A new G40 online TripleA tournament is getting setup.
S03 Gamerman01 (allies +12) v JWW
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Per - AA (Cau)
Ukr - 2 AA (EPl) 6 INF (Cau)
EPl - INF (BSt)
Cau - 2 ARM (EPl)
Rus - ARM (BSt) FTR (Eve)
Nov - 2 INF (Rus)Place INF, 2 ART, ARM (Cau)
Place 3 INF (Rus)
Collect 40, 40 on hand -
Yes, we have witnessed an amazing thing.
2 infantry + 1 tank vs. 1 infantry
A .724% chance the 1 infantry wins
5 infantry vs. 1 infantry
A .37% chance the infantry wins
A .84% chance the infantry takes out 4 or 5 attacking infantryPut those together, and the chance that your 1 infantry does that much damage is .724% X .84% = .00006216 probability.
1 chance in 16,443. That’s rare.(I recognize that the rest of my round I only took 1 hit and tanks were exposed in Eve, so losing 4 infantry and a tank in the round is actually not too bad…… for once (for the Russians) :-))
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J8 purchase cv, dd, trn, fgt & 12 inf spend 75 (save 0)
combat
#1 sbr CAU v bmb (ind)
#2 HAW (2inf) v inf, art(wak) BB, & 2 fgt (z52)
#3 ala (mt) v inf (jpn) cwol
#4 sud (inf) v 2 inf (sum) trn z38>34 & 5 fgt (2z15,1-34 & 2-38)
#5 eaf (mt) v inf (ind) v trn z34>35>34 cwol
#6 per (3inf, art) v 2inf (sum) bb (z38) 3inf, arm (ind) fgt (z34)
#7 chi (mt) v inf (nin) cwoldice….
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#1 CAU sbr damageRolling 1:
(6)
#2 HAW attackRolls: 1@4 2@3 2@2; Total Hits: 31@4: (2)2@3: (3, 6)2@2: (1, 4)v 2infRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 22@2: (2, 2) -
cau damaged by 6
haw cleared not taken
#4 sud attackRolls: 5@3 2@1; Total Hits: 25@3: (3, 5, 6, 4, 3)2@1: (2, 2)v infRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)
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sud cwol
#6 per attack
R aa fireRolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)if aa misses the fgt attacksRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (5)& BBRolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (3)w/arm & 5infRolls: 5@1 1@3; Total Hits: 15@1: (1, 4, 5, 5, 2)1@3: (5)vs 3inf, artRolls: 4@2; Total Hits: 24@2: (2, 4, 2, 4)
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2nd wave attackRolls: 2@3 3@1; Total Hits: 12@3: (1, 5)3@1: (5, 2, 5)v inf, artRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 6)
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3rd wave attackRolls: 2@3 2@1; Total Hits: 02@3: (5, 4)2@1: (2, 4)v artRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
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4th wave attackRolls: 2@3 1@1; Total Hits: 12@3: (3, 6)1@1: (5)v artRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
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what’s the odds of that 7 hits for 11 @ 2.
per twlo 5 inf
ncm:
sud 2 fgt >z15
sud 3 fgt & per fgt > z34
z38 fleet > z34
z34 trn > z38
haw 2 fgt > z53
hup 2 inf > sik
sui inf > nin
yun 3inf, arm > sik
man inf, art > bry
z62 trn > z63
jpn 2 inf > far
z62 dd > z64
z52 ca > z64
z62 2 fgt > z38
fic 2 arm > indplacement cv & dd z38, 2 inf sum, 3inf ind, 2 inf fic, trn& fgt z62, 5inf JPN
J collects 69
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3.86%
Yay - some evening out!
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You need to land the bomber that is in Cau. I won’t allow it to continuously bomb Stalingrad until J9 to do the maximum 8 damage…. :-)
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You also moved 2 subs and destroyer from 51 to 53
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UK move will actually be unaffected by the bomber placement, I think….
Probably need to be buying AA anyway.UK8 with 31, buy 5 INF, 2 ARM, AA
Combat moves -
Sud - INF, FTR (Egy) 2 FTR (Z27)
Chi - FTR (Cau) BMB (Egy)
NWE - INF, ART (GBr) offload from 5
NWE - 2 FTR (Z5)
TrJ - INF (Egy)NWERolls: 2@2 2@3; Total Hits: 42@2: (2, 1)2@3: (1, 3)Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 4)
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SudRolls: 1@1 3@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (2)3@3: (3, 5, 4)Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)
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Sud2Rolls: 3@3; Total Hits: 13@3: (6, 3, 5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
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ChiRolls: 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@3: (1)1@4: (2)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
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Well the dice make me look foolish again. All I can do is play the numbers
It’s OK, I can afford itEgy - FTR (Sud)
Alg - FTR (Sud) FTR (Cau)
Rus - BMB (Chi)
Bel - 2 INF (BSt) 7 INF, ART (EPl) ARM (Ura)
Kar - 3 INF, 3 ARM (GBr)
Z17 - TP, CV (Z27)
Z5 - 2 FTR (NWE)
Rho - ART (SAf)
Lib - AA (Egy)Collect 28, 28 on hand
Don’t even talk to me about defensive 2’s. Pretty sure you’ve been hitting around 50% so far. Now I’m curious and will go check. Nor about SBR. You note that I’ve had success with SBR, and then prompty reel off a 6 on Caucasus. :lol: Always helps to complain, I always say.
Oh, and don’t forget that Rome wasn’t built in a day.
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Don’t even talk to me about defensive 2’s. Pretty sure you’ve been hitting around 50% so far. Now I’m curious and will go check.
OK, the numbers are in. You’re not hitting 50%, it just feels like it. That’s why I like to check the numbers - to reconcile facts with feelings. In the charts below, the results are the number of hits suffered by each power. So, for example, in the first 4 rounds Russia faced a 29.6% hit rate from all Axis defending 2’s.
Rounds 1-4 totals (facing defensive 2’s only):
G 2/18 11.1%
R 8/27 29.6%
J 6/22 27.3%
UK 5/9 55.6%
I 2/4 50%
US 3/8 37.5%Axis 10/44 22.7% (Yeah, that was noticeable)
Allies 16/44 36.4% (a little worse than average over 4 rounds)Round 5-7 1/2 totals
G 8/22 36.4% (Can’t get lucky forever)
R 18/53 34.0%
J 9/21 42.9% (Ouch)
UK 7/19 36.8%
I 1/8 12.5%
US 1/2 50%Axis 18/51 35.3%
Allies 26/74 35.1%Game totals
Axis 28/95 29.5%
Allies 42/118 35.6%Yep, you’ve been lucky so far. But not lucky enough. :-)