Darnit. I figured out the odds before for this sealion stuff. Where is that post……
UK Round 1 and 2 place about 54 IPC worth or units conservatively…18 inf.
They start with what, 3 fighters, a tac bomber off that carrier, 1 Brit Inf, 1 French inf, an inf and tank from Canada?
18+1+1+1=21inf x 2 =42
3 x 4 for fighters = 12
Tac = 3
Tank = 3
=60 pips or so worth of defense?
Germany lands what? 10 transports worth of fellas
10 inf = 10
10 tanks = 30
What usually lives through round one…2 fighters = 6
3 tacs = 12
1 bomber =4
So G3 you get 60 or so worth of attack + an offshore shot or two best case. Devalue that if you needed to bring artillery because their supporting feature makes them less valuable than tanks the second round of combat if the infantry are killed.
Still though in either attack the Brits should get about 10 kills the 1st round eliminating the poor attacking infantry so artillery is of limited value…Germany gets 10 or 11 kills the 1st round and killing units that defend at 2 makes them stronger
Leaves 11 Brit Infantry
1 tank
3 fighters
1 tac
for 31 pips
vs 10 tanks (if you can build them)
2 fighters = 6
3 tacs = 12
1 bomber =4
for 52 pips
So with attrition Germany probably wins. Less so for every artillery that gets subbed for a tank.
Regardless, here come the Russians!