Apologises in advance for the long post and details. I have been playing a tight game (1st Global game) with a mate of mine who has control of the Axis. Russia has fallen with only a handful of infantry remaining in the far east. They still control around 8 IPC. He is refusing to give up as he can’t believe that the Germans can lose despite knocking over Russia and controlling 7 of the 8 European victory cities - he thinks he can crack through 6 territories to reach Cario. My belief is that ultimately the Allies economy will win the day as Japan is on the slippery slope down. The situation is as following:
Indicative IPC per turn taking into account lost revenue due to convoy blocks:-
Germany : 80 to 90
Japan : 35 and going down fast
Italy: 3 to 5 (parked 6 subs to drain the Italians)
UK london : 45
UK pacific : 6 (but will be 10 and then 14 in next two turns)
ANZACS : 19 (taken Java with a minor IC)
China: 7 (still causing headaches with it’s lone figher)
USA : 82
Sitrep:-
AXIS
Germany: Very strong. Knocking on the door of Stalingrad & Cacucus which are controller by a solid UK force including 8 tanks and a 2 fighters. They are having to deal with a western invasion at Normandy and Bordeaux for the past three turns. Along with helping Italy deal with UK Balkan invasion force. Fleet parked in Berlin (still have BB, 2Sub, CR, DD and TP). Still has lots of armour & aircraft but fighting on four fronts.
Japan: Just lost it’s fleet, only have two DD and a TP in Japan. Still holding Phillip’ with a minor IC and 6 fighters. Still pressuring UK pacific on mainland asia.Will lose all the DEI in next two turns.
Italy: No naval, 3 fighters left, 16 infantry remaining essentially holding 4 terriories.
ALLIES
ANZAC: Control PNG, mainland AUS/NZ and Java with minor IC. Will be in a position to bring troops to attack Malaya in next 3 turns.
China: hanging around still with the one figher and 8 infantry.
UK (pacific) : After being on the ropes, managed to recover Burma and will secure two more islands to take it back to 14.
UK (london) : Control all Africa (2 minor IC), Middle East (2 minor IC), strong fleet with total control over mediterean, tough battle with the Germans in southern Russia (just holding them off in order to buy time for Pacific control). Decent landing party in Greece and Bulgaria. Sucking Italians dry in the magic Adriatic sea convoy box.
USA: Lost a fair bit in the last major battle i.e. 1 BB,1 CR and 1 DD in Kamikaze attacks alone if you believe that!!. Still dominate the Pacific islands and seas. I have a sea train of troops trying to get a foothold onto mainland Germany (really a matter of time).
Russia: Failed me. Very unlucky roles thou - I scored one hit when rolling with 17 defending infantry.
Can the Axis really win assuming normal rolling?