All western units can’t reach Russia R1. I also dont understand the stray fighters. (Russia begins with no bomber BTW) You only have 2, why leave them vulnerable? Also, your description of the Russian counterattack is bit vague.
Give up Caucuses for a turn… why? The German player sees the massive stack of 15 infantry and knows not to stack all his forces in Caucuses.
R1
No combat.
All western units to Russia, 3 infantry in Karelia to Archangel.
G1, presses forth with all available units. Purchases 8 armor, after seeing Russia’s retreat.
1 infantry —> Caucuses.
He puts 13-12 infantry, 3-2 artillery, 7 armor and 6 fighters and a bomber in Ukraine, ready to destroy your force that presses forward next round. If he still has his transport, make that 14-13 infantry and 8-7 armor. Make that 10-9 armor if you believe that he will use all units forward toward Russia. Does not take Karelia, so that it will be a 3/4 exchange, instead of 6/6. 2 infantry in Archangel are ready to counter attack with 4 fighter support next turn, so really it is no use to hiim ( or so it seems ).
R2, presses forward with all units available. Purchases 4 infantry and 3 artillery.
3-1 infantry, Archangel —> West Russia.
-Possibly 2 infantry, 4 fighters —>Karelia. Probably not.
15 infantry, 4 armor, 3 artillery —> Caucuses.
Seizes West Russia and Caucuses without loss.
G2, takes Caucuses.
14 infantry, 10 armor, 3 artillery, 6 fighters, 1 bomber —> Caucuses.
#Combat
Round 1.
7/6
1 German fighter hit.
(11+30+12+19)/6
12 Russian infantry hit.
(36+12)/6
8 German infantry hit.
End of Round 1:
Attackers: 6 infantry, 10 armor, 3 artillery, 5 fighters, 1 bomber.
Defenders: 3 infantry, 4 armor, 3 artillery.
Round 2.
(3+30+12+19)/6
3 Russian infantry, 4 armor, 3 artillery hit.
(12+12)/6
4 infantry hit.
End of Round 2:
Attackers: 2 infantry, 10 armor, 3 artillery, 5 fighters, 1 bomber.
Defenders: Defeated
#End Combat
R3. tries to take back Caucuses.
7-5 infantry, 3 artillery, 4 fighters —> Caucuses.
#Combat
Round 1.
4/6
1 Russian fighter hit.
(4+12+9)/6
2 German infantry, 2 artillery hit.
(30+10)/6
7 Russian infantry hit.
End of Round 1:
Attackers: 3 artillery, 3 fighters
Defenders: 10 armor, 1 artillery.
Round 2.
(6+9)/6
1 German artillery, 2 German armor hit.
(30+2)/6
3 Russian artillery, 2 fighters hit -or- 2 Russian artillery, 3 fighters hit. (to allow capture of province.)
At this point the attack obviously fails. Russia buys 8(?) infantry to defend Russia… it doesn’t matter. New armor arriving from Germany and Italy next turn.
I know I assumed alot of things here, but your desciption was a bit vague. If I took mistook your meaning, please correct me!