Even if you want to go offensive in E. Europe, you don’t NEED SZ 5 or to sink the SZ 5 fleet. Just invade from Karelia. Now, if the battle goes badly, you can retreat. If you amphibious it, you have to fight to the death. I don’t like being locked in like that if I can avoid it.
Also, I agree. The instant the allies can build in Southern or Western Europe the game is over for the axis. I disagree that hte game is over when Germany builds in Caucasus. Probably is, might not be.
I think Russia’s dead when they start earning less then 12 IPC a round. 2 good SBRs and they earn nothing. Furthermore, that means the Axis have 12 IPC of Russian lands!
Likewise, once England is reduced to 12 IPC, the game’s over for England.
Once the Allies cannot defeat either caucasus or novosibirsk, the game is over for the allies.
Once the axis lose Africa and cannot hold Karelia or Caucauss, the game is over for the axis.
Once the Japanese lose their fleet (roughly Round 7) the game is over for the Axis.