VF (Germany) vs. Ragnell (Allies) | Original Europe with Balance 2.0, Game 11

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 3

TripleA Turn Summary for game: Europe Improved

Game History

Round: 3

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 9 armour; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        1 destroyer moved from British Convoy 2 Sea Zone to U.S. Convoy 1 Sea Zone
              Germans take U.S. Convoy 1 Sea Zone from Americans
        2 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from Hungary to East Poland
        2 infantry moved from Poland to Baltic States
        9 armour, 2 artilleries and 21 infantry moved from Poland to East Poland
        1 infantry moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine S.S.R.
        2 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from Bessarabia to East Poland
        1 bomber moved from Finland to Ukraine S.S.R.
        1 fighter moved from Germany to Baltic States
        2 fighters moved from Finland to Baltic States
        2 fighters moved from Poland to Ukraine S.S.R.
        1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Tunisia to Libya

    Combat - Germans
        Battle in East Poland
            Germans attack with 9 armour, 6 artilleries and 28 infantry
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 9 armour, 6 artilleries and 28 infantry in East Poland, round 2 : 10/43 hits, 12,17 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in East Poland, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in East Poland
                2 infantry owned by the Russians lost in East Poland
            Germans win, taking East Poland from Russians with 9 armour, 6 artilleries and 27 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Ukraine S.S.R.
            Germans attack with 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 1 infantry
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 1 infantry in Ukraine S.S.R., round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1,83 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Ukraine S.S.R., round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine S.S.R.
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Ukraine S.S.R.
                Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 2 fighters in Ukraine S.S.R., round 3 : 1/3 hits, 1,67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Ukraine S.S.R., round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 fighter owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine S.S.R.
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Ukraine S.S.R.
            Germans win with 1 bomber and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is -9
            Casualties for Germans: 1 fighter and 1 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Baltic States
            Germans attack with 3 fighters and 2 infantry
            Russians defend with 3 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 3 fighters and 2 infantry in Baltic States, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1,83 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 3 infantry in Baltic States, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Baltic States
                2 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Baltic States
                Germans roll dice for 3 fighters in Baltic States, round 3 : 1/3 hits, 1,50 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Baltic States, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 fighter owned by the Germans lost in Baltic States
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Baltic States
            Germans win with 2 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is -9
            Casualties for Germans: 1 fighter and 2 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 3 infantry
        Battle in Libya
            Germans attack with 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            British defend with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Libya, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1,33 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Libya, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1,67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Libya
                1 infantry owned by the British lost in Libya
                Germans roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Libya, round 3 : 2/3 hits, 1,17 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 fighter in Libya, round 3 : 2/3 hits, 1,33 expected hits
                1 artillery owned by the Germans and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Libya
                1 artillery owned by the British and 1 armour owned by the British lost in Libya
                Germans roll dice for 1 armour in Libya, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0,50 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 fighter in Libya, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                1 armour owned by the Germans lost in Libya
                1 fighter owned by the British lost in Libya
            British win with no units remaining. Battle score for attacker is 9
            Casualties for Germans: 1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Casualties for British: 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        2 fighters moved from Baltic States to Germany
        1 bomber moved from Ukraine S.S.R. to Poland
        1 artillery and 18 infantry moved from Germany to Poland
        1 fighter moved from Ukraine S.S.R. to Poland
        1 aaGun moved from Poland to East Poland

    Place Units - Germans
        9 armour placed in Germany

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Germans collect 39 PUs; end with 39 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Russians regular : 3,00
Germans regular : -3,00
British regular : 0,33

Savegame

@Ragnell804

The risk did not pay off… in fact it backfired and I had to eat two fighter deaths because of Russian infantry fire… 😣

I normally don’t do that type of stuff but because I was already a bit behind in terms of TUV I risked to bring the numbers a bit back up… but instead they skyrocketed downwards lol.

@Ragnell804

Heh heh yeah, but I was too greedy as I wanted to kill of your remaining Russian infantry too. 😅 Still, we can learn from this game because we have the numbers that give us a sense how far this game is from what an average game would be.

TUV Differential / Net TUV Round 3
After G3
Eastern Front: -39.4 / -26
Atlantic/WA: -8.77/ +27
Africa/Med: -4.63 / -8
Total: -52.80 / -7

After Allied3
Eastern Front: -39.48 / -35
Atlantic/WA: -15.33 / +15
Africa/Med: -4.63 / -8
Total: -59.44 / -28

This is now even worse than my current game against TGC on the TripleA Forum, which I thought would be the worst game.

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 4

TripleA Turn Summary for game: Europe Improved

Game History

Round: 4

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 13 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        1 armour moved from East Poland to Baltic States
              Germans take Baltic States from Russians
        1 armour moved from Baltic States to Belorussia
        8 armour, 6 artilleries and 27 infantry moved from East Poland to Belorussia

    Combat - Germans
        Battle in Belorussia
            Germans attack with 9 armour, 6 artilleries and 27 infantry
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 9 armour, 6 artilleries and 27 infantry in Belorussia, round 2 : 12/42 hits, 12,00 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Belorussia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Belorussia
            Germans win, taking Belorussia from Russians with 9 armour, 6 artilleries and 27 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        1 aaGun moved from East Poland to Belorussia
        1 artillery and 18 infantry moved from Poland to East Poland
        9 armour moved from Germany to East Poland
        1 fighter moved from Poland to East Poland
        1 bomber moved from Poland to Germany

    Place Units - Germans
        13 infantry placed in Germany
        Turning on Edit Mode
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Germany: 1 fighter
        EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to East Poland: 1 fighter
        EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Germans collect 31 PUs; end with 31 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Russians regular : -0,33
Germans regular : 0,00

Savegame

@Ragnell804

I had to laugh out loud when I noticed that, and even more so after reading your comment 🤣 Sixth times the charm!

We can go again after this. Right now I am mostly interested in a game where the TUV differential is as close to 0 as possible - and then look what the odds for a German win are. However I must say, now that the main move of my German opener - attacking Ukraine - is not viable anymore, I kinda have to go back to the drawing board and test some new G1 strategies. I feel like at this point withdrawing from the EF combats is better to avoid painful Russian counter-attacks. In any case, I think we need at least 5 more games to see if Europe is balanced now.