TOB (CP) vs. SBY (Entente) 1914 TGC Balance


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts My opinion of what happened over there and its result is that this is a consequence of the early collapse of Russia and an example of a domino affect. The CP made such early and such short work of Russia that they just hit the gas pedal and kept going.

    Still, this situation was almost entirely avoided by the Entente. The UK turn 4 attack into seva should have cleared the territory 2/3 of the time. In this case the Entente failed to clear it by a single, critical piece. This allowed so many options for the CP instead of ending the crisis for the Entente. If the Entente had cleared the territory, it would have either forced uphill attacks by the CP or forced them to do something other than simply stack up in a contested Seva. I don’t think the dice were critical but I do feel like I see a consistent “leaning” towards the CP in this area of the board (including the aforementioned fight in Seva) which doesn’t help Entente given everything else.

    So in short, I believe that a Russia that lasts longer (even just a turn longer) and takes more out of the CP will keep this from becoming an opportunity for the CP going forward. Even one more turn probably would have prevented this from happening.

    Seva is one of my favorite flashpoints on the board though. Well played ToB. You definitely leaned into some of the early advantages that appeared for the CP and it all worked out.


  • @The_Good_Captain As always, I appreciate the expertise and encouragement.


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Game History

    Round: 19
    
        Puchase Units - French
            French buy 3 fighters; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - French
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            1 infantry moved from Burgundy to Paris
    
        Combat - French
            French creates battle in territory Karelia
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by French from Karelia: 5 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Battle in Karelia
                French attack with 1 port
                Germans defend with 4 infantry; AustroHungarians defend with 1 infantry
            Battle in Paris
                French attack with 8 artilleries, 1 factory and 82 infantry
                Germans defend with 18 artilleries, 3 fighters, 28 infantry and 10 tanks
                    French roll dice for 8 artilleries and 82 infantry in Paris, round 2 : 37/90 hits, 32.67 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 18 artilleries, 3 fighters, 28 infantry and 10 tanks in Paris, round 2 : 31/59 hits, 28.67 expected hits
                    31 infantry owned by the French lost in Paris
                    10 artilleries owned by the Germans and 27 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Paris
                Germans and French reach a stalemate
                Germans win with 5 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 28
                Casualties for French: 31 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 10 artilleries and 27 infantry
    
        Combat Move - French
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Adding units owned by French to Karelia: 5 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
    
        Place Units - French
            3 fighters placed in Paris
    
        Turn Complete - French
            French collect 11 PUs; end with 11 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    French regular : 4.33
    Germans regular : 2.33
    

  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Oh beep, I totally forgot to attack Yorkshire as the British. If you’re okay with it, I’ll do the fight with the dicebots here:

    5 British infantry: [dice 5d6]
    2 German infantry: [dice 2d6]


  • 5d6: 3, 2, 1, 3, 5
    2d6: 2, 4


  • @dicebot

    The British clear the territory, 1 British infantry is lost.


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Game History

    Round: 19
    
        Puchase Units - British
            British buy 3 battleships; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - British
            8 units repaired.
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Changing ownership of Burgundy from French to Germans
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            1 battleship moved from SZ 8 to SZ 9
            2 infantry moved from India to Persia
    
        Combat - British
            Battle in SZ 9
                British attack with 1 battleship and 1 mines
                Germans defend with 1 transport
                    1 transport owned by the Germans lost in SZ 9
                British win with 1 battleship remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Germans: 1 transport
            Battle in Persia
                British attack with 4 artilleries, 2 fighters, 5 infantry and 8 tanks
                Germans defend with 3 infantry; AustroHungarians defend with 5 infantry; Ottomans defend with 4 artilleries and 9 infantry
                    British roll dice for 4 artilleries, 2 fighters, 5 infantry and 8 tanks in Persia, round 2 : 9/19 hits, 8.33 expected hits
                    Ottomans roll dice for 4 artilleries and 17 infantry in Persia, round 2 : 11/21 hits, 10.50 expected hits
                Units damaged: 8 tanks owned by the British
                    3 infantry owned by the British lost in Persia
                    5 infantry owned by the AustroHungarians, 1 infantry owned by the Ottomans and 3 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Persia
                Ottomans and British reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 18
                Casualties for British: 3 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 3 infantry
                Casualties for AustroHungarians: 5 infantry
                Casualties for Ottomans: 1 infantry
    
        Combat Move - British
    
        Place Units - British
            3 battleships placed in SZ 9
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by British from London: 5 infantry
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Yorkshire: 2 infantry
            EDIT: Changing ownership of Yorkshire from Germans to British
            EDIT: Adding units owned by British to Yorkshire: 4 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
    
        Turn Complete - British
            British collect 36 PUs; end with 36 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Ottomans regular : 0.50
    British regular : 0.67
    

  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    UK Turn 19 Complete 1914 Game 22.tsvg

    Once again, sorry about the Yorkshire thing.

    @The_Good_Captain Thank you for your help. This wasn’t really brought up in your videos.


  • @SuperbattleshipYamato No worries. As stated earlier in the game, we’re here to have fun, not be rule nazis.


  • @SuperbattleshipYamato Game History

    Round: 19
    
        Puchase Units - Ottomans
            Ottomans buy 1 artillery and 6 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Ottomans
            4 infantry moved from Mesopotamia to Persia
            1 artillery and 6 infantry moved from Ankara to Mesopotamia
            1 infantry moved from Constantinople to Smyrna
            5 infantry moved from Constantinople to Ankara
    
        Combat - Ottomans
            Battle in Persia
                Ottomans attack with 4 artilleries and 12 infantry
                British defend with 4 artilleries, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 8 tanks
                    Ottomans roll dice for 4 artilleries and 12 infantry in Persia, round 2 : 6/16 hits, 6.67 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 4 artilleries, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 8 tanks in Persia, round 2 : 4/16 hits, 5.67 expected hits
                    4 infantry owned by the Ottomans lost in Persia
                    4 artilleries owned by the British, 1 infantry owned by the British and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Persia
                British and Ottomans reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 13
                Casualties for Ottomans: 4 infantry
                Casualties for British: 4 artilleries, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
    
        Combat Move - Ottomans
    
        Place Units - Ottomans
            1 artillery and 6 infantry placed in Constantinople
    
        Turn Complete - Ottomans
            Ottomans collect 20 PUs; end with 20 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Ottomans regular : -0.67
    British regular : -1.67
    

    OT 19.tsvg


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Game History

    Round: 19
    
        Combat Move - Italians
            1 cruiser moved from SZ 7 to SZ 9
    
        Combat Move - Italians
    
        Turn Complete - Italians
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Game History

    Round: 19
    
        Puchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 battleship; Remaining resources: 8 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Americans
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from Egypt: 2 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            6 infantry moved from Canada to SZ 2
            6 infantry and 3 transports moved from SZ 2 to SZ 8
            6 infantry moved from United States of America to SZ 1
            6 infantry and 3 transports moved from SZ 1 to SZ 7
            6 infantry moved from SZ 7 to Ireland
            6 infantry moved from SZ 8 to Brest
                  French take Brest from Germans
            1 battleship and 3 transports moved from SZ 16 to SZ 2
            1 infantry moved from United States of America to Canada
            1 transport moved from SZ 2 to SZ 1
            1 cruiser moved from SZ 8 to SZ 9
            1 infantry moved from Canada to SZ 2
            1 infantry moved from SZ 2 to Canada
            1 transport moved from SZ 1 to SZ 13
            1 transport moved from SZ 13 to SZ 1
    
        Combat - Americans
    
        Combat Move - Americans
    
        Place Units - Americans
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to Egypt: 2 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            1 battleship placed in SZ 1
    
        Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 20 PUs; end with 28 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    US Turn 19 Complete 1914 Game 22.tsvg

    Yay! A naval war! My kind of fighting. Sure wish it started 10 rounds earlier…


  • @SuperbattleshipYamato said in [TOB (CP) vs. SBY (Entente) 1914 TGC Balance]

    @The_Good_Captain Thank you for your help. This wasn’t really brought up in your videos.

    Well, this particular result is, in my opinion, a “knock on” or “domino” affect from Russia falling so early at the very least. At the end of the Russia video, I say that this power is not long for the world and has somewhere between 5-8 turns to affect the CP. For Russia to punch out on turn 4 is to also fall outside the purview of the videos and create rare opportunities/problems that are better left for the individual player to solve. My intent with the videos is to cover baseline or something close to baseline strategy.

    Another example: There are probably knock on affects if a CP player decides to never build aircraft but the intent of the videos is to cover best practices and baseline strategies so I don’t examine that possibility.


  • @The_Good_Captain

    Thank you for clarifying.


  • @The_Good_Captain You mean your videos don’t cover every possible scenario we could encounter!? I’m shocked and devastated. :p


  • @SuperbattleshipYamato Game History

    Round: 20
    
        Puchase Units - AustroHungarians
            AustroHungarians buy 1 artillery, 2 battleships and 9 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - AustroHungarians
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by French from SZ 16: 1 mines
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Italians from SZ 17: 1 mines
            EDIT: Adding units owned by AustroHungarians to SZ 17: 1 mines
            EDIT: Adding units owned by AustroHungarians to SZ 16: 1 mines
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from Trieste to SZ 18
            1 artillery, 5 infantry and 3 transports moved from SZ 18 to SZ 17
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from SZ 17 to Egypt
            2 infantry moved from SZ 17 to Egypt
            2 battleships and 1 submarine moved from SZ 18 to SZ 16
            1 artillery, 1 fighter and 21 infantry moved from Marseilles to Bordeaux
            7 artilleries, 1 fighter and 18 infantry moved from Piedmont to Burgundy
            1 artillery and 9 infantry moved from Venice to Piedmont
            2 artilleries, 3 infantry and 6 tanks moved from Tuscany to Piedmont
            2 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from Naples to Tuscany
            10 infantry moved from Sevastopol to Persia
            6 infantry moved from Ukraine to Sevastopol
            1 infantry moved from Karelia to Livonia
            1 artillery and 9 infantry moved from Galicia to Ukraine
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Vienna to Trieste
    
        Combat - AustroHungarians
            Battle in Persia
                AustroHungarians attack with 10 infantry; Ottomans loiter and taunt
                British defend with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 8 tanks
                    AustroHungarians roll dice for 10 infantry in Persia, round 2 : 1/10 hits, 3.33 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 8 tanks in Persia, round 2 : 1/10 hits, 2.17 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the AustroHungarians lost in Persia
                    1 tank owned by the British lost in Persia
                British and AustroHungarians reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for AustroHungarians: 1 infantry
                Casualties for British: 1 tank
            Battle in Egypt
                AustroHungarians attack with 1 artillery and 5 infantry
                British defend with 1 infantry; Americans defend with 2 infantry
                    AustroHungarians roll dice for 1 artillery and 5 infantry in Egypt, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 2.33 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 3 infantry in Egypt, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                    2 infantry owned by the AustroHungarians lost in Egypt
                    2 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Egypt
                British and AustroHungarians reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 0
                Casualties for AustroHungarians: 2 infantry
                Casualties for Americans: 2 infantry
    
        Combat Move - AustroHungarians
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by AustroHungarians from Livonia: 3 infantry
            EDIT: Adding units owned by AustroHungarians to Karelia: 3 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
    
        Place Units - AustroHungarians
            1 artillery and 9 infantry placed in Vienna
            2 battleships placed in SZ 18
    
        Turn Complete - AustroHungarians
            AustroHungarians collect 55 PUs; end with 55 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    AustroHungarians regular : -2.67
    British regular : -0.67
    

    Game History

    Round: 20
    
        Puchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 4 battleships and 1 submarine; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Germans
            12 units repaired.
            4 infantry moved from Sevastopol to Persia
            5 infantry moved from Ukraine to Sevastopol
            5 infantry moved from Poland to Ukraine
            11 infantry moved from Picardy to Brest
            2 artilleries and 10 infantry moved from Belgium to Picardy
            8 artilleries, 3 fighters, 1 infantry and 10 tanks moved from Paris to Picardy
            9 infantry moved from Ruhr to Belgium
            2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Kiel to Ruhr
            1 artillery and 4 infantry moved from Berlin to Kiel
            2 infantry moved from Silesia to Galicia
            4 infantry moved from Karelia to Moscow
    
        Combat - Germans
            Battle in Brest
                Germans attack with 11 infantry
                French defend with 1 port; Americans defend with 6 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 11 infantry in Brest, round 2 : 4/11 hits, 3.67 expected hits
                    French roll dice for 6 infantry in Brest, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits
                    2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Brest
                    4 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Brest
                French and Germans reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
                Casualties for Americans: 4 infantry
            Battle in Persia
                Germans attack with 4 infantry; AustroHungarians loiter and taunt; Ottomans loiter and taunt
                British defend with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 7 tanks
                    Germans roll dice for 4 infantry in Persia, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 7 tanks in Persia, round 2 : 2/9 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                    2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Persia
                    1 tank owned by the British lost in Persia
                British and Germans reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 0
                Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
                Casualties for British: 1 tank
    
        Combat Move - Germans
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Burgundy: 1 infantry
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to Paris: 1 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
    
        Place Units - Germans
            4 battleships and 1 submarine placed in SZ 10
    
        Turn Complete - Germans
            Germans collect 54 PUs; end with 56 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    French regular : -1.00
    Germans regular : 0.00
    British regular : 0.00
    

    Hey, boats are fun! Especially if they mean you stop putting units in India. :)G 20.tsvg


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Game History

    Round: 20
    
        Puchase Units - French
            French buy 3 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 
    
        Combat - French
            French creates battle in territory Karelia
            French creates battle in territory Paris
            Battle in Karelia
                French attack with 5 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 port; AustroHungarians defend with 3 infantry
                    French roll dice for 5 infantry in Karelia, round 2 : 3/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                    AustroHungarians roll dice for 3 infantry in Karelia, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the French lost in Karelia
                    3 infantry owned by the AustroHungarians lost in Karelia
                French win with 4 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for French: 1 infantry
                Casualties for AustroHungarians: 3 infantry
            Battle in Paris
                French attack with 8 artilleries, 1 factory, 3 fighters and 51 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 infantry
                    French roll dice for 8 artilleries, 3 fighters and 51 infantry in Paris, round 2 : 26/62 hits, 24.67 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Paris, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.50 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Paris
                French win with 8 artilleries, 3 fighters and 51 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
    
        Combat Move - French
    
        Place Units - French
            3 infantry placed in Paris
    
        Turn Complete - French
            French collect 19 PUs; end with 21 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    French regular : 2.67
    Germans regular : -0.50
    AustroHungarians regular : -0.50
    

  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    Game History

    Round: 20
    
        Puchase Units - British
            British buy 3 battleships; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - British
            6 units repaired.
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Egypt: 1 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            1 transport moved from SZ 6 to SZ 9
            4 infantry moved from Yorkshire to London
            1 fighter, 1 infantry and 6 tanks moved from Persia to India
    
        Combat Move - British
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Adding units owned by British to Egypt: 1 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
    
        Place Units - British
            3 battleships placed in SZ 9
    
        Turn Complete - British
            British collect 34 PUs; end with 34 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :


  • @Tamer-of-Beasts

    UK Turn 20 Complete 1914 Game 22.tsvg

    I don’t like that part so much.

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