Although this strategy is interesting and obviously game changing if successful, there are so many things that can go wrong with it as I discovered just the other night. I used this strategy in a game against two other decent, but not superhuman players, and it was thwarted.
For one, as soon as you buy three transports in the Baltic, the Allies instantly realize and understand the German player has now committed to an amphibious operation against the Western powers somewhere. The Allies’ first assumption is that you are going after Britain, as America still appears too far away. If you spook the British enough, they will attack with their air force which, depending on how the dice rolls go, will hurt your assault on America a little or a lot but, either way, your invasion force will be reduced. If they keep their air force and buy defensive land forces or naval forces, when you move your fleet to SZ 7 in RD 2, it is wide open for assault by all British naval and air forces and in the case of my game, a follow up attack by American naval and air power which by this time is positioned in UK or Algeria or both.
This problem can be solved a couple of ways I suppose. The first, moving the Med BB along with the transport (which is part of the overall strategy) to link up with your fleet in SZ 7 increases your odds of success. However, if your dice rolls go bad and you aren’t able to destroy an Allied navy position outside of Algeria that fleet is blocked and you are beat. A more logical conclusion, which was not written in the original strategy, is to forego the 2 inf and 2 arm purchase Rd 1 in favor of a carrier. That way, in the best of cases, you have 5 trns, 2 subs, 1 BB, 1 AC, and 2 ftrs positioned in SZ 7 and the chances that the Allies will attack you continue to go down.
There is, of course, the constant possibility the Allies will, by pure chance or plan, block your assault by placing naval units in both SZ 8 and SZ 12 which is not entirely insane. As someone else said, this strategy is one you only use once and only if you’re willing to get gray hair by constantly praying the Allies won’t attack you or place ships in places that are bad for you. If the strategy fails, the game is basically over because it will take Germany so long to bounce back against the Russians.