Good post Bugoo.
One thing you are inching on is how to deal with results (and how to interpret them). I have metioned in the past that far too many people believe that when they win it is good strategy, but when they lose the dice or bad (or the game is inbalanced).
A combat is deeper than a winner and loser, but each side can perform in two manners: rolling above odds, rolling below odds (it is possible to roll exact odds but that is not possible in most combats).
It is possible to roll below odds while your opponent rolls above odds and your combat goes horribly wrong. Does this mean your strategy is poor? no, it just means you have to do things differently to stay in the game.
I feel that far too many people try to do the quick kill and either win or lose on the first turn of the game (Egypt or Naval combat for G1). This distorts the idea that the game is inbalanced or Germany must be even more extreme in order to win (or in some cases the Allies).
This is why I believe that good strategies can win despite rolling below odds.