Axisplaya (Axis) vs Wheatbear(Allies) G40-A3

@VictoryFirst said in VF (Germany) vs. DoMan (Allies) | Original Europe, Game 6 - Balance 3.0:

(3/6)(3/6)(3/6)(2/6)3 + (3/6)(3/6)(3/6)*(4/6)

That is correct for exactly one hit for just the UK stuff. To add in the USA stuff, it becomes a bit more involved:

UK Force: 3 @ 3, 1 @ 4
US Force: 2 @ 3, 1 @ 4
Total force: 5@3, 2 @ 4

So to expand it, we have:
(ODDS OF 1 @3 HIT * ODDS OF 0 @4 HIT) + (ODDS OF 0 @3 HIT * ODDS OF 1 @4 HIT)
(5*(1/2)^5 * (1/3)^2) + (1/2)^5 * 2*(2/3)(1/3)
.0016/9 + .013889 = .0141 = 1.41%

@DoManMacgee not yet, still crafting

Game History

Round: 1 Purchase Units - British British buy 3 transports; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - British 1 transport moved from Eastern Mediterranean Sea Zone to Sicilian Sea Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Malta to Sicilian Sea Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Sicilian Sea Sea Zone to Libya British take Libya from Germans 1 bomber and 2 fighters moved from United Kingdom to North Sea Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from English Channel Sea Zone to North Sea Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from Davis Strait Sea Zone to British Convoy 4 Sea Zone British take British Convoy 4 Sea Zone from Germans 1 destroyer moved from British Convoy 4 Sea Zone to Halifax Sea Sea Zone Combat - British Battle in North Sea Sea Zone British attack with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters Germans defend with 2 submarines and 1 transport British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters in North Sea Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/4 hits, 2.17 expected hits Germans roll dice for 2 submarines in North Sea Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits Germans roll dice for 1 transport in North Sea Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the British and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in North Sea Sea Zone 1 bomber owned by the British and 1 fighter owned by the British retreated Germans win with 2 submarines and 1 transport remaining. Battle score for attacker is -24 Casualties for British: 1 destroyer and 1 fighter Non Combat Move - British Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Adding units owned by British to United Kingdom: 1 fighter EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Adding units owned by British to North Sea Sea Zone: 1 destroyer EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by British from United Kingdom: 1 fighter EDIT: Removing units owned by British from North Sea Sea Zone: 1 destroyer EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from North Sea Sea Zone: 1 transport EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode 1 bomber and 1 fighter moved from North Sea Sea Zone to United Kingdom 1 infantry moved from Iraq to Iran 1 infantry moved from Syria to Iran 1 infantry moved from Palestine to Syria 1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Egypt to Libya 1 destroyer moved from Eastern Mediterranean Sea Zone to Sicilian Sea Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from Malta to Egypt 1 armour moved from Canada to Davis Strait Sea Zone 1 armour and 1 transport moved from Davis Strait Sea Zone to Halifax Sea Sea Zone Place Units - British 3 transports placed in Davis Strait Sea Zone Turn Complete - British British collect 21 PUs; end with 22 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans regular : 1.17 British regular : -2.17

UK1.tsvg i concede

Actually, I’ll just concede it here. There is no way I can put sufficient pressure on Germany at this point. Let’s go again.

TripleA Turn Summary: Japanese round 4

TripleA Turn Summary for game: WW2 Path to Victory

Game History

Round: 4 Purchase Units - Japanese Japanese buy 1 artillery, 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens; Combat Move - Japanese 2 infantry moved from Davao to 36 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Manilla to 36 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 36 Sea Zone to 50 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 50 Sea Zone to Solomon Islands 1 fighter moved from 45 Sea Zone to 56 Sea Zone 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 36 Sea Zone to Dutch New Guinea 1 tactical_bomber moved from 45 Sea Zone to Dutch New Guinea 2 infantry moved from Guam to 22 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 22 Sea Zone to 46 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 46 Sea Zone to Dutch New Guinea 1 marine moved from Celebes to 45 Sea Zone 2 battleships, 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 2 destroyers, 1 marine and 1 submarine moved from 45 Sea Zone to 47 Sea Zone 1 marine moved from 47 Sea Zone to New Guinea 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 36 Sea Zone to 47 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 47 Sea Zone to New Britain 1 artillery moved from Borneo to 37 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from French Indo China to Kwangsi 5 infantry moved from Kwangtung to Kwangsi 1 artillery, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 transport moved from 37 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from Hainan to Caroline Islands 1 destroyer moved from 36 Sea Zone to 46 Sea Zone 2 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 36 Sea Zone to 47 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 20 Sea Zone to 5 Sea Zone 1 carrier, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 transport moved from 20 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 6 Sea Zone to 5 Sea Zone 2 transports moved from 20 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from 5 Sea Zone to Siberia 3 infantry moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone 1 armour moved from Buryatia to Yenisey Japanese take Yakut S.S.R. from Russians Japanese take Yenisey from Russians 1 artillery, 7 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Buryatia to Northern Manchuria 2 artilleries and 5 infantry moved from Southern Manchuria to Northern Manchuria 4 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from Anhwe to Kiangsi 2 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Kiangsi 1 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Anhwe 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Kiangsu to Japan 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Fukien to Kiangsi 1 bomber moved from Hainan to Caroline Islands Combat - Japanese Battle in New Guinea Battle in 56 Sea Zone Japanese attack with 1 fighter ANZAC defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the ANZAC lost in 56 Sea Zone Japanese win, taking New Guinea from ANZAC with 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for ANZAC: 1 transport Battle in New Britain Battle in Siberia Battle in Solomon Islands Battle in Dutch New Guinea Japanese attack with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers ANZAC defend with 1 infantry Japanese roll dice for 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Dutch New Guinea, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 2.67 expected hits ANZAC roll dice for 1 infantry in Dutch New Guinea, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the ANZAC lost in Dutch New Guinea Japanese win, taking New Britain from ANZAC, taking Siberia from Russians, taking Solomon Islands from ANZAC, taking Dutch New Guinea from ANZAC with 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for ANZAC: 1 infantry Battle in Kwangsi Japanese attack with 7 infantry Chinese defend with 1 infantry Japanese roll dice for 7 infantry in Kwangsi, round 2 : 1/7 hits, 1.17 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry in Kwangsi, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Kwangsi 1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Kwangsi Japanese win, taking Kwangsi from Chinese with 6 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry Trigger Japanese Destroy Factories Siberia: has removed 1 factory_minor owned by Japanese in Siberia Non Combat Move - Japanese Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by ANZAC from 43 Sea Zone: 1 destroyer EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Trigger Siberia Has Fallen to Japanese Switch: Setting switch to false for conditionAttachment_Russian_Siberia_Factory_May_Be_Destroyed_Japanese attached to Japanese 1 artillery moved from 35 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Dutch New Guinea to 47 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 56 Sea Zone to 47 Sea Zone EDIT: 1 battleship moved from 47 Sea Zone to 46 Sea Zone EDIT: 1 submarine moved from 47 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone 3 infantry moved from 6 Sea Zone to Korea Place Units - Japanese 1 carrier and 1 destroyer placed in 7 Sea Zone 3 infantry placed in Kiangsu 1 artillery and 4 infantry placed in Japan Turn Complete - Japanese Japanese collect 49 PUs; end with 49 PUs Objective Japanese 6 Home Islands: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 52 PUs Objective Japanese 2 Strategic Defense Perimeter: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 57 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Chinese regular : 0.67 Japanese regular : -0.83 ANZAC regular : -0.33

Savegame

@The_Good_Captain

Game History

Round: 10 Purchase Units - Americans Americans buy 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Americans 3 transports moved from SZ 14 to SZ 2 6 infantry moved from Canada to SZ 2 7 infantry moved from United States of America to Canada 2 transports moved from SZ 16 to SZ 14 2 transports moved from SZ 17 to SZ 16 4 infantry moved from Algeria to SZ 16 4 infantry and 2 transports moved from SZ 16 to SZ 17 4 infantry moved from SZ 17 to Piedmont 4 infantry moved from Morocco to SZ 14 2 infantry moved from Morocco to Algeria 4 infantry and 2 transports moved from SZ 14 to SZ 16 4 infantry moved from SZ 16 to Marseilles 4 infantry moved from Marseilles to Piedmont 6 infantry and 3 transports moved from SZ 2 to SZ 14 6 infantry moved from SZ 14 to Morocco Combat Move - Americans Place Units - Americans 7 infantry placed in United States of America Turn Complete - Americans Americans collect 20 PUs; end with 20 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

ItUS10.tsvg

TripleA Turn Summary: Japanese round 5

TripleA Turn Summary for game: WW2 Path to Victory

Game History

Round: 5 Purchase Units - Japanese Japanese buy 2 artilleries, 2 destroyers, 1 harbour and 8 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens; Combat Move - Japanese 2 infantry and 1 marine moved from Davao to 36 Sea Zone 1 battleship and 1 marine moved from 36 Sea Zone to 47 Sea Zone 1 marine moved from 47 Sea Zone to New Britain 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 3 cruisers, 2 destroyers, 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 1 submarine, 3 tactical_bombers and 1 transport moved from 36 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 55 Sea Zone to New Guinea 1 infantry moved from Shan State to 132 Sea Zone 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 132 Sea Zone to 46 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from 46 Sea Zone to Dutch New Guinea 1 infantry moved from Shan State to 132 Sea Zone 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 132 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from 55 Sea Zone to Solomon Islands 1 destroyer moved from 132 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Kiangsi 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Hunan to Kwangsi 3 infantry moved from Shan State to Yunnan 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Malaya to Yunnan 1 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Southern Manchuria to Jehol 2 artilleries and 6 infantry moved from Southern Manchuria to 20 Sea Zone 2 artilleries, 6 infantry and 4 transports moved from 20 Sea Zone to 37 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from 37 Sea Zone to Kwangsi 2 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from Shan State to French Indo China 1 destroyer moved from 6 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 20 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone 1 carrier, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 6 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone 3 transports moved from 132 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone Combat - Japanese Battle in New Britain Battle in Dutch New Guinea Battle in 55 Sea Zone Japanese attack with 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 3 cruisers, 2 destroyers, 3 fighters, 1 submarine, 3 tactical_bombers and 2 transports ANZAC defend with 1 destroyer Japanese roll dice for 1 submarine in 55 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 3 cruisers, 2 destroyers, 3 fighters, 3 tactical_bombers and 2 transports in 55 Sea Zone, round 2 : 5/12 hits, 6.33 expected hits ANZAC roll dice for 1 destroyer in 55 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the ANZAC lost in 55 Sea Zone Japanese win, taking New Britain from ANZAC, taking Dutch New Guinea from Dutch, taking 55 Sea Zone from ANZAC with 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 3 cruisers, 2 destroyers, 3 fighters, 1 submarine, 3 tactical_bombers and 2 transports remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8 Casualties for ANZAC: 1 destroyer Battle in Solomon Islands Battle in New Guinea Battle in Kwangsi Japanese attack with 2 artilleries and 4 infantry Chinese defend with 1 infantry Japanese roll dice for 2 artilleries and 4 infantry in Kwangsi, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry in Kwangsi, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Kwangsi Japanese win, taking Solomon Islands from ANZAC, taking New Guinea from ANZAC, taking Kwangsi from Chinese with 2 artilleries and 4 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry Battle in Yunnan Japanese attack with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber British defend with 1 infantry; Chinese defend with 1 infantry Japanese roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Yunnan, round 2 : 3/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 2 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Yunnan 1 infantry owned by the Chinese and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Yunnan Japanese win, taking Yunnan from Chinese with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry Casualties for British: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Japanese 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Yunnan to French Indo China 1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from 37 Sea Zone to French Indo China 1 aaGun and 6 infantry moved from Southern Manchuria to Jehol Place Units - Japanese 1 artillery, 1 harbour and 2 infantry placed in French Indo China 1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Malaya 3 infantry placed in Southern Manchuria 1 infantry placed in Japan 2 destroyers placed in 6 Sea Zone Turn Complete - Japanese Japanese collect 56 PUs; end with 56 PUs Objective Japanese 6 Home Islands: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 59 PUs Objective Japanese 4 Control Dutch East Indies: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 64 PUs Objective Japanese 2 Strategic Defense Perimeter: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 69 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Chinese regular : 0.00 Japanese regular : -1.00 ANZAC regular : -0.33

Savegame

@The_Good_Captain

J10.tsvg