I’ve been looking at the 1941 setup and have been trying to figure if the Allies could still win the game if Russia falls but the Allies take Japan. I came up with the idea of Russia purposely sacrificing itself (temporarily) so that Japan definitely falls and is kicked out of Asia fairly quickly.
I think it should go without saying that if all three of the Allies as well as the Chinese units are focusing on Japan, then Japan can be pushed off the mainland as well as have its entire fleet destroyed.
I have not worked out all the details yet; in fact, I’m sure there are various ways it could be done, but here is one way it could be done:
Russia builds 6 tanks on R1 but then on R2 sends them all East, either through Russia or China. Japan can put enough units on the mainland to hold off both the Russian and Chinese units but the UK will build an IC either in India or Australia (or maybe even East Indies if the Japanese fleet isn’t positioned close to it after J1) and the USA builds nothing but fleet on turn 1 (probably two carriers and a cruiser and then land all four fighters on the carriers).
With this combined pressure, Japan can’t handle all the threats and will soon be reduced to nothing but Japan and 8 IPCs. And no, Italy can’t take Africa in this situation, because UK could also build an IC in South Africa and crank out tanks while using their air force from the UK as support.
Now, assuming that Germany built nothing but tanks on turn 1 and then nothing but bombers once they realized what was going on, I think Russia will fall on turn 4. But by then it’s too late: Japan is kicked completely off the mainland on turn 5 and their navy completely destroyed either on turn 4 or 5 (USA and UK build more fleet and then nothing but bombers on the turn before they plan to attack the Japanese fleet).
If Germany has lost Morocco, then they are at around 65 economy (with NO’s), Italy at 9 and Japan at 8 while the USA and UK are getting well over 100 plus 4 Chinese infantry per turn. With only 8 economy, Japan will quickly fall, adding even more income to either the UK or USA player. Sure, Germany can build a huge navy the turn after Russia falls but the UK player can plan for this and build some naval units instead of nothing but bombers the turn that Russia does fall.
Now yes, Germany might build a ton of tanks and sweep across Asia, but the Allies can limit those tanks to one movement per turn, so it’s going to take awhile. In fact, Russia could even vacate all of his units from Russia the turn before it falls and slowly move East with them, leaving behind one infantry each turn. While Germany is taking out Asia, the Allies actually take out Japan and build up enough bombers to keep Italy at 0 IPCs every turn. They also build up enough fleet around UK to prevent Germany from ever taking it.
At this point, the Allies will still have a slight lead in economy due to most of the UK and USA NOs being met, plus they should have a large transport system set up at this point to where Germany can not protect both the Far East as well as Europe. There are simply too many territories those transports can go to and once the Allies secure a foothold in Asia and/or Europe, it is downhill for Germany and only a matter of time before the Allies retake Russia.
It should be obvious that if Germany does not build mostly tanks on turn 1, then Russia will be able to survive even longer, making the retaking of Russia even quicker by probably saving the Far East from ever falling to the Germans. If NOs are not being used, then it’s hard to say which side is hurt more but I would lean towards the Axis since less economy those crucial first couple of turns means that Russia might be able to hold on until turn 5.
Of course, the above is just one way it could play out. Once Japan realizes what is happening, they may start building nothing but 8 infantry each turn, causing it take longer to take out Japan. But then the Allies could simply respond by build less attack fleet and more transports. Both the UK and USA go after Japan, so they can always adjust their purchases.
In my opinion, about the only way Germany might have a chance is if they get heavy bombers early on and start bombing the UK while building fleet. But then that means less German tanks in the Far East once Russia falls and the USA can build more fleet to protect UK and UK still has over 35 IPCs to spend even after they repair the damage.
Obviously, there are plenty of ways to modify/tweak the above and I welcome any input and criticisms that you might have.