Scenario:
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Hawaii under US control:
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US sub named “SS Botany Bay” in its sea zone, 3 planes able to scramble.
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Japan sends 6 planes, 1 Destroyer, 4 transports one is named “Kobayashi Maru” to assault the see zone, then capture the island with land units. They depart Japan at 11:35 pm heading east for 3 hours at six knots before heading South for 9 hours with an average speed of 9 knots.
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The US scrambles 3 planes nicknamed “Birds of Prey”, hoping the sub will hit, and that the Japs will score 3 or less hits.
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The US sub hits, and by the rules must hit a naval vessel: the Jap DD.
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Japan clears the US air units in the first combat round but the US sub survives.
Assumptions/Questions:
We now have a naval battle going to round 2? (since the sea zone was a battle, the sub is not ignored I believe)
We had an escorted transport fleet, so a sub should not be able to prevent the amphibious assault, but it did not, the US planes instead force a naval battle and the surviving sub creates a no-win scenario for the Japanese. All be it, a 1 in 6 chance for this Kobayashi Maru. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kobayashi_Maru
Given: In round two, the planes cannot hit the sub because they lack a friendly DD.
Assumption: If the transports fail to retreat, then the US sub rolls a combat die and may pick off the transports over successive rounds, right?
Analysis/Conclusion:
If the above assumptions are correct. You can scramble enough air (up to 3) as soak offs, hoping the sub hits during the fight to arrest the amphibious assault because the sub became part of a naval battle as a result of a defensive scramble and can no longer be ignored, nor is it under the escorted amphibious restriction from Alpha2 because it is part of an unfinished naval battle. Although the odds are stacked against this outcome from occurring, it is what Captain Kirk would do: “Turn death into a fighting chance to live.”
Is this conclusion accurate?
In a battle with more than 1 surviving sub, it would be possible for extra sub hits to score hits on the transports if it went more rounds (i.e. the scramble planes do not die on round 1), right?
Sorry, I added the Star Trek theme to liven up this logic puzzle and the math problem train leaves station theme for past my bed time humor.
If this tactic proves sound, I aim to employ a similar tactic in a sz 109: Turn 1 stack 5 German subs and noncombat the BB and CA from 113 there to defend against the sz 106 dd and UK air attack on round 1, using the BB a_nd maybe_ a CA as a stand in for my “birds of prey” or soak offs giving the 5 subs a good chance(better than above scenario) to clear the DD and likely CA and thus convoy UK for 8 IPCs in conjunction with a Russia first approach with a 3 transport, 1 DD build T1 to keep UK honest. Now, how to clear sz 110 and 112 with only 11 air units using a few to protect the subs that seize sz109 and thus removing some UK scramblers. This could alternatively permit the use of 1 German sub(plus a surface ship)to defend Denmark from the sz 109 transport in a different scenario.