I’m not so sure China would win a future war. They do have a larger army, but ours is more advanced. It would not be very hard for America to increase the size of our Army several fold, but it would take years for China to update it’s military.
Besides, we are better positioned. We are close allies with South Korea, Japan and Taiwan. We have 100,000 to 150,000 troops deployed in South East Asia, in addition to naval assests. We are also starting to deploy anti-missile systems. The Chinese equivalent wiould be being allied with Canada and Mexscio, deploying 100,000 troops in Mexico, and porting one of it’s fleets at Vancouver.
Like Horten, I hope war does not come, because millions would die, but I doubt the Chinese could win. How could they get their troops over here anyway? They may have a big navy, but we have carriers loaded with enough hornets to blow them out of the water. Plus all our subs. Some of which have a nuclear arsenal comparable to China’s.
Which brings up the nuclear question. China currently has roughly 20 ICBMs, though it has at least 400 nukes. However, between the CIA, NSA, Anti-Ballistic missile defense, both deployed in Asia and in Space and in the United States, we ought to be able to keep them down.
And to clear up one final point, in an anti-missile system, each missile would not be targteted once. Attempts to shoot each missile down would be made 3-8 times. Each layer has about a 50% success rate.