Thank you for clarifying!
J1 Gambit- US Variation
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Negate the sub on tranny, the combat in the seazone denies you the use of your BB and Cruiser shore bombardment. 2 inf and 2 art vs. Bomber, Fighter, Tac, and 2 inf is not a favorable battle. Its 8 die pts. vs. 12 die pts. In order to take Hawaii you absolutely need the shore bombardment.
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Correction:
Cross out Phillipine attack and sub these in for Haw attack and add Celebes
Combat Moves
to Hawaii
2inf, 2art from Jap via 2trn from z6 to z26
whole navy from z6 to z26- sink trn- free
2ftr, 2tac attack Haw
1des from z33 to z26to Celebes- free
2inf from Car and Palau via trn from z33 to z34 to z44
1AC (loaded) from z33 to z44to z35
whole navy from z19
1bmr from ManRest is the same
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Sorry just seen some other major flaws- scratch it- gotta rethink this one- sorry guys :-( :|
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I believe I discussed the idea of invading Hawaii on J1 in detail previously. My analysis of this invasion was that Japan needs to use all three of its transports carrying 3 Infantry, 2 Artillery and not conduct a naval battle in sea zone 26 (don’t attack the transport) in order to use the shore bombardment from your 2 Battlehips and 1 Cruiser.
Japan attacks and rolls 2 x 4s, 1 x 3, 4 x 2s, and 1 x 1 hitting at 3.3. USA defends and rolls 1 x 4, 1 x 3, 2 x 2s, and 1 x 1 hitting at 2.0. In round 2 of Japan’s attack, Japan rolls 3 dices instead of 8 in the first round (2 casualties in round 1 of attack and no more shore bombardment).
On average rolls, Japan comes out victorious with 1 remaining artillery. Without the extra infantry from Caroline Islands, the battle would favor USA holding Hawaii.
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And since you end your CM in that SZ with an island containing an airbase, they can scramble 1 tac fighter to rob you your shore shots, not sure how that changes the odds though.
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US can scramble a fighter to negate ALL bombardment on Hawaii, japan can ignore transports, you cant ignore scrambled fighters however.
scrableing the tac bomber removes a wound and a roll at 3 for the defense, but stops upwards of 3 bombardments at 3 and 2 bombardments at 4.
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ill be honest…i find a Jap Turn 1 attack really doesnt get Japan into position to win the game…i guess if you get the dice u need…it could happen…so far my turn 1 attacks arent really doing it…even though the UK and USA get into better position to defend Japan later and a few more IPCs…i still think a turn 2 or turn 3 attack gives Japan a better chance to win…but then again…my dice rolls suck anyway…LOL
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The defense of scrambling one Tac bomber is a total win for the US. If they do scramble the Tac, Japan loses the chance to shore bombard with two battleships and one cruiser. The one turn statistics on that single event show the US player has made the right decision. 2@4 + 1@3 = 22%-3 hits, 44%-2 hits, 28% 1 hit, 6 % no hits Only 6% of the time is the US losing anything on the decision, and 28% of the time they break even, since the first hit could be understood to be the loss of the Tac anyway. I haven’t analyzed the whole battle, but someone has already said it is less than 50% for the Japanese to take the H-I if the US player scrambles a plane.
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I believe I discussed the idea of invading Hawaii on J1 in detail previously. My analysis of this invasion was that Japan needs to use all three of its transports carrying 3 Infantry, 2 Artillery and not conduct a naval battle in sea zone 26 (don’t attack the transport) in order to use the shore bombardment from your 2 Battlehips and 1 Cruiser.
According to the rules though, if a capital ship even “enters” the sea zone the lone transport is “automatically destroyed” and constitutes as the “sea combat” pg. 31- so even the battleship and crusier cannot participate. This doesn’t happen however when “only transports” enter the sea zone with lone enemy transports/submarines (non-capital ship. With that an attack on Hawaii in would look like this:
to Hawaii
2inf, 2art from Jap via 2trn from z6 to z26
1inf from Car via 1trn from z33 to z26planes can’t scramble because…
there is no sea combat (transports [non-capital ships] just ignore lone transport and offload
However no planes from anywhere can make it to the attack via movement capabilities.
OR…
you can bring a good amount of ships into z26- a combination from z6 and/or z33, sink the transport which is “automatic” according to the rules (at this moment you would be at war with the US), and “tempt” the US to possibly scramble leaving the defense of their Hawaii to 2 lone infantry- chances are they won’t risk that. But anyway you lose the bombardment the moment you bring in any capital ships. So I believe the best attack you can bring to Hawaii on J1 in the above Combat Move.
The probable scenario would be 3inf, 2art against 2inf, 1tac, 1bmr, 1ftr, a 5-5 count with a punch of 7-12 in favor of the US- that would make an attack on Hawaii suicide in a J1 gambit.
Time to focus on the J1 possibilities for a Phillipine attack instead (coming soon)…
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taking hawaii first tirn is only about a 20% chance, even with all 3 transports. because you have the choice to ignore the transport and get your bombardment you still cant because a smart player will scramble the tac fighter to stop the offshore and then its just a roll off and I have rolled it 10 times and only won it 2 times. and if you try to take it second turn with your three new transports he can fly one fighter against to stop bombardment again. You cant use any air support untill second round. you might take it second turn but at what cost, india gets huge and china as well.
Also the second time you attack hawaii it could have all america’s planes and all anzacs planes and when you chose to attack with your planes on the island he sends all planes against your navy almost undefended, at best 3 des, 1 crus, 3 car, (with no attack), and 2 battleships vs 6 fighters on defence and 1 tac fig. this hurts the japs just way to much you fight one round and are forced to retreat and are then forced to limp back to a friendy port. And If you take you carr’s as hitts you sacrafice all 6 planes and your navy still gets a beating, so now you have plus 5 and america with 56 plus 5 for plil on your door step. Not a good move as far as I have seen. havent tried the attack first round on the anzac but seems like something I wouldn’t mind trying.america
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it says in the rull book that you can ignore transports and subs as they have no zone of control, and you can scramble whenever you want, you are creating a naval conflict.
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it says in the rull book that you can ignore transports and subs as they have no zone of control, and you can scramble whenever you want, you are creating a naval conflict.
yes, but not if you are the US because you can’t attack Japan until after turn 3 or when Japan initiates war.
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And by doing a combat move at pearl they are declaring war :-D
Now you also can only scramble when someone ENDS a combat move into the SZ so they do not ‘block’.
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If you are moving into Hawaii with ONLY Jap transports you can ignore the transport there and just unload. Scrambles are only for defending a sea zone. However no battle is occuring in the sea zone- no naval battle- at that point there is no declaration of war so therefore the US CAN’T scramble. Only after unloading the Jap transports is there an official declaration of war.
Either way the Japanese do not have sufficient material to attack and take Hawaii- it is a suicide mission and now considered a “dead” move or non-strategic move.
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Now you also can only scramble when someone ENDS a combat move into the SZ so they do not ‘block’.
explain please- what page and section is this on in the rulebook???
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If you are moving into Hawaii with ONLY Jap transports you can ignore the transport there and just unload. Scrambles are only for defending a sea zone. However no battle is occuring in the sea zone- no naval battle- at that point there is no declaration of war so therefore the US CAN’T scramble. Only after unloading the Jap transports is there an official declaration of war.
Either way the Japanese do not have sufficient material to attack and take Hawaii- it is a suicide mission and now considered a “dead” move or non-strategic move.
If a combat move ends in a sea zone containing an airbase with planes that can scramble, then they have the option of scrambling to defend the sea zone. Kreighund said it somewhere, I do not recall where specifically though.
Furthermore, the moment ANY combat move is made that would result in war, war rules are in effect and are retroactive for ALL combat moves made in that turn. Meaning, if there was a US destroyer in SZ 25 you could not, under any circumstances, move a transport from SZ 6 (japan) to SZ 26 (pearl) and unload it to invade Hawawi as there is an enemy ship in the way. You could, in one turn, move the transport, then on the following unload it to attack and declare war then, but you could not do it all in one turn.
edit: these are the posts if you wish to review them to confirm what I have said.
http://www.axisandallies.org/forums/index.php?topic=16114.msg539117#msg539117
http://www.axisandallies.org/forums/index.php?topic=16119.0 -
The second link you sent seems to apply- thanks for clearing this up. I was rereading the parts in the rule book and it is very unclear and contradicting when talking about the “scrambling” and the “amphibs”
So then even a combat move with no sea combat that results in a amphib is still grounds for scrambling. I’ll tell Kreighund to clear this up in the FAQs because it is worded very badly.
thanks
:-)
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