Skipping Egypt on G1 is an all around BAD idea.
First, it leaves the Suez open. That allows the UK to sail an AC, 1 TRN and 1 DST through to the Med and up to 2 FIGs for the AC).
Second, it leaves UK with an extra FIG from Egypt.
Third it allows UK to reinforce India, slowing Japan by a couple of turns.
Fourth, it forces Germany to re-deploy in Europe, since they really can’t leave Balkans empty (as often happens) with a UK TRN in the Med.
Fifth, it forces Germany to divert AF to the Med to “deal with” the UK incursion.
Sixth, Germany loses Africa completely and basically forever on Turn ONE. Add in losing Norway on UK1, and Germany is 5 IPC in the hole the entire game instead of up a few IPC’s for a few rounds in Africa.
Seventh, it allows the US to totally skip Africa and stage for direct landings in Europe on US2, or US 3 depending on UK builds and fleet deployment (if in US3, it will be a very significant landing indeed…).
Eighth, it allows Russia to ignore Kazakh for longer, allowing better focus of troops against Germany AND Japan (this is due to slowing Japan in India. If Japan reaches Persia quickly, USSR has to defend or picket Kazakh, with no Japs in range for quite a number of turns, Kazakh can sit vacant and secure)
Ninth, it allows UK to destroy the Med Fleet on UK1 using 3 FIGs (2 UK, 1 Egypt) and a BOM on UK1. Even with the SZ8 sub joined to that fleet in SZ13, UK sinks ALL units 95% of the time, and usually with a BOM and 1-2 FIG still alive. (If the SUB was lost fighting the BB in SZ13 on G1, then the German fleet is sunk 99% of the time, with UK probably having 2 FIGs and a BOM surviving)
Tenth, UK income instead of being reduced into the 20’s will instead be in the low to mid 30’s. UK will have an average 5-6 extra IPC per round due to losing no territories on G1, having no risk to southern Africa in turns 2-4, and by gaining Libya and Algeria early. Also realize that in addition to the raw IPC gain, UK gets a double benefit by not having to divert ANY forces to Africa.
OK, I think 10 reasons is enough to justify a major strike on Egypt on G1, supported by the Med Fleet
FYI: An Egypt strike on G1 w/o the Med Fleet (and assuming Russia hit Ukraine on R1) has a less than 25% chance of taking Egypt, and a 44% chance of costing Germany a FIG (now down 2 FIGs in turn 1… 1 in R1, 1 in G1)