L22 Pejon_88 (X) vs. Gamerman01 (A+15), BM4, game #2

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 You were super lucky! Going with CR and DD against one DD in that crucial battle :O

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 What does that mean? :D

[gamerman01]

I meant don’t expect the post right away because I’m eating lunch. Should be able to pick up my car from getting repairs soon, too. I couldn’t spare a 3rd unit for 96. It is definitely crucial, plus I have a blocker now. Huge break.

93% to win, 4% transport survives. You have to take chances against a strong opponent or you will lose for sure.

[gamerman01]

I think I wanted the destroyer or cruiser in 95 to hit me so I could go carrier to 92, but who knows, maybe you attack and I get lucky

The just called, time to go get my car, will be a little while til I can finish - the noncoms are tough too

[gamerman01]

It’s awesome to have 2 subs and no Italian destroyers, though… Smart no scramble I think

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 I think so because you would’ve just picked off my figs and still have navy left etc.

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 Yes, the odds were on your side, but I was pretty much one die from a total different scenario there. Percentages are not always something to rely on :)

[gamerman01]

Absolutely. In our situation that transport is really huge

[gamerman01]

Like 1 move from being done, but I gotta go

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 No worries.

[gamerman01]

UK1.tsvg

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 Wow there were many options that turn, decided on a more conservative approach. Everyone was on minus Combat Hit Differentials, which turned out to be in my favor due to the number of dice rolled.

Round: 1

    Purchase Units - Italians
        Italians buy 1 destroyer; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 

    Politics - Italians
        Italians takes Political Action: Political Action Italians To War With Chinese
            Italians succeeds on action: Political Action Italians To War With Chinese: Changing Relationship for Italians and Chinese from Neutrality to War

    Combat Move - Italians
        1 armour and 2 infantry moved from Albania to Greece
        1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Northern Italy to Southern France
        2 infantry moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from 97 Sea Zone to Greece
        2 fighters moved from Southern Italy to Greece
        1 bomber moved from Northern Italy to 105 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Italian Somaliland to Kenya
              Italians take Kenya from British
        1 infantry moved from Ethiopia to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
              Italians take Anglo Egyptian Sudan from British
        1 infantry moved from Tobruk to Alexandria
              Italians take Alexandria from British

    Combat - Italians
        Battle in 105 Sea Zone
            Italians attack with 1 bomber
            British defend with 1 transport
                1 transport owned by the British lost in 105 Sea Zone
            Italians win with 1 bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
            Casualties for British: 1 transport
        Battle in Greece
            Italians attack with 1 armour, 2 fighters and 4 infantry
            Neutral_Allies defend with 4 infantry
                Italians roll dice for 1 battleship and 1 cruiser in Greece, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 1,17 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 fighters and 4 infantry in Greece, round 2 : 1/7 hits, 2,17 expected hits
                Neutral_Allies roll dice for 4 infantry in Greece, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 1,33 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Neutral_Allies lost in Greece
                Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 fighters and 4 infantry in Greece, round 3 : 1/7 hits, 2,17 expected hits
                Neutral_Allies roll dice for 2 infantry in Greece, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Neutral_Allies and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Greece
                Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 fighters and 3 infantry in Greece, round 4 : 2/6 hits, 2,00 expected hits
                Neutral_Allies roll dice for 1 infantry in Greece, round 4 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Neutral_Allies lost in Greece
            Italians win, taking Greece from Neutral_Allies with 1 armour, 2 fighters and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 9
            Casualties for Neutral_Allies: 4 infantry
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Southern France
            Italians attack with 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry
            British defend with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry; French defend with 1 artillery, 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 1 infantry
                Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry in Southern France, round 2 : 1/5 hits, 1,83 expected hits
                French roll dice for 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Southern France, round 2 : 0/3 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                1 aaGun owned by the British lost in Southern France
                Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry in Southern France, round 3 : 2/5 hits, 1,83 expected hits
                French roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Southern France, round 3 : 1/3 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the French, 1 infantry owned by the British and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Southern France
                Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 1 infantry in Southern France, round 4 : 1/4 hits, 1,50 expected hits
                French roll dice for 1 artillery in Southern France, round 4 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 artillery owned by the French lost in Southern France
            Italians win, taking Southern France from French with 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 12
            Casualties for British: 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for French: 1 artillery and 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Italians
        Trigger Italy Occupies Southern France: Setting switch to false for conditionAttachment_French_Territory_May_Turn_Vichy_Switch attached to French
        1 aaGun moved from Northern Italy to Southern France
        1 armour, 1 artillery, 2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Tobruk to Alexandria
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Libya to Tobruk
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Ethiopia to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
        2 fighters moved from Greece to Southern Italy
        1 bomber moved from 105 Sea Zone to Western Germany
        1 aaGun moved from Northern Italy to Yugoslavia

    Place Units - Italians
        1 destroyer placed in 97 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - Italians
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 3
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 93 Sea Zone. Rolls: 5,6,2,6,2,6
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 72 Sea Zone. Rolls: 6
        Italians collect 14 PUs (3 lost to blockades); end with 16 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

French regular : -1,33
Italians regular : -3,67
Neutral_Allies regular : -1,33

I1.tsvg

[gamerman01]

Yes, I wanted you to have many options… let’s see what you did…

[gamerman01]

I almost forgot all about Vichy which would have been really bad

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 You mean it would’ve left your UK ships much more exposed?

[gamerman01]

That AND 2 aircraft from 95 had to land on French soil and would be lost without a fight! ALSO, could not take Holland preventing German options for planes :)
Burned 2 transports as you know, but thought it would hamper a little bit to have extra infantry and AA in there to deal with.

[gamerman01]

OK, they could have landed on Malta, but if I didn’t see Vichy I probably would have landed Algeria and lost them. This is where not playing much lately can burn me

[gamerman01]

F1.tsvg

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01 Haha all fair points!

[Pejon_88]

@gamerman01

4 hits in SZ93. Casualties?

G2 combat.tsvg