First off… if UK goes after Africa early, their fleet is wiped out early. If they go late, Germany already OWNS Africa, and UK has to take it back. Remember, you did not counter Egypt UK1 in order to boost your fleet in the Indian Ocean, so Germany get +2 for Egypt in G1, then +7 or +8 in G2 for FEA, FWA, BC, IEA, T-J, and possibly Rhodeisa. that is also MINUS 7 or 8 for UK. G3 they finish you off with UOSA, and Persia, for +10 or 11 as Germany, and the same negative for UK.
Now, you are stacking your fleet someplace “safe” on UK1. And you did not kill the Kwang TRN as a result. India falls on J1. So on UK2, UK is now down 10-11. On UK3 they are down 13-14. That is an income of only 16 as UK.
And if Japan decides to “go after” that UK fleet, they are going to bring TRNs along for the ride. And with just 1 TRN surviving, Australia and New Zealand are very likely targes of early attack (instead of late attack), lose 3 more as UK.
And while doing all of that, I can STILL build enough of a fleet to defend against the US in my home waters, and then I can send surviving forces from near Australia, plus my new naval units near Japan, plus land based AF (at least a BOM) against the US fleet that may finally be moving my way around turn 3-4.
Remember Jen, YOUR strat is to have the US go whole hog into the Pacific, so there are no US forces for Africa. There are no US TRNs or DSTs to reinforce the UK fleet agianst the Kreigsmarine and Luftwaffe. UK faces 1 BB, 3 SUB, 1 DST, 1 AC, 2 TRN, 5-6 FIGs and a BOM with their fleet of 2 BB, 2 TRN, 1 DST which are split up in 4 different SZ’s to start, and 1 BB, 1 DST are on the bottom on UK1. Go ahead… defend London AND counter-attack Africa with that force looming. As Germany, I would be having an orgasm over those odds.