I didn´t play this strategy but maybe it works with “normaly” luck:

Hope russia is loosing his sub attacking your baltic fleet (nearly 50%)

Just defend the estern front with all tanks and 4 inf from Germany.

Sink the UK-homefleet+maybe 1 russ. transport with 4 fighters 1 bomber. Good chance of loosing only 1 fighter (1hit-battleship)

Sink the UK-battleship with battleship and sub and attack gibraltar by amphibious assault with 1 inf of SouthEUR. (place the other one in allgeria) Maybe you`ll loose the sub (nearly 50%)

Attack Egypt with your last fighter or if you lost it by the Russ-T1 or using on your turn somwhere else (Can.-transport, UK-sub) maybe just defend your position in africa (inf. fom allgeria to the front, tank maybe “blitzing” back being vulnerable in western africa or being protected in allgeria)

If you purchase 1 transport + 1 sub youll block the UK-sub and it´s a hard choice to UK-player to attack them: if he wont you can use the transport in the mediterain sea, if he does you inforce the gibralta-fleet withdrawing the sub. –-but watch the russian pressur

Allied possibilities to protect UK-AC for GT2:

scenario1:
1 new purchased transport/sub by UK, moving 2 transport in from US and Canada, 2 figters from US or Russia(cause low german pressur against karelia), the AC itself.

On german side: 1 battleship, 1 bomber, 3-4 figters(depending RT1), maybe 1-2 subs(if not you can change strategy and go for africa, near east or caucasus with surviving transports), 1transport as cannonfodder.

In normal battle with 1 sub and 3 figters, Germany will win and his battleship, bomber and 1-2 fighters will survive

D-day is unable for next few rounds, africa is still open
weak point: russian front

scenario2:
1 transport from Canada or US is blocking german fleet in WestEurSeazone.
It´s without attacking use and vulnerable here.

Maybe you can sink the AC loosing your airpower but your naval units will survive to defend european meanland.
Better change strategy to go wild in atlantik and send airpower against russia

scenario3:
No UK-AC is purchaced

GT2: go wild in atlantik, suez-way to India, or caucasus to low russian pressur

After all look what russia did and loose in T1 and imagin the danger of UK-AC. I think germany`ll get some time in an allied Germany-first-strategy and a good position in other ways. Especially maybe the allied player(s) will be a littlebit confused.

@TG Moses VI:

1.) Maybe you´re right about russian sub, but for many players there´s to much risk for the much needing, russian fighters.(nearly 33,3% of a rehit)
But Germany is free in decision after RT1: Just do so if Russia had lost this sub.

2.) Chances of German sub survives Gibralta: 1/3 by hiting with sub + 2/3x1/3=2/9 by a missing UK-reshot; together 5/9 chances for survive. (bit more than 50%)
You didn´t calculate the TRN as cannonfodder also.
With some luck in T1 an UK-AC would be in high danger now with Germany keeping 3 attacking units.(maybe keep a second fighter instead of your battleship)

If Germany got bad luck in T1, changing strategys to conquer important parts of africa in T2 is still possible.

3.) If Germany fears an argressive Russian, it´s not necessary to purchase an extra naval fleet. But beware an UK-conterattack in Gibralta with sub, bmb and mayby TRN. So sink the UK-sub if possible or block it only with sub.(3-5 inf more for eastern front)
The exta navals is just needet for an agressive German in africa on T2 together with an agressive German in Atlantik.(if UK decides not to attack them)

@Yanny: Maybe it´s not the best idea but many experienced players here in forum are looked afraid of an UK-AC and a following strong D-day in early rounds of play. Maybe its better to fortress Europe and wait for the attack like a mouse is waiting for the snake, just hoping for japan, but it´s a bit more funny to battle a little in atlantik, provocating some allied mistakes ( 8) washington is not so far :o ).
Maybe all you need is time for Japan, so here the allies need an extra turn to purchase an invasion fleet

@Xi: Most of strategists are insane (especialy on german side)

@Ansbach: I imagin you, as russian player, would attack Ukraine in T1, otherway eastern Europe get enought inforcement from there.
You´re right; hard choices now for Germany.

But: Placing 3 German fighters to eastern europe after combat in T1, russia would`nt attack it in T2.

Another, (better) combatmovement variant: Attack Gibralta with bridged inf from France. So you can decide in noncombatmovementphase between inforcing France, eastern Europe or both from italy, splitting your land and air forcements (or sink own TRN without any inf, if combat goes worse for Germany)
Maybe it´s better to reconquer France, holding eastern Europe.(I know it´s a little bit risky, but anyway choices are bad, if Russia playes agressive like Ansbach )

@Yanny: I think there good chances 1 bomber and 2 fighters (if you spend your battleship) would survive on German side after killing 1 AC, 2 BS and 4-5 trn after T2 (if German sub has survive and its Gibralta-fleet is not blocked by vulnerable, allied trn, otherway you´re free to change strategy in T2). Good job i think

@TG Moses VI: Japan would be happy about your UK-strategy in Africa, i think.
And remember: With a bridgedin inf in Allgeria, splitted inf´es in Lybia and Centralafrica you can attack UK-Africa-force with tank and 2 inf nearly anywhere.

You should hold Westernafrica landzones for a few rounds anyway without any inforcement, if you clear the Atlantik instead.

And of course you can change strategy after T1 and conquer africa with trn in Gibralta, but i think UK-AC is as good target as Africa

(Maybe if Russia playes in agressive way leave africa, put inf to Gibralta and/or France, inforce eastern Europe and just play “Rally Dakar” with African tank, but this is another strategy)

Another, (better) combatmovement variant: Attack Gibralta with bridged inf from France. So you can decide in noncombatmovementphase between inforcing France, eastern Europe or both from italy, splitting your land and air forcements (or sink own TRN without any inf, if combat goes worse for Germany)
Maybe it´s better to reconquer France, holding eastern Europe.(I know it´s a little bit risky, but anyway choices are bad, if Russia playes agressive like Ansbach )

I would never attack Gib. unless the Allied foolishly parked a bomber there. It is not worth IPCs nor does it have any strategic value that I can see, but taking out a bomber could make it worth the effort. A bomber defends at 1, and being worth 15 IPCs it is definitely worth an infantry paratrooper, or infantry by transport (if I have one) as long as it doesn’t interfere with my overall stategy. I would also possibly back up the attack up by a fighter or the battleship (if it still exists) free shot to make certain I killed the bomber, with any lucky rolls taking out cheap 3 IPC infantry.

@Anonymous:

I would never attack Gib. unless the Allied foolishly parked a bomber there. It is not worth IPCs nor does it have any strategic value that I can see,

The strategic value is that it denies fighter access from british mainland to africa and the mediterranean, once you have placed an Inf in the two western north african countries (Algier? Marocco?).
If done in turn one ( with the Inf on the transport going into Algier, and the one Inf there marching south, you have quite an efficient block against allied ad-hoc reinforcements in africa.
If the british player decides to strengthen africa with his indian troops, well i don’t mind that, that only helps my japanese ally to waltz through.

@Ansbach:

The Germany Turn 1 move F_alk mentioned is a conservative move used to keep the German navy around for another turn. If Germany takes Gibraltar, then the Western Med. SZ (and German navy) is safe from UK fighters on UK1.
…
Usually the game is won or lost in Africa - 9 times out of 10 a UK1 counterstrike in Africa is a better move than defending India on turn 1…
If I’m the Allies I want Germany out of Africa ASAP!

Keeping the navy alive let’s germany shovel at least two other Inf into Africa, plus maybe even more if transpot and BB stick together (plus maybe an occasional offshore bombardment).

first @Ansbach again: 16+ inf against eastern Europe means a weak Caucasus, so I would prefer an agressive conterstrategy against Russia now: Needing transported inf in Caucasus/Ukraine the only battleship-job is to sink UK-battleship and keep UK-fighters out of Karelia for 2 rounds of play.
I wouldn’t play above stategy now, so don’t discuss it here

@Xi:
1.) without taking africa you have to imagin there’s nearly no pressur from UK or US to Europe meanlands for 3-4 rounds of play, if you sink UK-homefleet a second time.
And Japan would be faster, if UK deforces India

2.)If you change strategy in GT2 to take africa attacking AES (only if UK-sub doesn’t block next to Italy) you have to ad one German inf more. (1 Lyb, 1 Centralafrica, 2 by trn from ALG and Gibr.)
Maybe (I don’t know rules here) you can ad one Battleshipshot sinking sub with other air/naval units first.

But I think I wouln’t attack them now if they as strong as you force them, I prefer to sink UK-sub and inforce western africa first.

@TG Moses VI:
1.) With RR all German strategys are much more easier. (but my Axis&Allies-friends including me wouldn’t allow it, we just play it 4-5 times)
With RR Germany got 5th fighter to attack AES in T1 or somthing else.
You recive 1 fighter attacking UK-homefleet with Baltic-sub, and you can transport some inf between Finnland and European Meanland. Now I’m nearly sure this will normaly work for the beginning of Game.

2. Cause we played only with allied factories in asia I’ve got no experience about Japans speed without them. So I respect your Opinion about it. Maybe just try it with extra navals in italy and against defencive russian player.
   But imagine: Would you as UK-player purchase an AC, if a strong german naval- and airforce is in reach. If not Germany can strike into africa now.

3.) ALG-inf can transported with Gib-one together imeadeatly T2, or conterattack UK-tank, if it had attacked lonly G-inf in Lybia or Centralafrica

@guest:
In this strategy the value of conquering Gibralta is to keep UK fighters away from my battleship.

@Yanni:
Strongest arguement of my strategy is, you can change strategy easily, if luck wasn’t yours in T1.
But together with sub, trn, bs, bmb and 3 fght against ac, 2 fght and 2-3 trn there´s also a realy good chance of German suvive with bmb and 2 fght.
Remember Germany has to risk somthing to win the game!

@Ansbach: If strategy works I’ll try to win game by blocking UK/US reaching France/Norway/Karelia or somewhat, not in africa at al costs

@ F_alk: Yippieee someone on my side
Little point: ALG-inf is not going south, it goes sout-east to front AES and Lybia in one time