Um, I am going to depart from my own ideology here just to play Devil’s Advocate for a moment (or maybe I am simply taking another step in a direction I am already heading, who knows…)
A better example for what we face in the Middle East is not from the great Nation-State wars of the early 20th Century. Let’s use a much more recent example of a Super Power and a pissant muslim nation. Of course I mean USSR vs Afghanistan.
The Soviet Union marched into Afghanistan, took over, installed a puppet government and “won” the war quickly.
Then the insurgents started to act. Helicopters shot down, convoys attacked, etc.
After several years of sustained losses, the Soviet Union pulled out.
Yes the radical insurgents took over Afghanistan.
But did the Afghan Rebels follow the Soviets back to Moscow? Was the hated Red Army under attack in their barracks after they left? Did any car bombs or suicide bombers threaten the Kremlin or Vladivostok or Stalingrad?
No. The Soviets left, and the Muslims in Afghanistan said “We beat a Super Power” and went about their business INSIDE Afghanistan.
Is there, perhaps, the potential that Iraq might work the same way? We leave, they do what they want to within Iraq, and forget all about the hated Americans, just like the Afghani’s forgot all about the hated Russians?
Who knows, maybe, like in Afghanistan, the winning Insurgents will get pissed off at France, Germany or Russia for not helping them ENOUGH and attack THEM 20 years from now by flying planes into one of their buildings; just like happened to the US after we didn’t help Afghanistan “enough” after the Soviet invasion…