I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again.
Attacking SZ 59 is the same as pissing in the wind. Sure, you’ll kill a lowly transport who never did anything to England and couldn’t do a dang thing to England if it’s bloody life depended on it! Now, if you are putting an IC in India, sure, kill the tranny so she can’t bring forces to knock over your little mini-capitol on round 1. But you better darn well be sure you are backing that maneuver with Russian and American forces (and US ICs in China and Sinkiang!) so you can keep Japan off the mainland forever!
Now, more realistically, if you bring those forces home, you have a full fleet and can spend your “extra” money on additional air power. Air power that’s going to give the Axis headaches when trying to over throw Moscow/Stalingrad. Air power that can hopefully buy you time to reclaim Africa and build up land forces in Moscow.
Anyway, to the SZ 5 question, why are so many people amazed when they lose 2 or 3 air craft to the Sub, Sub, Trn, Des defenders?
3+3+4 = 10, 1 2/3rds hits in Round 1
1+3 = 4 2/3rds hits in Round 1.
Odds of Round 1:
2 Submarines Sunk
1 Fighter Destroyed
3+4 = 7, 1 1/6ths hits in Round 1
1+3 = 4 2/3rds hits in Round 1.
Odds of Round 2:
1 Transport sunk
1 Fighter destroyed
4 Attack
vs
3 Defense
Odds of Round 3
1 Destroyer Sunk
1 Bomber destroyed.
Result: No British Air Force, no Northern German Fleet.
Here’s what Frood says:
Attacker Survives: 30%
Defender Survives: 20%
(And, for the record if you do it round by round, frood gives the same casualties I just listed by doing Low Luck and some conservative rounding for the defender, liberal rounding for the attacker.)
Switch’s result being a really absurd result for the battle, but not completely impossible. (as Germany I’d kiss you if I had that result. I’d SOO be sailing out past Denmark after that!)