Agent Smith, you factor in the possibility of a lost Japanese bomber as if it was a battle of attrrition between Japan and Russia. It is not, hence your error. It does not matter if the bomber gets shot down. All that maters is impacting Russias income so that they can afford less infantry on the German front. See, you say “blah, blah, blah, it only does 3 IPC per turn.” But that is blatantly wrong. It does 3.5 per turn. You are factoring the potential loss of the bomber as if thuis makes the potential bombing run do less damage than it actually does. It is not attrition between Japan and Russia. Finally, there is no way it flies over multiple AA guns.
Finally, you asume that all the allies air power can be flown to U.K. B.S. I’d like to see a Japan player just trounce you. Thrown everything at Germany and its like rolling the dice that Japan doesn’t win the game outright. Here’s a factoid you might not know. If everyone throws everything at Germany and takes it and Japan throws everything at Russia and takes it, Japan will win. Most Japaness players surrender when Germany is taken. That is the wrong thing to do. It Japan control Russia they will win.