Ok, so the E40 map has brought a lot of changes with it, and that includes a lot more SZs in the Med. I hope I can make an argument that might lead to Italy getting an Axis bid in future games. Italy only gets 10 IPCs which is even less than in Anniversary since there are a lot more territories and the whole board is worth more now. The only way the Axis can hold the Med in Global is basically hope that the Allies simply ignore it, which isn’t a valid tactic.
In older Axis and Allies games, there used to be just 3 SZs separating Gibraltar from the Suez, but now there’s a lot more, and it’s a lot of trouble to cover them all. Italy’s capital is really indefensible by the sea, as it’s SPLIT now between 2 SZs, and the Allies can go around to either side from the connecting SZ below. It seems really stupid for Italy to buy all naval units then, as it would have to have roughly double the number of the Allies invading fleet to defend attacks from both directions. Not going to happen. The fleet is probably just going to be sacrificed in piecemeal attacks, even with the maybe 30 IPCs Italy can get with both NOs at its height.
Japan is of little use (or at least in the games I’ve seen thus far) in sending a carrier group to support the Italians in the Med from India, which was relatively easy to do in the older games. With the extra SZs, and lack of naval bases (at least until Japan takes India), it probably isn’t going to happen in Global 40. Why do Italian players still spend all their efforts and time in these games taking Trans-Jordan for the Suez control is beyond me. It seems to be taken to PREVENT UK ships from spilling into the Med from the Red Sea, rather than opening the path for the Japs as in older games.
Gibraltar is also a huge issue, as many have seen, since it lets the US be in striking range of Italy in two turns. The UK and the US can reinforce it at will, whereas the Axis has a hell of a time even getting transports out there. There’s not even a real reason for the Axis to send transports out there since Morocco/Algeria is worth 2 IPCs, and the Allies, by contrast, can get at nearly everything in the Med from OUTSIDE in SZ 91. Italy cannot block in SZ 92 off Gibraltar either as they cannot build fleet units into it.
With all these reasons, it seems the best tactic for Italy is to either forgo a major fleet at all or supply a small fleet that just transports units to Africa with a bare minimum of cover, which runs at the first chance of danger from Allied navy. Building a big Italian fleet in the Med is just a recipe for disaster, and you’d be better off served by stacking the capital for the inevitable US/UK showdown several turns down the line. Just hope that the forces already in Africa roll well :-D.