I didn’t see the image attached at first because I didn’t log in…… and my experience with AA Europe is extremely limited, having played the game precisely once.
Having said that, a look at the map situation make me wonder what happened. It looks like early in the game, but what did German do in the west and especially on their first turn? I’m asking this because I see some unusual situations on the board:
1. There’s a very powerful British fleet, plus three surviving French ships. Standard practice for Germany is, to attack the Royal Navy turn 1 and take out most it. It seems like that didn’t happen.
2. I see two French fighters in Algeria, so the Paris fighter somehow survived. Standard practice for Germany is, to conquer France turn 1 - perhaps not all of it, but at least Paris. In the unlikely event that Germany fails at that, Italy can still take it before France moves.
3. Germany apparently spent its resources on factories in Poland, Slovakia-Hungary, and Romania. While there’s something to be said for a Romanian factory (although I’m not a big fan of it), the money on the other two would definitely have been better spent on units. Whatever these factories have produced, and more, could have been purchased in Germany, and would have reached those territories at the same point in time. Also, each factory costs 12 IPC, which is the difference between buying 12 mechanical infantry instead of normal infantry.
4. Germany doesn’t seem well poised to invade Russia in force right now, with a lot of its strength lingering in the west.
About the only good thing for the Axis, seems to be the strong Italian fleet in the Med. I’m not sure how much the UK has left south of Suez, but considering the surviving Italian transports, taking Cairo seems like a viable option. Apparently the UK didn’t attack the Italian fleet in force on their first turn (the “Taranto” raid), which is also more or less standard (though it was probably a poor decision in the only game I played myself).
All in all, I’d say the board situation heavily favors the Allies, mainly due to poor German play (sorry for sounding harsh here, but I hope I’ve explained my reasoning - see above).