The opponent isn’t from these boards.
He lost fighters to AA Guns again. He’s not doing well against Russian AA Guns, and I retook both of them last round. =)
Anyway, 14 Armor against 20ish Infantry is not going to be fun to watch.
My debate, currently, is if I should strafe W. Russia or not. 5 Inf, 5 Arm if I can get out without taking it, could help. The flags were wrong for Russia, they have 24 IPC, so at least I can make 8 more infantry.
If he goes all out on G3 against Russia, and I get no hits, he has a 75% chance to clear it and have 2 bombers and a 3 fighters and an Armor left.
if I strafe W. Russia I should lose 8 Infantry and he loses 5 infantry, 3 armor.
That means I’ll ahve 9 Infantry, 3 Armor, 4 Fighters to defend against 11 Armor, 3 Fighters and 2 Bombers.
And then he’ll have a 62% chance of clearing Russia, but not taking it. (Assuming all AA Guns for my attack and his attack miss, anyway.)
Damned no matter which way I go.
The other option is to somehow get both Caucasus and W. Russia with Russian forces and block those 9 armor for one more turn.
If I go Inf/Arm to Caucasus and 8 Inf, 2 Arm, 2 Fig to W. Russia I might be able to do it. I only have about a 40.40% chance of taking W. Russia though, and that’s if the AA Gun misses.
Okay, think I have it figured out.
OOL for Russia: Bomber, Infantry, Armor, Fighters. That gives me a 62% chance to win against everything Germany can bring to bear.