I’m up too late - talk to you (my) tomorrow!
L24 OOB AndrewAAGamer (X) vs ArthurBomberHarris (L+60)
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sorry to spam you with dice rolls, accidently did some of the tests in the wrong window.
Here is the outcome of 20 battles. Germany lost outright in 10% of them. They had no remaining ground troops in another 15%. Only had 2 tanks left in a further 10%. That is 35% that I booked as Allied wins. Another 20% is in a to-be-determined category, so perhaps a 45% chance of an Allied victory.
Finally there is another factor. I am trying to build up bad dice roll karma so losing this game by being diced in Moscow means that I will be able to beat you when we actually meet next in a playoff match.
I will finish this round of game and then likely surrender unless something dramatic changes.
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Good lesson for you: in these pivotal battles, do some actual attacks and see which fraction of them are in your favor and if that improves your overall outcome of victory compared to another option.
In this case, waiting another turn might have been a loss for the Axis so you probably had no choice.
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TripleA Turn Summary: Japanese round 8
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition
Game History
Round: 8 Purchase Units - Japanese Japanese buy 1 carrier, 2 destroyers, 6 infantry and 2 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens; Combat Move - Japanese 1 bomber, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers moved from French Indo China to Yunnan 1 transport moved from 35 Sea Zone to 19 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Manchuria to 19 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 19 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 20 Sea Zone to Kwangtung 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 35 Sea Zone to Kwangtung 1 bomber moved from French Indo China to Kwangtung 1 infantry moved from Jehol to Anhwe 2 tactical_bombers moved from Japan to Anhwe 1 fighter moved from Manchuria to Anhwe 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from 35 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone 2 battleships, 5 carriers, 2 cruisers, 4 destroyers and 12 submarines moved from 35 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone Combat - Japanese Battle in 42 Sea Zone Japanese attack with 2 battleships, 5 carriers, 2 cruisers, 4 destroyers and 12 submarines ANZAC defend with 1 submarine Japanese roll dice for 12 submarines in 42 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/12 hits, 4.00 expected hits 1 submarine owned by the ANZAC lost in 42 Sea Zone Japanese win, taking 42 Sea Zone from Neutral with 2 battleships, 5 carriers, 2 cruisers, 4 destroyers and 12 submarines remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for ANZAC: 1 submarine Battle in 44 Sea Zone Japanese attack with 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers ANZAC defend with 1 submarine Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers in 44 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/7 hits, 3.67 expected hits ANZAC roll dice for 1 submarine in 44 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits 1 submarine owned by the ANZAC lost in 44 Sea Zone Japanese win, taking 44 Sea Zone from ANZAC with 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for ANZAC: 1 submarine Battle in Anhwe Japanese attack with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers Chinese defend with 1 infantry Japanese roll dice for 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Anhwe, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 1.83 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry in Anhwe, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Anhwe 1 fighter owned by the Japanese and 2 tactical_bombers owned by the Japanese retreated Chinese win with 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is -3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Battle in Yunnan Japanese attack with 1 bomber, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers Chinese defend with 2 infantry Japanese roll dice for 1 bomber, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Yunnan, round 2 : 4/7 hits, 3.33 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 2 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 2 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Yunnan Japanese win, taking Yunnan from Chinese with 1 bomber, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Chinese: 2 infantry Battle in Kwangtung Japanese attack with 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber British defend with 1 armour; UK_Pacific defend with 1 harbour Japanese roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Kwangtung, round 2 : 1/5 hits, 2.17 expected hits UK_Pacific roll dice for 1 armour in Kwangtung, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.50 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Kwangtung 1 armour owned by the British lost in Kwangtung Japanese win, taking Kwangtung from UK_Pacific with 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Casualties for British: 1 armour Non Combat Move - Japanese 1 bomber, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Kwangtung to French Indo China 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Yunnan to 42 Sea Zone 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from 44 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone 1 transport moved from 35 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone 1 artillery moved from Celebes to 44 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 transport moved from 44 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone 1 artillery moved from 42 Sea Zone to Java 1 transport moved from 35 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 37 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from Yunnan to French Indo China 1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Anhwe to Jehol 3 infantry moved from Manchuria to Jehol 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Japan to French Indo China Place Units - Japanese 3 infantry placed in French Indo China 3 infantry placed in Manchuria 1 carrier, 2 destroyers and 2 submarines placed in 6 Sea Zone Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Japan: 2 tactical_bombers EDIT: Adding units owned by Japanese to 6 Sea Zone: 2 tactical_bombers EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Turn Complete - Japanese Japanese collect 52 PUs; end with 52 PUs Objective Japanese 4 Control Dutch East Indies: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 57 PUsCombat Hit Differential Summary :
Chinese regular : 0.00 Japanese regular : -4.00 UK_Pacific regular : 0.50 ANZAC regular : -0.17 -
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No scramble SZ110.
Yes, scramble SZ6. -
Umm, SZ112; not 110.
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@AndrewAAGamer understood. Out for a while and then will do the turns including a desperation Berlin attack. I assume you will have one scramble to disrupt bombardment in the UK attack?
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I will likely concede if I can’t capture Berlin this round.
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@Arthur-Bomber-Harris said in L24 OOB AndrewAAGamer (X) vs ArthurBomberHarris (L+60):
@AndrewAAGamer understood. Out for a while and then will do the turns including a desperation Berlin attack. I assume you will have one scramble to disrupt bombardment in the UK attack?
Correct. Please scramble one Italian fighter.
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Lost the battle of Berlin, going to call it game. I cant survive those 31 German units in Moscow heading towards Egpyt.
I think I would have had a chance if that was an average outcome, but glad to get diced in this match as that was the stated purpose of the game.
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A Arthur Bomber Harris referenced this topic on
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Thanks for the game! I agree the Moscow battle was the difference maker.
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@AndrewAAGamer any interest in continuing on with that low-luck outcome and see if this was going to be an Axis win?
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Sorry no. I already have too many games going to spend time on a game that no longer counts.
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@AndrewAAGamer no problem. Hope to see you in the playoffs.
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