But anyways if those numbers are correct than this G1 was worse than I thought. If this game is balanced right now then the odds on Moscow should be below 50%, but I don’t feel that way. I think it will be slightly above just by looking at the TUV difference after G1 (which is my method of guessing the final odds on Moscow).
Cyph3r (Axis) vs. bolasgod (Allies +18) - G40 BM3 (Game 2)
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TripleA Turn Summary: UK_Pacific round 6
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4.0
Game History
Round: 6 Purchase Units - Americans Americans buy 2 artilleries, 2 destroyers, 1 factory_minor, 1 fighter, 1 harbour, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Americans 1 tactical_bomber moved from Korea to Manchuria 1 fighter moved from 19 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 19 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 19 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 19 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 19 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 19 Sea Zone to 21 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from Korea to Manchuria 1 bomber moved from Korea to Manchuria Combat - Americans Battle in Manchuria Americans attack with 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber Japanese defend with 1 armour Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in Manchuria, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.83 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 armour in Manchuria, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.50 expected hits 1 armour owned by the Japanese and 1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in Manchuria Americans win with 1 bomber and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is -4 Casualties for Americans: 1 fighter Casualties for Japanese: 1 armour Battle in 20 Sea Zone Americans attack with 2 fighters and 1 submarine Japanese defend with 1 destroyer Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 20 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 20 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 submarine owned by the Americans and 1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 20 Sea Zone Americans win with 2 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 2 Casualties for Americans: 1 submarine Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer Battle in 21 Sea Zone Americans attack with 2 fighters and 1 submarine Japanese defend with 1 destroyer Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 21 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 21 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 21 Sea Zone Americans win with 2 fighters and 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8 Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer Non Combat Move - Americans 2 fighters moved from 21 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from 20 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 1 battleship, 2 carriers, 2 cruisers, 2 destroyers, 1 submarine and 1 transport moved from 19 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 2 carriers, 3 fighters, 1 mech_infantry, 1 submarine and 1 transport moved from 7 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 1 mech_infantry moved from 6 Sea Zone to Korea 1 tactical_bomber moved from Manchuria to 6 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from Manchuria to Korea 1 marine moved from Western United States to 10 Sea Zone 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 fighter, 1 marine and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 10 Sea Zone to 15 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 6 Sea Zone to Korea 1 fighter moved from 6 Sea Zone to Korea 1 fighter moved from Western United States to 6 Sea Zone 1 tactical_bomber moved from Western United States to 6 Sea Zone 2 carriers and 3 transports moved from 8 Sea Zone to 10 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Central United States to Western United States Place Units - Americans 1 factory_minor and 1 harbour placed in Korea 2 artilleries, 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber placed in Western United States 2 destroyers placed in 10 Sea Zone Turn Complete - Americans Americans collect 53 PUs; end with 53 PUs Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 63 PUs Objective Americans 8 Pacific Airfields: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 68 PUs Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 73 PUs Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 78 PUs Purchase Units - Chinese Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed Chinese buy 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; Combat Move - Chinese Trigger Chinese Guerilla Sikang: Chinese has 1 infantry placed in Sikang Combat - Chinese Chinese creates battle in territory Sikang Non Combat Move - Chinese Place Units - Chinese 1 infantry placed in Yunnan Turn Complete - Chinese Chinese collect 2 PUs; end with 4 PUs Purchase Units - British British buy 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 5 PUs; Purchase Units - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific buy 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - British 1 mech_infantry moved from Burma to Kwangsi Chinese take Kwangsi from Japanese 1 artillery moved from Yunnan to Szechwan 1 armour moved from Shan State to Hunan 1 mech_infantry moved from Burma to Hunan 1 artillery moved from Yunnan to Kweichow 1 mech_infantry moved from Kazakhstan to Szechwan 1 armour moved from Kazakhstan to Szechwan 1 armour moved from Burma to Kweichow 1 infantry moved from Shan State to Siam UK_Pacific take Siam from Japanese 1 fighter moved from India to Szechwan 1 fighter moved from India to Hunan 1 fighter moved from India to Kweichow 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Szechwan 1 fighter moved from India to 41 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from India to 36 Sea Zone Combat - British Battle in 41 Sea Zone British attack with 1 fighter Japanese defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 41 Sea Zone British win with 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport Battle in 36 Sea Zone British attack with 1 bomber Japanese defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 36 Sea Zone British win with 1 bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport Battle in Kweichow British attack with 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 fighter Japanese defend with 1 mech_infantry British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 fighter in Kweichow, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Kweichow, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 mech_infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Kweichow British win, taking Kweichow from Japanese with 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4 Casualties for Japanese: 1 mech_infantry Battle in Hunan British attack with 1 armour, 1 fighter and 1 mech_infantry Japanese defend with 1 mech_infantry British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 fighter and 1 mech_infantry in Hunan, round 2 : 0/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Hunan, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 mech_infantry owned by the British lost in Hunan British roll dice for 1 armour and 1 fighter in Hunan, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 1.00 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Hunan, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 mech_infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Hunan British win, taking Hunan from Japanese with 1 armour and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for British: 1 mech_infantry Casualties for Japanese: 1 mech_infantry Battle in Szechwan British attack with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Japanese defend with 1 infantry British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Szechwan, round 2 : 1/5 hits, 2.33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Szechwan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Szechwan British win, taking Szechwan from Japanese with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - British 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Szechwan to Yunnan 1 fighter moved from Kweichow to Yunnan 1 fighter moved from Hunan to Yunnan 2 aaGuns, 3 artilleries and 7 infantry moved from Burma to Yunnan 1 artillery moved from Malaya to Shan State 2 mech_infantrys moved from India to Yunnan 1 armour moved from India to Yunnan 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from India to Burma 3 armour moved from West India to Burma 2 infantry moved from West India to India 2 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Persia to Kazakhstan 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Persia to West India 1 armour moved from Iraq to Egypt 1 fighter moved from French West Africa to 109 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 110 Sea Zone to 109 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to 109 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from French West Africa to Egypt 1 armour moved from Belgian Congo to Egypt 1 fighter moved from Union of South Africa to Egypt 1 battleship, 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer moved from 39 Sea Zone to 37 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 41 Sea Zone to Yunnan 1 bomber moved from 36 Sea Zone to Yunnan Place Units - British 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 1 transport placed in 109 Sea Zone Turn Complete - British British collect 33 PUs; end with 38 PUs Trigger British 3 No Enemy Submarines: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 41 PUs Place Units - UK_Pacific 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry placed in India Turn Complete - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific collect 11 PUs; end with 12 PUs Trigger UK Pacific 4 No Enemy Submarines: UK_Pacific met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 15 PUs Some Units in India change ownership: 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry
Combat Hit Differential Summary :
Americans regular : 1.50 Japanese regular : 0.50 British regular : -1.83
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TripleA Turn Summary: Italians round 6
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4.0
Game History
Round: 6 Purchase Units - Italians Italians buy 2 artilleries, 5 infantry and 1 marine; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Italians 2 armour, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Rostov 1 bomber moved from Greece to Rostov 1 artillery moved from Crete to 99 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 2 transports moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone 1 artillery moved from Northern Italy to 97 Sea Zone 2 artilleries, 2 infantry and 2 transports moved from 97 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone Combat - Italians Battle in Rostov Italians attack with 2 armour, 1 bomber, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys Russians defend with 2 infantry Italians roll dice for 2 armour, 1 bomber, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys in Rostov, round 2 : 1/8 hits, 2.50 expected hits Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Rostov Italians roll dice for 2 armour, 1 bomber, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys in Rostov, round 3 : 5/8 hits, 2.50 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Rostov, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Rostov Italians win, taking Rostov from Russians with 2 armour, 1 bomber, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry Non Combat Move - Italians Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode 2 aaGuns and 2 infantry moved from Yugoslavia to Romania 2 infantry moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine 1 armour and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Northern Italy to Romania 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from 96 Sea Zone to Tobruk 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters moved from 99 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 marine moved from Northern Italy to 97 Sea Zone 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters and 1 marine moved from 97 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 marine moved from 96 Sea Zone to Tobruk 1 bomber moved from Rostov to Greece Place Units - Italians Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by Italians from Tobruk: 1 artillery EDIT: Adding units owned by Italians to Northern Italy: 1 artillery EDIT: Removing units owned by Italians from Cyprus: 1 armour EDIT: Adding units owned by Italians to Tobruk: 1 armour EDIT: Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode 1 infantry placed in Ukraine 2 infantry placed in Southern Italy 2 artilleries, 2 infantry and 1 marine placed in Northern Italy Italians undo move 2. 2 infantry placed in Northern Italy Turn Complete - Italians Italians collect 17 PUs; end with 17 PUs Objective Italians 1 Control The Mediterranean: Italians met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 22 PUs Objective Italians 5 Control Convoy Lanes: Italians met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 25 PUs Objective Italians 2 Roman Empire: Italians met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 30 PUs
Combat Hit Differential Summary :
Italians regular : 1.00 Russians regular : -1.00