when you do thing like violate their sovereignty and start killing their people.
With regards to the treatment of POW’s, most Germans captured by the western allies were treated very well, and kept in good conditions which isn’t victors history, thats fact. Those “labor camps” of German POW’s you neglect to mention that occupation authorities paid and fed the man that worked for them (the exception being the ones in the Soviet Union). Many of the POW’s that were handed over to the Soviet Union were SS and Members of the Nazi party. From what I read in Col. Hans Von Lucks memoirs(who spent 10 years in Soviet custody), German Heer and Wehrmacht members in general were treated better then members of the SS and Nazi party. Did the US act naively in the face of Stalin and the Soviet Union? Yes. Hind sight is always 20/20, and there are many thing we know today that people at the time had know way of knowing. We also are looking at this with a modern, fresh perspective with different institutions and cultural experiances then the people of that time had. So mistakes were made, what matters isnt that they were made, but whether or not we learn from them.
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You walk into a village, and everyone is wearing wooden shoes. They stare at your leather and rubber boots because you’re obviously a fing idiot. Who the f wears s* like that? In fact, you should probably be burned at the stake just to be safe.
That’s IQ for you. You have a bunch of bullshit questions that are supposed to assess your supposed intelligence. But what the questions REALLY test is how much you think like the person that wrote the test. If you don’t think the same, if you don’t have the same background and thought, you are condemned.
You stupid f*. You f*ing heretic.
My IQ is 250 and I say IQ is a bunch of bullshit. It’s institutionalized provinciality, plain and simple.
Just because I might know about certain Eurocentric history, values, and ideology doesn’t mean I am more INTELLIGENT than someone that has an equivalent of Afrocentric knowledge. Or even, let’s say, someone that instead has a particular understanding of baseball history, or of the development of eastern philosophies.
But apparently it means I AM more intelligent. I have a higher IQ after all. Why don’t I go find some people that think like me and we can all say we’re smarter than everyone else? Hey, let’s make others think they are inferior by publishing the results of our supposedly unbiased tests. Those stupid f*ers can carry our heavy stuff and do our work for us. After all, they’re stupider than we are. We deserve the good stuff in life, we few who know how to think correctly.
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On the topic of mass murder and other stuff -
Life, as most people understand it, must kill to survive. This is a basic principle of nature. Point to the wolf whose jaws are dripping with a rabbit’s blood (eek!). Poor bunny. But how many countless carrots and cabbages has the bunny ravaged? So maybe it is plants that are innocent. But look at any forest that’s been around for a while; why do trees grow taller than others? To rise above other trees to get the nutrients that tree needs. Even trees, even fungus, compete to stay alive.
When you eat a hamburger, you don’t personally go out and hit a cow with a maul, scattering bits of bone, blood, and brain, skin it and dispose of what you don’t like to eat, suspend it for a while so the blood drips out, carve chunks out of the corpse, then painstakingly remove the extra bits of flesh from bone, grind those bits up into a mash, fry that mash up, and pop the result on a bun with pickles. Oh no. You think you are civilized because you don’t have to deal with the whole mess. Because YOU get a hamburger wrapped in a nice bit of paper, with mayonnaise, ketchup, pickles, tomato, and lettuce, you are a civilized person that does not kill to get your food. The very thought of killing is abhorrent to you. You are anti-fur and anti-leather. You oppose clubbing baby seals. And yet . . . hamburgers taste good and are convenient, so you eat them. You ignore the blood on your hands!
So if you think about it, if individuals must kill, even indirectly to survive, what can be said of societies? What is it that a society must destroy to survive? And of course, the answer is individuality, even to the point of complete and utter destruction of particular individuals. If you don’t agree with me, then consider the law. Most of the law exists to restrict individual freedoms. Granted, such restrictions are to protect either other individuals or the society at large. But they DO restrict individual freedoms.
So here you are, the product of a particular Westernized society (even Eastern societies are Westernized), thinking you are not a bloody-handed barbarian because your hamburger comes wrapped in a nice bit of paper, and thinking you are civilized because you are TOLD you are civilized. You can ignore the bloody and nasty work that goes into making your hamburger, like you can conveniently ignore the lives that are destroyed and effectively enslaved by the society you live in, even if YOUR life is one of those lives, because it is all walled up nicely by laws and conventions and things like chewing with your mouth closed. Your individual freedoms are being restricted by the society you live in, and more and more of your freedoms, and more and more of the fruits of your labor are being stolen from you, and from the children you may have, even at this moment. But because the oppression is done by uniformed and polite policemen, by lawyers that profess to practice “law and justice”, by politicians that are supposedly doing something for your own good, because all the other cows in the slaughterhouse are walking meekly alongside you, because you don’t see the hammer descending upon you just yet, you meekly go along with it. Oh, you might catch a whiff of blood now and then, and you might roll your eyes and moo once in a while, but you keep going and moving forward, just like you’re supposed to, just like me and pretty much everyone else.
“Animal Farm” is a wonderful and instructional book. But imagine if it had been taken a step further, that pigs were slaughtered and sold for their meat, that there were a regime of pig enforcers, who in turn when getting old and useless were slaughtered for their meat, with only a few pigs escaping the butcher’s block - the few, the elite, the absolute pinnacle of the farmyard society. That is the natural order of things that societies currently devolve into; a natural order that can only be prevented by a regime that includes proper education (by which I do not refer to typical currently approved curriculum.) That is to say, proper education is not ENOUGH, but it is a START - but even that that START is nowhere near being put into action.
But at any rate, what does this have to do with Hitler? Or Stalin? Or whoever else? The fact is, well, let’s face it, death camps are a nasty piece of business. But so is the slaughterhouse that produces hamburgers. Certain leaders in world history decided to go with things that are currently thought of as unpalatable, like mass murder, or book burning, or what have you. Of those, some won, and some lost. Of those that won, they ended up in control of the police and the media, and the majority of the people were pointed away from the blood and the gore from the big slaughterhouses of the past, and away from the current slaughterhouses, and away from the construction sites for future slaughterhouses. The LOSERS, though, had their slaughterhouses flung open to the public, with guided tours “for instructional purposes” set up by the winners. Look at all the unsightly blood and gore! Look at what we have saved you from!
So you can point fingers at the German death camps and say “They killed Jews, how horrible!” Ignoring the fact that such camps were not simply for Jews, but for political dissidents and other discontents. Ignoring the fact that the German war effort required resources to keep running, that food sent to feed the populaces of growing prisoner camps would have been food taken from the mouths of loyal German citizens and soldiers. Ignoring, ignoring, ignoring, because you are TAUGHT to ignore, because the guided tour of the German slaughterhouse and the disgusted noises your tour guides and fellow tourists made during the tour make you think that THEIR solution was barbaric and unacceptable!
Ignoring other offenses committed by the Allies - American concentration camps, or Stalin’s purges, and so forth - what about the citizens of Hiroshima and Nagasaki? They were not EVEN outcasts. They were, by any definition, civilians. But it’s OK that they died, no, were murdered, because . . . they were ENEMY civilians. (Like the Germans perhaps saw the Jews). Destroying them helped prevent FRIENDLY SOLDIER DEATHS (like diverting resources from German concentration camps saved German soldiers). But but but. OUR slaughterhouses are examples of justice and mercy. It is THEIR slaughterhouses that are naughty!
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When it comes right down to it, let’s be clear. I don’t condone any sort of slaughterhouse. But I’m not going to point a paw at Hitler and say the final solution wasn’t “sane” according to some weird sensibility I have been propagandized into believing. It was wartime, and sacrifices were made. Distasteful and nasty sacrifices. Everyone’s paws were elbow-deep in blood, everyone was “insane”. Millions of people picked up guns and knives and proceeded to butcher millions of other people holding guns and knives, and almost none of the people holding guns or knives had been personally wronged by any of the other people holding guns or knives. How’s that for a brand of insanity? So a group of people were singled out? How can you point at that and call it insanity, any more than you can go down to the beach, pick out a particular wave, and scream at it?
Although . . . apparently that is EXACTLY what the hot young supermodels are doing these days. Ah, youth. (shakes furry head sadly)
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Take an average man from 1500, who speaks english, and put him up against a modern IQ test. He will more than likely perform MISERABLY.
Take an average man from TODAY, and put him up against a modern IQ test, and he will likely perform average.
Moral of the story? The Tests change and advance, as the technology of the society changes and advances.
Most 6 year old’s can operate a DVD player, but many 60 year olds can not. As society changes, so does what they learn, and what they have to know to survive. Therefore the scale can obviously be skewed one direction or another. If we’re talking about half a . per generation or less… come on.
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You would be speaking Japanese and I would be speaking German.
Yes the difference between book smart and common sence, super smart people who are idiots, and an average person whoi can solve problems that most others cant.
The real smart people lived 100 years ago……they had to do all the math by hand,they also knew how to write,and read, invent things we take for granted.
I remember party lines on our phones, depending on the ring determined if the call was to your house or some one who lived 3 miles away. Both parties had different #'s, and some times 3 places on a pary line. Some times you would pick it up and people would be talking. Can any one explain how that works, let alone design it.
Sorry for rambling -
Well said SA.
Or, ask any 18 yr old kid today, what the difference between a 33, 45, and 72 is.
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Take an average man from 1500, who speaks english, and put him up against a modern IQ test.� He will more than likely perform MISERABLY.
Take an average man from TODAY, and put him up against a modern IQ test, and he will likely perform average.
Moral of the story?� The Tests change and advance, as the technology of the society changes and advances.
Most 6 year old’s can operate a DVD player,� but many 60 year olds can not.� �As society changes, so does what they learn, and what they have to know to survive.� Therefore the scale can obviously be skewed one direction or another.� If we’re talking about half a . per generation or less…� come on.
Totally missed the point. Moral of that story? You figure it out. :wink:
Here’s another story for you.
Give a modern man the IQ test from 1500 AD and he will not only perform miserably. He will perform at such a crappy level, he will actually be considered a danger to himself and others.
Identify poisonous mushrooms? Know how to tan leather so it comes out well? How to properly operate a forge? Fail. Fail fail fail. Can’t make a barrel. Can’t make a cartwheel. Can’t make a gun that can shoot straight, or even hardly at all. Can’t even make a good bow and arrow, for christ’s sake. Completely and totally utterly useless!
So you are saying that as society progresses technologically, that people are inherently becoming more intelligent? The test “advances”? as people “advance”? Give me a break.
The only thing IQ tests measure is how good you are at taking the IQ test. It doesn’t measure intelligence or capacity for reasoning.
Let me give you an example.
Here’s a sequence of numbers.
2. 3. 6. 9. 11.
Get it? Repeat the series to yourself three times.
2. 3. 6. 9. 11.
Now I’m going to give you a series of numbers, and I want you to fill in the blanks.
2. 3. ___ ___ ___.
Now here’s what we’re going to do. You and me and a few other people answered correctly with “6 9 11”. But it seems that a lot of other people don’t understand the natural order of things. A whole lot of those sad morons think for some weird reason that things like “4 5 6” or “5 7 11” or whatever are the right answer. I mean, okay, obviously, they don’t know how to think correctly. I’m not trying to insult them, that’s just how it is. And some of them look funny. Most of them have darker skin, and talk kind of funny, probably because they’re stupid so they don’t understand how to talk properly. It certainly doesn’t sound like English. It maybe sounds like what my cousin’s baby says when it’s had too much to eat.
The funny thing is that some of those poor stupid morons actually seem to think . . . now try not to laugh . . . that they are on the same level as you and me. I can’t tell for sure because I can’t understand what they are trying to say - or rather, I should say they are so poor at making themselves understood. It certainly couldn’t be that I myself would have any problem understanding anything that any REASONABLE person would say!
Since we are good people, you and me, that is, we’re going to be nice and teach those sad pitiful morons the proper order of things. Since we have written the test, it is obviously impartial - and after all, anyone that doesn’t share our opinions is obviously just not worth considering. I mean, I don’t ask my dog’s opinion on how to properly prepare foie gras. Why would I ask something that’s really just a step up from a monkey its opinion, let alone even start to consider the flibbertigibbet that it spouts? It’s laughable, really!
So since we HAVE taken the trouble to administer an IMPARTIAL test of INTELLIGENCE, I think it’s only fair and PROPER, really, that those subhuman morons should understand their place. They should understand that they are not as smart as us, they are not as deserving as us, and as a matter of fact, they are barely fit to carry our luggage and serve us drinks with little umbrellas in them or even to serve as our sex slaves. They should be pathetically grateful and happy for the privilege of serving us; our allowing them to be near us may allow them, in time, to perhaps become a little bit more like us. In fact, it actually disgusts me that we even had to create an impartial intelligence test to demonstrate to everyone what ANYONE whose opinion is worth considering would already know. But we try to be humane to those monkey-like creatures. After all, WE are COMPASSIONATE AND UNDERSTANDING.
This wonderful IQ test has managed to finally sort out - on an IMPARTIAL AND PURELY MERIT-BASED SYSTEM, mind you, the PROPER ORDER OF SOCIETY. And maybe those poor things that look a bit like us but CLEARLY do not have as developed thought capacities as you and me will in time come to understand and accept their rightful place. It might be sad and distasteful, and we might need a few shock prods and manacles to keep them in line at first, but in the end, those darkies and jews and chinks and spics and wops will surely learn to mind and love their Massa.
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Honestly, the provinciality behind so many supposed “sciences” and “impartial observers” astounds me. There were times when it was just accepted that homosexuality was a mental disease, that the black man was inherently inferior to the white man, that the sun went around the earth, that tomatoes were poison that would turn your blood into acid, that lobotomies were a humane form of treatment, that wrong-thinking women only needed a sufficient number of slaps to bring them out of their hysteria, and so on and so forth. And then people look around and say “Look at how far we have come, WE must SURELY be correct!” and then they turn around and do things just as bad, if not worse!
Tell me when in the last two thousand years, that mankind has inherently acquired the ability to eliminate all mistakes! It has not happened! No, each generation thinks IT has reached the culmination and apex of SCIENCE. Astronomy’s apogee with the Pythagorean System! Psychiatry’s apogee with lobotomies! Physical sciences proving black people have smaller monkey-like brains! At each step, everyone thinks they have finally reached the high point of understanding, and subsequent generations always seem to prove them wrong!
So what are the stupidities of this generation? I’d guess in a hundred years, people will count IQ tests among them.